Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0518; (P) 1.0528; (R1) 1.0543; More…

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.0503 extends higher today and further rise could be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0598). But upside should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9732; (P) 0.9776; (R1) 0.9805; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9847 is still extending. Near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9709 support holds. Break of 0.9847 will resume larger rise from 0.9252. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9709 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9625) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9872; (P) 0.9901; (R1) 0.9929; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF despite loss of downside momentum. Current down trend should target 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, break of 1.0044 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA affirmed medium term bearishness. Long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9770; (P) 0.9802; (R1) 0.9839; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first as choppy sideway trading continues. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1279; (P) 1.1301; (R1) 1.1322; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1295, minor support suggests that recovery from 1.1260 has completed. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 1.1260 support first. Break will resume whole decline from 1.1501 and target 1.1173 low. On the upside, break of 1.1356 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline is still in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1192; (P) 1.1246; (R1) 1.1280; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside for 1.1173 low, which is inside 1.1154/98 key support zone. We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. But decisive break will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 1.1298 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, with last week’s sharp decline, price actions from 1.1173 are now looking more like a consolidation that’s completed at 1.1444. Bearishness is also reflected in multiple rejection by 55 week EMA. Immediate focus is back on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. 1.0629 support will be next target.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1045; (P) 1.1059; (R1) 1.1076; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1149 is extending. In case of deeper pull back, downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0839; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0875; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and further rally is expected with 1.0790 support intact. We’re holding on to the view that consolidation pattern from 1.0915 has completed with three waves to 1.0661. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0877 should confirm this bullish case and target 1.0915 and above. On the downside, however, break of 1.0790 support will dampen this bullish case, and turn bias to the downside to extend the consolidation from 1.0915.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0642; (P) 1.0655; (R1) 1.0670; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range above 1.0635 and intraday bias remains neutral. Neutral term outlook stays bearish as long as 1.0749 resistance holds and deeper decline is expected. Decisive break of 1.0620 key support level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level. Break of 1.0749 will raise the chance of medium term reversal and turn focus back to 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0068; (P) 1.0117; (R1) 1.0165; More….

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.0512 resumes by breaking through 1.0096. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Outlook is unchanged that corrective rebound from 0.9970 should have completed after failing 1.0505 long term resistance. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.9970 low. On the upside, however, above 1.0214 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1407; (P) 1.1428; (R1) 1.1454; More…

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.1343 extends higher and break of 1.1429 turns focus back to 1.1501 resistance. Break there will revive the case of reversal. Further rally would be seen to 1.1713 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1343 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0523 support last week suggests larger down trend resumption. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Next downside target is 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394. On the upside, above 1.0551 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF edged higher again last week but failed to take out 1.1537 resistance. Outlook is unchanged that consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0921; (P) 1.0949; (R1) 1.0999; More…

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0832 resumes as consolidation from 1.0811 extends. Further rise could be seen but still, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, sustained break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend and target 1.0629 key support next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0846; (P) 1.0867; (R1) 1.0893; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is neutral for the moment. While the correction might extend lower, downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.0908 resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0986/0999 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1941; (P) 1.1960; (R1) 1.1973; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 1.2004 is in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also as 1.1888 minor support is still holding, further rise is expected. On the upside, sustained break of 1.2 level will extend larger up trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0629 to 1.1832 from 1.1445 at 1.2188. However, consider bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1888 will indicate short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 1.1445/1832 support zone.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0788; (P) 1.0819; (R1) 1.0839; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.088 resistance should confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.0915 has completed at 1.0661. Further rise should be seen to 1.0915 and above. However, on the downside, break of 1.0790 will extend the consolidation from 1.0915 with another falling leg, back towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0882; (P) 1.0926; (R1) 1.0999; More…

Some volatility was seen in EUR/CHF but after all, it’s staying in consolidation from 1.0811. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another rise, upside upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1605). On the downside, break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1082; (P) 1.1117; (R1) 1.1158; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside with focus on 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.1404. On the downside, below 1.1073 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.0954 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1356; (R1) 1.1371; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation in range of 1.1310/1444. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rally is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume whole rally from 1.1181 for 1.1501 key resistance next. However, break of 1.1310 will argue that the rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.