Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0918; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.0959; More….

EUR/CHF’s decline was a bit deeper than expected, but it has recovered back above 1.0954 support quickly. Intraday bias remains neutral first and larger rise from 1.0503 is still in favor to resume. Break of 1.1073 resistance will target a test on 1.1149 high first.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9695; (P) 0.9711; (R1) 0.9732; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9721 resistance will argue that correction from 0.9847 has completed already, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9847. However, break of 0.9563 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9479.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9644) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.0986 extended lower last week and reached as low as 1.0854. No change in the view that it’s a correction. Hence, while deeper decline could be seen this week, downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0825). Rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later. Above 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0959; (P) 1.0982; (R1) 1.0994; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as recent decline continues. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0645 next. On the upside, above 1.1005 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1154 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1361; (P) 1.1385; (R1) 1.1423; More…

EUR/CHF recovered after dipping to 1.1347 and was supported above 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. More consolidation could be seen in near term. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 will confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.2004. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1682 and above. On the downside, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.1341) will pave the way back to retest 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slight favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. And, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1398; (P) 1.1421; (R1) 1.1454; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as recovery was limited well below 1.1476 resistance so far. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 will confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.2004. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1682 and above. On the downside, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.1333) will pave the way back to 1.1162 low.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slight favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. And, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9834; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9878; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is extending. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 0.9798 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 100% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 1.0032.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0128) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.1736 last week but failed to sustain gain and closed sharply lower at 1.1604. Persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Initial bias is neutral this week first. And, even in case of another rise, we’d expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1195 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1195 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1341; (P) 1.1369; (R1) 1.1393; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. As long as 1.1347 resistance turned support holds, further rise is expected. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume the rebound from 1.1181 to retest 1.1501 key resistance. However, sustained break of 1.1347 will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, with double bottom pattern (1.1173, 1.1181) Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1579; (P) 1.1612; (R1) 1.1639; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.1541/1721 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and daily MACD, decisive break of 1.1541 will confirm topping and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1355 key support. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.1721 resistance will resume recent up trend towards 1.2 key level.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1158) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1701; (P) 1.1732; (R1) 1.1763; More…

EUR/CHF recovers further today but it’s limited below 1.1776 so far. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. While there is no confirmation yet, we’d maintain that the cross is close to topping. And in case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen well below 1.2 handle to bring medium term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1602 support will indicate reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.1387 and below.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1010; (P) 1.1043; (R1) 1.1096; More…

Breach of 1.1072 indicates resumption of recent rally. Intraday bias is back on the upside to extend the rise from 1.0629 to 1.1127/98 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.0983 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0919).

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0955; (P) 1.0969; (R1) 1.0986; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that consolidation form 1.1149 has completed. And, larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 resistance turned support will suggest bearish reversal and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

EUR/CHF’s consolidation pattern from 1.1149 continued last week with another fall. But overall outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. We’d expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume larger rise from 1.0504.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF rebounded stronger after dipping to 1.1260 last week. But upside was limited by 1.1356 resistance to close lower. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. As long as 1.1356 holds, near term outlook stays cautiously bearish and fall from 1.1501 is in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 1.1260 will target 1.1173 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.1356 resistance will argue that the pull back from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1260. In that case, further rise would be seen back to retest 1.1501.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9738; (P) 0.9794; (R1) 0.9825; More…

EUR/CHF retreated notably after edging higher to 0.9847 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, above 0.9847 will resume the rally from 0.9252 to 38.2% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9818 from 0.9709 at 0.9905. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9709 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9599) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1010; (P) 1.1040; (R1) 1.1063; More…

EUR/CHF lost momentum after hitting 1.1072 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. As long as 1.0983 support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. Current rise from 1.0629 should target 1.1127/98 resistance zone. However, break of 1.0983 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0906).

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1284; (P) 1.1317; (R1) 1.1373; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Current decline from 1.2004 might extends lower. But even in that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, Meanwhile, considering mild bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.1354 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should then be seen towards 1.1489 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone, 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0854; (P) 1.0873; (R1) 1.0888; More…

Break of 1.0832 suggests resumption of down trend in EUR/CHF. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645. On the upside, break of 1.0924 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1552; (P) 1.1581; (R1) 1.1597; More…

Despite diminishing downside momentum, intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside for further 1.1478 support. As noted before, the corrective rebound from 1.1366 should have completed with three waves up to 1.1713 already. Break of 1.1478 will confirm our bearish view and target 1.1366 low and below. Nonetheless, on the upside, above 1.1637 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and could extend the rise from 1.1366. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.