EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9540; (P) 0.9555; (R1) 0.9563; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. With 0.9601 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0705; (P) 1.0717; (R1) 1.0724; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Fall from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern fro 1.0915. Current recovery should be limited by 1.0749 resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, below 1.0688 temporary low will target 1.0602 support next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0749 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9602; (P) 0.9634; (R1) 0.9688; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9864 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9626; (P) 0.9645; (R1) 0.9670; More..,

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside for the moment. Current rally from 0.9252 would target 0.9683 key resistance next. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9618 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, intraday bias will be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9520).

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9620) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1014; (P) 1.1037; (R1) 1.1079; More….

EUR/CHF rebounded after hitting 1.0973, ahead of 1.0954 support. Upside is limited below 1.1116 resistance so far. Intraday bias stays neutral first as consolidation pattern from 1.1149 might still extend. But in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 1.1212 last week. The strong break of 1.1310 support confirmed that rebound from 1.1181 has completed at 1.1444. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for retesting 1.1173 low, as well as 1.1154/98 key support zone. We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. But decisive break will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 1.1298 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, with last week’s sharp decline, price actions from 1.1173 are now looking more like a consolidation that’s completed at 1.1444. Bearishness is also reflected in multiple rejection by 55 week EMA. Immediate focus is back on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. 1.0629 support will be next target.

In the long term picture, the current development argues that long term up trend has completed at 1.2004 after rejection of 1.2 key resistance. Sustained break of 1.1198 support will confirm this bearish case and target 1.0629 and possibly below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0315; (P) 1.0337; (R1) 1.0374; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed by taking out 1.0324 and hit as low as 1.0298. But a temporary low was quickly formed and intraday bias is turned neutral again first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0708; (P) 1.0728; (R1) 1.0746; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in the consolidation pattern from 1.0677 and intraday bias stays neutral. Price actions from 1.1198 are seen a corrective pattern that is still unfolding. Below 1.0677 will target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0800; (P) 1.0830; (R1) 1.0851; More

EUR/CHF spikes lower to 1.0788 and breach of 1.0811 low suggests resumption of larger down trend. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn bias to the upside for recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0784; (P) 1.0808; (R1) 1.0824; More….

EUR/CHF is holding on to 1.0790 support despite the deep pull back from 1.0871. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is still in favor. Consolidation pattern from 1.0915 should have completed with three waves to 1.0661. Break of 1.0877 resistance will resume the whole rebound from 1.0503. On the downside, break of 1.0790 support will dampen this bullish case. and turn bias to the downside to extend the consolidation from 1.0915.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s strong rebound last week suggests that a short term bottom was already formed at 1.0324, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour and daily MACD. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0474). Sustained break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0936 to 1.0324 at 1.0558. On the downside, below 1.0397 minor support will bring retest of 1.0324 low instead.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1015) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 is now in progress for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 0.9650.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0715 support last week suggests resumption of whole decline from 1.1149. While downside momentum is a bit week, initial bias stays on the downside this week first. next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next. On the upside, above 1.0756 minor resistance will bring recovery. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0839 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1056) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0755; (P) 1.0770; (R1) 1.0787; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 1.0721 support intact, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0959; (P) 1.0982; (R1) 1.0994; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside as recent decline continues. Firm break of 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0645 next. On the upside, above 1.1005 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1154 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9454; (P) 0.9477; (R1) 0.9494; More

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation from 0.9402 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper decline is expected with 0.9543 resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0855; (P) 1.0886; (R1) 1.0913; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0832 is still unfolding. On the upside above 1.0928 will extend the recovery but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, break of 1.0832 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0383; (P) 1.0398; (R1) 1.0424; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.0432 resistance holds. Break of 1.0324 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, however, break of 1.0432 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0465 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1016; (P) 1.1035; (R1) 1.1066; More…

With 1.0983 support intact, further rally is still expected in EUR/CHF. Current rise from 1.0629 should target 1.1127/98 resistance zone. However, break of 1.0983 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0906).

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0808; (P) 1.0825; (R1) 1.0836; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0802 is still extending. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0802 will resume the decline from 1.1149, to 1.0737 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0882) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1599; (P) 1.1619; (R1) 1.1647; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range below 1.1721 and intraday bias remains neural. With 1.1541 support intact, outlook remains bullish for further rise. Decisive break of 1.1721 will resume the medium term tup trend and target 1.2 key level. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and daily MACD, decisive break of 1.1541 will confirm topping and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1355 key support.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1142) and possibly below.