EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9611; (P) 0.9679; (R1) 0.9722; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.9631 will bring retest of 0.9550 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 0.9780 minor resistance will argue that corrective rebound from 0.9550 is resuming. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9471; (P) 0.9485; (R1) 0.9511; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook remains bearish with 0.9532 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9407 medium term bottom will confirm resumption of larger down trend. Next near term target will be 100% projection of 0.9840 to 0.9520 from 0.9691 at 0.9499, and then 161.8% projection at 0.9179. However, firm break of 0.9532 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for 0.9691 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm resumption, and target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. On the upside, break of 0.9691 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9871; (P) 0.9882; (R1) 0.9898; More….

EUR/CHF’s rally is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Decisive break of 61.8% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9899 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. On the downside, below 0.9851 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9728 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0904; (P) 1.0932; (R1) 1.0951; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0811 is extending. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0371; (P) 1.0393; (R1) 1.0410; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0513 will resume the whole rebound from 0.9970, for 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0216 will turn near term outlook bearish for 1.0086 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0677; (P) 1.0690; (R1) 1.0705; More

EUR/CHF’s strong rebound and break of 1.0747 resistance indicates short term bottoming at 1.0661. Fall from 1.0877 might have completed at 1.0661. More importantly, consolidation pattern from 1.0915 could have finished with three waves to 1.0661 too. Intraday bias now back on the upside for 1.0877 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rebound from 1.0503.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9834; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9878; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is extending. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 0.9798 support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9953 will resume the rise from 0.9407 to 100% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 1.0032.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9407. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9641 support holds, even as a corrective rebound. Next target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. Reaction from there, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0128) will reveal whether the trend is reversing.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0803; (P) 1.0838; (R1) 1.0856; More….

EUR/CHF retreated just ahead of 1.0877 resistance and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.0790 support holds. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 should have completed with three waves to 1.0661. Break of 1.0877 resistance will resume the whole rebound from 1.0503. On the downside, break of 1.0790 support will dampen this bullish case and might extend the consolidation with another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9930; (P) 0.9968; (R1) 1.0001; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.0095 is extending. Deeper fall could be seen and break of 0.9873 support cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0067 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9865; (P) 0.9878; (R1) 0.9902; More….

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation pattern from 0.9953 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0041) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1346; (P) 1.1367; (R1) 1.1390; More…

With 1.1429 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in EUR/CHF. As noted before, corrective rise from 1.1173 could have completed at 1.1501 already. Further fall would be seen to back to 1.1154/98 key support zone again. At this point, we’d still expect this key support zone to hold. On the upside, above 1.1429 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.1501 first. But still, break there is needed to confirm rally resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0283; (P) 1.0389; (R1) 1.0446; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0360 minor support argues that rebound from 0.9970 has completed as a three-wave corrective move at 1.0513. That came after rejection by 100% projection of 0.9970 to 1.0086 from 1.0400 at 1.0516 and 1.0505. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0186 support first. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 0.9476 extended to as high as 0.9754 last week and turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first for consolidations. Deeper retreat might be seen but further rise is in favor as long as 0.9639 support holds. Above 0.9754 will target 0.9928 high. Nevertheless, break of 0.9639 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9476 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0336; (P) 1.0365; (R1) 1.0412; More….

EUR/CHF retreats notably after just missing 1.0400 resistance and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, Firm break of 1.0400 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.9970 to 1.0610 structural resistance. On the downside, however, break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.0292) will turn bias to the downside for 1.0186 support and below, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0400 with another leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s recovery last week suggests that pull back from 0.9953 has completed at 0.9720, after drawing support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 0.9953 0.9744. Initial bias is mildly on the upside this week for retesting 0.9953. Firm break there will resume the rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9779 will likely resume the fall from 0.9953 through 0.9720.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

In the long term picture, capped well below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). In case of resumption, next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded further to 0.9797 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for consolidations. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9708 minor support holds. Break of 0.9797 will target a retest on 0.9847 high. However, break of 0.9708 will turn bias to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern form 0.9847 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9644) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

In the long term picture, fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Firm break of 1.0095 resistance is needed to be the first sign of long term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9781; (P) 0.9801; (R1) 0.9821; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays mildly on the upside despite some loss of upside momentum. Current rise from 0.9407 should target 61.8% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9798 from 0.9641 at 0.9883. Decisive break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming and target 100% projection at 1.0032. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9641 support holds.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9864 resistance will confirm medium term bottoming at 0.9407. Stronger rally should then be seen to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0138), even as a corrective rebound. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9864 will bring down trend resumption through 0.9407 next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0226; (P) 1.0263; (R1) 1.0307; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 1.0814 will indicate that rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0400, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low. On the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound to 1.0610 key structural resistance.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dipped to 1.1649 last week but quickly recovered. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. On the downside, below 1.1649 will affirm that case that corrective pattern from 1.1832 is extending with another falling leg. And, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1635). Sustained break will target 1.1445 support and possibly below. But we’d expect strong support from 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372) to complete the correction and break up trend resumption. On the upside, above 1.1748 will bring retest of 1.1832 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9784; (R1) 0.9819; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9835/47 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9252. On the downside, however, break of 0.9728 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9847 with another fall, back to 0.9563 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.