Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0752; (P) 1.0779; (R1) 1.0815; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0839 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0694 will resume larger fall from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF’s down trend continued last week and accelerated to as low as 1.0567. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the downside from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next focus is 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1037) maintains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume the down trend from 1.2004 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1419; (P) 1.1441; (R1) 1.1455; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1487 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Fall from 1.1622 is a correction and would target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1487 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0602; (P) 1.0631; (R1) 1.0677; More…

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0584 extends higher today but stays below 1.0737 resistance. Outlook remains bearish and another fall is expected. Break of 1.0584 will extend recent down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, firm break of 1.0737 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0336; (P) 1.0365; (R1) 1.0412; More….

EUR/CHF retreats notably after just missing 1.0400 resistance and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, Firm break of 1.0400 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, however, break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.0292) will turn bias to the downside for 1.0186 support and below, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0400 with another leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF weakened mildly last week but recovered ahead of 1.0721 support. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias remains neutral first. Further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound form 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1655; (P) 1.1687; (R1) 1.1704; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with the retreat from 1.1713 temporary top. Another rise could still be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760. However, as rebound from 1.1366 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2004, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1760 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.1618 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1478 support and below. However, sustained trading above 1.1760 will pave the way to retest 1.2004 high next.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. Hence, we’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation above 0.9768 temporary low. As noted before, a medium term could be formed at 0.9928 on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Risk will now stay mildly on the downside as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, in case of recovery. Break of 0.9768 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 0.9765), will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9670. Strong support is expected there to complete the pull back and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9550; (P) 0.9578; (R1) 0.9603; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 0.9252 is in progress for 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. For now, further rally is expected as long as 0.9510 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9622) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.9% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9682; (P) 0.9740; (R1) 0.9781; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, above 0.9798 will resume the rebound to 0.9864 resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188), even as a corrective rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9618; (P) 0.9634; (R1) 0.9648; More…

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation from 0.9651 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9564 minor support holds. Above 0.9651 will resume the rebound from 0.9416 to 0.9691 resistance first. Firm break there will argue that whole decline from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Nevertheless, break of 0.9564 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0095 resistance holds, price actions from 0.9407 are viewed as a three-wave consolidation pattern first. Current rise from 0.9416 might be the third leg. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) might still resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 will argue that the long term down trend is reversing.

EUR/CHF finally broke out of range last week and dipped to as low as 1.0688. But as a temporary low was formed with subsequent recovery, initial bias is neutral this week first. Current development suggests that consolidation from pattern from 1.0915 has started the third leg. Break of 1.0688 will target 1.0602 support and possibly below. However, on the upside, break of 1.0749 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF surged to as high as 1.0869 last week and formed a temporary top there. It then turned into sideway consolidation. The firm break of 1.0823 is taken as a signal of larger reversal. Hence, further rally is expected in near term to 1.0897 resistance next.

Initial bias in EUR/CHF is neutral this week for consolidation first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.0781 minor support and bring another rise. Above 1.0869 will target 1.0897 resistance next. Decisive break there should confirm our bullish view of reversal. However, break of 1.0781 will bring deeper fall back towards 1.0652 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0652 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0895; (R1) 1.0928; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0832 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside above 1.0928 will extend the recovery but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, break of 1.0832 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9569; (P) 0.9582; (R1) 0.9600; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9476 and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9476, and sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9928 at 0.9510 will bring retest of 0.9252 low next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 should have completed at 0.9228. Medium term outlook remains bearish with 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

EUR/CHF edged higher to 1.0899 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Another rise is mildly in favor for now and break of 1.0899 will resume the rebound from 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance next. However, on the downside, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 1.0825) will turn focus back to 1.0694 low.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0858) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1056) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9576; (P) 0.9585; (R1) 0.9599; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range below 0.9601 resistance and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9601 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9513 will resume the decline from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. However, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9818). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1134; (P) 1.1165; (R1) 1.1194; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1119 and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.1119 will extend whole decline from 1.2004 and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, focus will stay on 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Sustained break of 1.1154 will argue that fall from 1.2004 is itself a long term down trend. Next target will be 1.0629 support next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1476 resistance holds even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1510; (P) 1.1538; (R1) 1.1570; More….

EUR/CHF’s corrective pattern from 1.1366 is extending and further rise cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1610 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.1462 minor support will bring retest of 1.1366 first. Break will resume decline from 1.2004 and target t next key support zone between 1.1154 and 1.1198.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Deeper fall would be seen to key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. We’d expect strong support around there to contain downside and bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0645; (P) 1.0664; (R1) 1.0690; More…

Despite dipping to 1.0631, EUR/CHF quickly recovered and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Deeper fall is still in favor as long as 1.0706 resistance holds. Below 1.0631 will target 1.0620 key support level. Decisive break of 1.0620 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 1.0706 minor resistance will raise the chance of medium term reversal and turn focus back to 1.0749 and then 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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