Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1500; (P) 1.1526; (R1) 1.1541; More….

Breach of 1.1497 minor support argues that recovery from1.1387 has completed at 1.1565 already. intraday bias is turned back to the downside. EUR/CHF is staying the third leg of correction from 1.1622 and should extend through 1.1387 support. Nonetheless, strong support in expect at 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251) to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0694 resumed later week after some consolidations. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 1.0985 resistance first. Sustained break there will target a test on 1.1149 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.0837 support will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0694 low.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1056) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1561; (P) 1.1623; (R1) 1.1658; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.1832 is seen as correcting rise from 1.0629. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372. On the upside, above 1.1684 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1832 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term should be in place at 1.1832. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0622; (P) 1.0653; (R1) 1.0669; More…

EUR/CHF’s recovery was limited well below 1.0706 resistance and weakened again. Nonetheless, it’s staying in range of 1.0629/0706. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As 1.0706 resistance stays intact, deeper decline is still expected in the cross. Firm break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, break of 1.0706 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0749 resistance will raise the chance of medium reversal.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0752; (P) 1.0779; (R1) 1.0815; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0839 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.0694 will resume larger fall from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0863) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0844; (P) 1.0855; (R1) 1.0864; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 1.0823 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook also remains bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0823 will resume the whole fall from 1.1149, to 1.0737 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0678; (P) 1.0684; (R1) 1.0692; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. But the bearish outlook is unchanged with 1.0734 resistance intact. That is, rebound from 1.0629 has completed at 1.0823. And the larger decline from 1.1198 is likely still in progress. On the downside, below 1.0668 will target 1.0620/29 key support zone. Decisive break there will resume whole fall from 1.1198 and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.0485. Nonetheless, break of 1.0734 will suggest that pull back from 1.0823 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Current development suggests that it’s not completed yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. In any case, break of 1.0823 resistance is needed to be the first indication of reversal. Otherwise, deeper fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

EUR/CHF dipped to 1.1540 last week but formed a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Upside is expected to limited be limited by 1.1684 resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, the decline from 1.1832 is correcting medium term rise from 1.0629. Below 1.1540 will target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.)

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0631; (P) 1.0647; (R1) 1.0659; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0706 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish and deeper decline is expected. Firm break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, break of 1.0706 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0749 resistance will raise the chance of medium reversal.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1488; (P) 1.1507; (R1) 1.1530; More….

As noted before, the recovery from 1.1387 could have completed at 1.1565 already. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside for 1.1387 support first. Break there will extend the correction from 1.1622 and should target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1599; (P) 1.1619; (R1) 1.1647; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and daily MACD, decisive break of 1.1541 will confirm topping and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1355 key support. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.1721 resistance will resume recent up trend towards 1.2 key level.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1158) and possibly below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1122; (P) 1.1138; (R1) 1.1162; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 1.1056 is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral for now. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0700; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0733; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0689 minor support intact, we continue to favor the case of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, after defending 1.0620 key support level. That is, correction from 1.1198 could have completed. Above 1.0823 will target 1.0897 resistance next. However, break of 1.0689 support will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0629 low again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0711; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More….

Further decline is expected in EUR/CHF with 1.0770 resistance intact. Sustained break of 1.0694 low will resume whole down trend from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0696; (P) 1.0709; (R1) 1.0723; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, break of 1.0823 resistance will re-affirm the case of trend reversal. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0897 resistance for confirmation. However, break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0912; (P) 1.0925; (R1) 1.0945; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside as rise from 1.0694 is in progress. 1.0985 resistance is the next target. Sustained break there will target a test on 1.1149 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.0837 support will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0694 low.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

EUR/CHF’s pull back from 1.1537 short term top extended to 1.1260 last week. But the cross drew support from 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 as expected and recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.1394 minor resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1537 high. Nonetheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.1267 will extend the fall and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1100.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1503; (P) 1.1526; (R1) 1.1566; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.1445 temporary low. As long as 1.1639 resistance holds, further decline is expected. Below 1.1445 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1832 to 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0940; (P) 1.0962; (R1) 1.0982; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral after breaching 1.0973 minor resistance. Overall outlook is unchanged that it’s bounded in consolidation from 1.0811, which is extending. In case of further rise, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, below 1.0921 will bring retest of 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1400; (P) 1.1429; (R1) 1.1448; More…

With 1.1511 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected in EUR/CHF. Correction from 1.1622 short term top would extend through 1.1355 support. Strong support is expected from 1.1257 (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1511 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.