EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0270; (P) 1.0285; (R1) 1.0306; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.0400 would resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 key structural resistance. However, break of 1.0184 minor support will argue that the rebound is finished, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0795; (P) 1.0814; (R1) 1.0830; More

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumes by breaking through 1.0782 and reaches as low as 1.0760 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, break of 1.0833 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook remains bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0211; (P) 1.0250; (R1) 1.0307; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0298 support turned resistance now suggests that decline from 1.1149 has completed with five waves down to 0.9970, after defending parity. Intraday bias is now back on the upside for stronger rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420 first. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650. In any case, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0092; (P) 1.0125; (R1) 1.0153; More….

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum. But further decline is still expected with 1.0214 resistance intact. Further fall would be seen to retest 0.9970 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, however, above 1.0214 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9629; (P) 0.9664; (R1) 0.9714; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 0.9550/9698 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9550 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, however, firm break of 0.9698 will confirm short term bottoming. Bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound, towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9838).

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9676; (R1) 0.9694; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral again as it retreated again after edging higher to 0.9691. For now, further rally will stay in favor as long as 0.9617 support holds. Above 0.9691 will resume the rise from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. However, firm break of 0.9617 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9513 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9799). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0541; (P) 1.0560; (R1) 1.0576; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 1.0523 might extend. Another rise cannot be ruled out. But upside outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0710 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9656; (P) 0.9672; (R1) 0.9703; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside with focus on 0.9683 resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.9773 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.9618 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, intraday bias will be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9527).

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9620) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0284; (P) 1.0309; (R1) 1.0329; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound from 0.9977 to 1.0610 key structural resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9583; (P) 0.9596; (R1) 0.9607; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as range trading continues. Further decline is in favor as long as 0.9670 holds. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9860). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped to 1.1242 last week but rebounded from there since then. A short term bottom should be in place, ahead of key support zone between 1.1154/98. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.1489 support turned resistance first. Firm break there will add some credence in near term reversal and target 1.1713 resistance next. Fall from 1.2004 is viewed as a correction. Hence, in case of another decline, we’d expect strong support between 1.1154/98 to contain downside and bring reversal.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1173) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0570; (P) 1.0601; (R1) 1.0621; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Further rise remains in favor as long as 1.0578 minor support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0662 will resume the current rebound to 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715). However, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, we’d still expect larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) to extend lower to parity. However, Firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1728 last week as the decline from 1.2004 resumed and accelerated. The development further confirmed rejection by 1.2 key resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1659. Sustained break will target key support level at 1.1445. On the upside, above 1.1776 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1864 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9806; (P) 0.9851; (R1) 0.9882; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is in progress. Downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9798 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0121) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped further to 0.9602 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.9948 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9602 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support (2020 low).

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stayed in range of 1.1178/1342 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring reversal. On the upside, break of 1.1342 will reaffirm the case of bullish reversal and target 1.1452 resistance for confirmation. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0676; (P) 1.0693; (R1) 1.0717; More

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0725 temporary top and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715) will extend the rally to 1.0811 key resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) remains intact despite the current rebound. As long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, outlook stays bearish for another decline through 1.0503 low. However, firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1251; (P) 1.1297; (R1) 1.1332; More…

Further rise remains mildly in favor in EUR/CHF as long as 1.1265 minor support holds. A short term bottomed should be formed at 1.1178 after hitting 1.1154/98 key support holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.1452 resistance and break will be another indication that whole fall from 1.2004 has completed. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 minor support will turn focus back to 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1196) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0232; (P) 1.0291; (R1) 1.0337; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0246 dampens the bullish view and argues that corrective pattern from 1.0400 is extending with another falling leg. Intraday bias is back not the downside for 1.0086 support. On the upside, though, break of 1.0400 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0650; (P) 1.0662; (R1) 1.0686; More

A temporary low is formed at 1.0635 in EUR/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Further decline is still expected as long as 1.0769 resistance holds. Break of 1.0635 will extend the fall from 1.0915 to 61.8% projection of 1.0915 to 1.0650 from 1.0769 at 1.0605 first. Sustained break there will target 100% projection at 1.0504, which is close to 1.0503 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1049/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.