EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9791; (R1) 0.9833; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the upside with break of 0.9800 temporary top. Retest of 0.9847 resistance should be seen. Firm break there will resume larger rise from 0.9252 to 61.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9931 next. Further rally is now expected as long as 0.9748 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9644) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9656; (P) 0.9686; (R1) 0.9703; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.9798 will resume the rebound to 0.9864 resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0152), even as a corrective rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9799; (P) 0.9812; (R1) 0.9833; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9835/47 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9252. On the downside, however, break of 0.9728 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9847 with another fall, back to 0.9563 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0368; (P) 1.0383; (R1) 1.0405; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged. Recovery from 1.0298 might still extend higher, but upside should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation below 1.0797 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. With 1.0701 minor support intact, further rally is expected. Also, corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602. On the upside, break of 1.0797 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9562; (P) 0.9580; (R1) 0.9614; More

EUR/CHF failed to sustain above 0.9599 resistance after breaching it briefly. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9513 will resume larger down trend from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9599 will bring stronger rise to 0.9646 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9829). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9803; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9838; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 0.9797. Some consolidations could be seen first, but deeper decline is in favor with 0.9889 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.9797 will target 0.9704 support and possibly below, as whole corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9577; (P) 0.9600; (R1) 0.9632; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. Further decline is in favor as long as 0.9670 holds. On the downside, break of 0.9520 will resume the whole fall from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9670 will be the first sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9840 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9860). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9840 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s sharp fall last week finally confirmed short term topping at 1.2004, after failing to sustain above 1.2 handle. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidation. As long as 1.2004 holds, the consolidation will extend with risk of deeper pull back. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, decisive break of 1.2004 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indication of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1913; (P) 1.1949; (R1) 1.1968; More…

EUR/CHF is still struggling in range below 1.2004 and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidation could extend with risk of deeper pull back. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2004 will confirm up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend in EUR/CHF is still in progress. Prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 was already met but there is no sign of reversal yet. As long as 1.1445 support holds, we’d expect the up trend to extend to 2013 high at 1.2649 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Break of 1.1445 will be an indication of medium term reversal and will turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0507; (P) 1.0518; (R1) 1.0527; More

With 1.0551 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394. On the upside, above 1.0551 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.0653 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0241; (P) 1.0272; (R1) 1.0325; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF with 1.0335 resistance intact. Corrective rebound from 0.9970 could have completed at 1.0513. Break of 1.0086 will bring retest of 0.9970. On the upside, though, break of 1.0335 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1345; (P) 1.1378; (R1) 1.1396; More…

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.1476 extends lower today and reaches as low as 1.1339 so far. Break of 55 day EMA now argues that rebound from 1.1162 has completed at 1.1476 already, just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.1162 low. On the upside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 will confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.2004 and turn outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1230; (P) 1.1246; (R1) 1.1261; More…

EUR/CHF’s retreat from 1.1342 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook is unchanged that in case of deeper fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from key support zone of 1.1154/98 to bring strong rebound. On the upside, above 1.1342 will target 1.1452 resistance first. Break should confirm that whole decline from 1.2004 has completed a target 1.1713 resistance next. However, sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s decline extended to as low as 1.1171 last week and it’s now at a critical juncture. We’d still look for strong support from 1.1162 to contain downside to bring near term reversal. On the upside, break of 1.1278 resistance will suggests that fall from 1.1476 has completed and turn near term outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 1.1162 could carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re seeing fall from 1.2004 as a corrective pattern. And downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. However, sustained break of 1.1154 will confirm resumption of decline from 1.2004. More importantly, this will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1327; (P) 1.1379; (R1) 1.1415; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1363 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.1242 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1452, ahead of 1.1489 support turned resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low first. Break will bring a test on key support zone at 1.1154/98. On the upside, though, above 1.1452 will resume the rebound from 1.1242. Further break of 1.1489 will add to the case of bullish trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1215; (P) 1.1266; (R1) 1.1354; More…

EUR/CHF’s strong rally and break of 1.1319 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 1.1178. More importantly, considering bullish convergence in 4 hour and daily MACD too, EUR/CHF should have drawn strong support from 1.1154/98 and is reversing. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside. Decisive break of 1.1452 resistance will be another indication that whole fall from 1.2004 has completed. On the downside, however, break of 1.1265 minor support will turn focus back to 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1196) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9841; (P) 0.9873; (R1) 0.9905; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s still bounded in range below 0.9953. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9319; (P) 0.9343; (R1) 0.9370; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. While fall from 0.9471 could extend lower, strong support is still expected above 0.9252 low to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9388 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 0.9471 will resume the rebound from 0.9252 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes. However, firm break of 0.9683, and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9638) will argue that EUR/CHF is already in a medium term rally, even as a corrective move.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.1343 extended higher last week and mixed up the near term outlook. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish reversal. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1343 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.