Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0530; (P) 1.0536; (R1) 1.0548; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and consolidation from 1.0503 might extend. But in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Strong rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed last week by braking 1.1056 to as low as 1.1012. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962. On the upside, break of 1.1154 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0784; (P) 1.0805; (R1) 1.0836; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and further rise is expected with 1.0721 support holds. on the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503. However, break of 1.0721 will suggest completion of the rebound from 1.0602. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this 1.0602 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF’s correction from 0.9847 extended to as low as 0.9563 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9721 resistance will argue that the correction has completed already, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9847. However, break of 0.9563 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9479.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9644) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9521; (P) 0.9576; (R1) 0.9605; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside at this point. Current fall is part of larger decline from 1.0095. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9670 from 0.9840 at 0.9515. On the upside, above 0.9586 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9889). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF formed a short term bottom at 1.0962 last week, after hitting 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962. Initial bias remains neutral this week for more consolidations first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1172 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.0962 will extend the fall from 1.2004 to 100% projection at 1.0645 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0787; (P) 1.0818; (R1) 1.0865; More…

EUR/CHF’s breach of 1.0838 resistance suggests that rise from 1.0602 is resuming. Further rise is now in favor as long as 1.0739 support holds, towards 1.0915 resistance. However, break of 1.0739 will suggest that rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1341; (P) 1.1381; (R1) 1.1408; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1392 minor support argues that the corrective rise from 1.1173 has completed at 1.1501. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0985; (P) 1.1007; (R1) 1.1040; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neural and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 1.0811 might extend. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, below 1.0964 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0811. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9558; (P) 0.9586; (R1) 0.9640; More….

EUR/CHF recovered quickly after dipping to 0.9530. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. But outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9864 resistance holds Break of 0.9530 will resume larger down to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1256; (P) 1.1295; (R1) 1.1325; More…

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1266. The break of 1.1310 support confirms resumption of fall from 1.1444. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.1181 low next. On the upside, break of 1.1384 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the decline. Otherwise, further fall remains in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1218; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1290; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1260 support confirms resumption of whole decline from 1.1501. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1173 low next. For now, we’d expect strong support inside 1.1154/98 key support zone to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.1277 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation below 1.0838 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.0712 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0838 will target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 to 1.0503 to 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, break of 1.0712 support will dampen our bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0602, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9838; (P) 0.9875; (R1) 0.9895; More….

EUR/CHF’s consolidation pattern from 0.9953 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9965; (P) 0.9990; (R1) 1.0034; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.0155 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 0.9970 will resume larger down trend for 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, above 1.0155 resistance will delay the bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0202; (P) 1.0224; (R1) 1.0246; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues inside 1.0184/0400. On the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound from 0.9977 to 1.0610 key structural resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1409; (P) 1.1425; (R1) 1.1451; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.1476 so far today. Break of 1.1444 resistance suggests that corrective fall fro 1.2004 has completed at 1.1162 already, just ahead of 1.1154 long term fibonacci level. Intraday bias stays on the upside with focus on 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484. Sustained break will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1682 and above. On the downside, break of 1.1366 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2004 (2018 high) is seen as a corrective move. It could have completed at 1.1162 after breaching 1.1198 support briefly. Sustained break of 1.1444 should pave the way back to retest 1.2004 high, which is close to 1.2 prior SNB imposed EUR/CHF ceiling. This will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.1162 low holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9766; (P) 0.9784; (R1) 0.9808; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9697 is extending. While further fall cannot be ruled out, some support might be seen from 0.9650 long term projection level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9948 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1271; (P) 1.1297; (R1) 1.1320; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.1342 will reaffirm the case of trend reversal after hitting key support zone of 1.1154/98. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 1.1452 resistance. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed and target 1.1713 resistance next. In case of another fall, we’d still expect strong support from 1.1154/98 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0867; (P) 1.0899; (R1) 1.0922; More…

Corrective recovery from 1.0811 short term bottom could extend higher to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0972) and above. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1605 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.