Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0374; (P) 1.0397; (R1) 1.0409; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0365 is still extending. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0511 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0365 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF’s sharp retreat last week might have completed at 0.9873 already, after drawing support from 55 day EMA. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for retesting 1.0095 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.9917 minor support will turn bias back to the downside to resume the correction to 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise form 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

In the long term picture, it’s still way to early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 month EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0714; (P) 1.0741; (R1) 1.0756; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0797 is still extending. Corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602 and further rise is expected as long as 1.0701 minor support holds. on the upside, 1.0797 will target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1914; (P) 1.1935; (R1) 1.1972; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains mildly on the upside for further rebound. But break of 1.2004 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, more consolidation would be seen with risk of another decline. In case of deeper pullback, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, decisive break of 1.2004 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indication of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9538; (P) 0.9547; (R1) 0.9559; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range above 0.9513 and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. With 0.9601 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9801; (P) 0.9826; (R1) 0.9842; More….

EUR/CHF continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD but there is not sign of topping. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. On the downside, below 0.9740 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0763; (P) 1.0796; (R1) 1.0819; More…

Range trading still continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF’s breach of 0.9520 support argues that fall from 1.0095 is resuming. But as it recovered after hitting 0.9513, initial bias is neutral this week first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9599 resistance holds. Break of 0.9513 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9840 to 0.9520 from 0.9646 at 0.9448.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0421). Break of 1.00095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9847; (P) 0.9879; (R1) 0.9894; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 0.9880 support confirms short term topping at 0.9928. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9563 to 0.9928 at 0.9789. On the upside, break of 0.9880 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay mildly on the downside as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9728 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, firm break of 0.9728 will raise the chance of bearish reversal and turn focus to 0.9563 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9553; (P) 0.9574; (R1) 0.9606; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 0.9476 could extend with stronger recovery. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9476, and sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510 will bring retest of 0.9252 low next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 should have completed at 0.9228. Medium term outlook remains bearish with 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1315; (P) 1.1330; (R1) 1.1351; More…

EUR/CHF recovers further today but stays below 1.1348 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We continue to favor the case that choppy decline from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1181 already. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1348 will confirm this bullish case and turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.1501 next. On the downside, in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 support zone to contain downside to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1299; (P) 1.1316; (R1) 1.1347; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 1.1444 has completed at 1.1162 already. Further rise should be seen to 1.1384 resistance first. Break will target 1.1444 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.1254 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds. However, decisive break of 1.1444 will indicate completion of fall from 1.2004 and turn medium term outlook bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0757; (R1) 1.0774; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and some more sideway trading could be seen. As long as 1.0712 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 1.0602 to resume sooner or later. On the upside, break of 1.0849 will target 1.0915 resistance. However, firm break of 1.0712 will indicate completion of the rebound from 1.0602. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside to retest this low.

In the bigger picture, we’re seeing price actions from 1.0503 as forming a consolidation pattern for the moment. As long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, down from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1348 last week but failed to take out 55 day EMA firmly and retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point first. We’re holding on to the view of short term bottoming at 1.1224, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Thus, current retreat should be contained well above 1.1224 low and further rally is favored. On the upside, break above 1.1348/1356 resistance zone will affirm this bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to term upside for retesting 1.1501 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF dipped to 1.1334 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias stays neutral first. The structure of price actions from 1.1501 suggests it’s a consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.1173 to 1.1501 at 1.1298 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1470 resistance will argue that rise from 1.1173 is resuming. Break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1261) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0210; (P) 1.0243; (R1) 1.0309; More….

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0086 is extending higher and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current development suggests that rise from 1.0400 might be resuming. Firm break there will confirm and target 1.0610 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0165 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0086 and below instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9903; (R1) 0.9923; More….

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9899 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. On the downside, below 0.9876 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retreat, back to 0.9728/9835 support zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1384; (P) 1.1408; (R1) 1.1453; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 1.1242 short term bottom is in progress for 1.1489 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will add to the case of trend reversal ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. Further rise should then be seen to 1.1713 resistance. On the downside, below 1.1329 minor support, will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 0.9678 last week but turned retreated since then. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidations first. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9595 support holds. Firm break of 0.9678/91 resistance zone will carry larger bullish implication. Nevertheless, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

In the long term picture, outlook remains bearish as it’s staying well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0341). Price actions from 0.9407 are viewed as a three-wave consolidation pattern first. Larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) might still resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. Break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bottoming, or the multi-decade down trend is expected to continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0899; (P) 1.0934; (R1) 1.0957; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral with focus on 1.0912 minor support. Break will indicate completion of the corrective rise from 1.0811, at 1.1018. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. On the upside, in case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.