Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1366; (P) 1.1396; (R1) 1.1421; More…

EUR/CHF dips mildly today but it’s, after all, staying in consolidation from 1.1537. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.1537 resistance will confirm resumption of larger rally from 1.0629. In that case, EUR/CHF should target 1.2 key resistance level next. On the downside, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0510; (P) 1.0521; (R1) 1.0528; More…

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0503. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9918; (R1) 0.9937; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggests short term bottoming at 0.9804, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0125). on the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend to 0.9650 long term projection level.

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0759; (P) 1.0774; (R1) 1.0783; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 resistance will extend the rebound from 1.0602 for retesting 1.0915 high. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0855; (P) 1.0886; (R1) 1.0913; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0832 is still unfolding. On the upside above 1.0928 will extend the recovery but upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0832 at 1.1078. On the downside, break of 1.0832 will resume larger down trend from 1.2004.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9562; (P) 0.9580; (R1) 0.9614; More…

EUR/CHF failed to sustain above 0.9599 resistance after breaching it briefly. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9513 will resume larger down trend from 1.0095, towards 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9599 will bring stronger rise to 0.9646 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9829). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1537; (P) 1.1571; (R1) 1.1622; More… .

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally is expected to target 61.8% projection of 1.0830 to 1.1537 from 1.1355 at 1.1792 next. On the downside, below 1.1511 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1068; (P) 1.1084; (R1) 1.1113; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first with focus on 1.1096 resistance. Decisive break there will extend the whole rebound from 1.0503 to 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1149. In any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is now on 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076). Sustained break there will argue that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting an up trend. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above. Though, rejection by 1.1059/76 will remain medium term bearishness first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0737; (P) 1.0790; (R1) 1.0817; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral as it retreated sharply after hitting 1.0849. Further rise is still in favor as long as 1.0739 support holds. Break of 1.0849 will target 1.0915 resistance. However, break of 1.0739 will suggest that rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for this support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1819; (P) 1.1883; (R1) 1.1917; More…

EUR/CHF drops sharply to as low as 1.1777 so far today and breaks 38.2% retracement of 1.1445 to 1.2004 at 1.1790. Based on current momentum, deeper decline would likely be seen. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement at 1.1659 and below. On the upside, break of 1.1864 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will be mildly bearish even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, 1.2004 could be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is corrective the up trend from 1.0629. Hence, for now, deeper fall could be seen back to 1.1445, which is close to 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1479. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound to extend the medium term corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1287; (P) 1.1318; (R1) 1.1339; More…

EUR/CHF lost momentum again after hitting 1.1348 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case the choppy fall from 1.1501 has completed at 1.1224, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Hence, downside of current retreat should be contain well above 1.1224 to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.1348 will target a test on 1.1501 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF gyrated lower last week as the decline from 1.1713 extended. Outlook remains unchanged that corrective rebound from 1.1366 should have completed with three waves up to 1.1713 already. Deeper fall is expected this week for 1.1478 support first. Break there will confirm our bearish view and target 1.1366 low and below. Nonetheless, on the upside, above 1.1637 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside and could extend the rise from 1.1366. But even in that case, we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1760 to bring near term reversal.

In the bigger picture, 1.2004 is seen as a medium term top with bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. 1.2000 is also an important resistance level. Hence, the corrective pattern from 1.2004 is expected to extend for a while before completion. We’re not anticipating a break of 1.2004 in near term. Another decline cannot be ruled out yet. But in that case, strong support should be seen at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to contain downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0990; (P) 1.1023; (R1) 1.1048; More…

EUR/CHF’s sharp decline indicates temporary topping at 1.1059. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.0936 support to bring another rally. Above 1.1059 will target 1.1127 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance should target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0766; (P) 1.0794; (R1) 1.0835; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as sideway consolidation continues below 1.0838. Intraday bias stays neutral and further rise is expected with 1.0712 intact. On the upside, break of 1.0838 will target 1.0915 high. Firm break there will resume whole rise from 1.0503 to 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. However, break of 1.0712 support will dampen this bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0602, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0874; (P) 1.0890; (R1) 1.0909; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0856 temporary low. On the downside, break of 1.0856 will target 1.0811 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 1.0926 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery. Overall outlook is unchanged that’s consolidation from 1.0811 might extend. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0946; (P) 1.0961; (R1) 1.0990; More….

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0915 cluster support (38.2% retracement 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0903) intact, we’re still seeing price actions from 1.1149 as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 1.1026 resistance would argue that larger up trend is ready to resume and bring retest of 1.1149 first. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.0903/15 will suggest bearish reversal, or at least bring deeper fall to next cluster support zone at 1.0737 support zone (61.8% retracement at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed,. Rejection by 55 month EMA would also keep long term outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF dropped further to 0.9602 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited well below 0.9948 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9602 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until firm break of 1.0505 support (2020 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0958; (P) 1.0970; (R1) 1.0984; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the upside as rebound from 1.0863 resumes. Further rise could be seen towards 1.1026 resistance. But overall outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1026 holds. On the downside, break of 1.0939 support will bring retest of 1.0863 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9726; (P) 0.9740; (R1) 0.9753; More…

Outlook in EUR/CHF is unchanged as choppy decline form 0.9995 could extend lower. But strong support should be seen from 0.9704 to bring rebound. Break of 0.9847 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the downside. However, firm break of 0.9704 will resume the whole decline from 1.0095 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0535; (P) 1.0564; (R1) 1.0586; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.0710 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.