Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9479; (P) 0.9512; (R1) 0.9570; More…

While EUR/CHF’s recovery from 0.9402 extended higher, it’s still capped by 0.9543 resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral and further decline remains in favor. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF edged lower last week but failed to break through 1.0503 low. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Consolidation from 1.0503 could still extend with another rise. But even in that case, upside should be limited below 1.0653 resistance. Eventual downside break out is expected. Sustained break of 1.0503 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9613; (P) 0.9671; (R1) 0.9708; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. Break of 0.9780 minor resistance will argue that corrective rebound from 0.9550 is resuming. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917. On the downside, below 0.9631 will bring retest of 0.9550 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1327; (P) 1.1379; (R1) 1.1415; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1363 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.1242 has completed earlier than expected at 1.1452, ahead of 1.1489 support turned resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1242 low first. Break will bring a test on key support zone at 1.1154/98. On the upside, though, above 1.1452 will resume the rebound from 1.1242. Further break of 1.1489 will add to the case of bullish trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1189) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend.

EUR/CHF edged higher to 0.9793 last week but turned sideway since then. Still, a short term bottom should be in place after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Further rally is in favor. Break of 0.9793 and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9778) will add to case that whole correction from 1.0095 has completed Intraday bias will be back on the for 0.9878 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9924). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not complete yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0484) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9702; (P) 0.9728; (R1) 0.9755; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9650 long term projection level. Some support might be seen there to bring rebound. But break of 0.9948 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish. Firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF recovered further last week started to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Outlook remains unchanged that price actions from 1.0811 low are seen as a consolidation pattern. While further rise cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to limit upside. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 1.0811 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1417; (P) 1.1442; (R1) 1.1457; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1511 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected for 1.1355 support first. Break will target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1511 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0919; (P) 1.0932; (R1) 1.0953; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 1.0910. Overall outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 1.0811 might extend further. Above 1.0982 minor resistance will bring another rise. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption eventually. On the downside, below 1.0910 will target 1.0811/63 support zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9751; (P) 0.9764; (R1) 0.9785; More…

EUR/CHF’s correction from 0.9995 might extend lower. But downside should be contained above 0.9704 to bring rebound. Whole corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. On the upside, break of 0.9847 resistances will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rally back to 0.9995.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9971) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9799; (P) 0.9812; (R1) 0.9833; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9835/47 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9252. On the downside, however, break of 0.9728 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9847 with another fall, back to 0.9563 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0737; (P) 1.0764; (R1) 1.0793; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as sideway consolidation continues. With 1.0712 support intact, further rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.0838 will target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rally from 1.0503 to 1.0503. On the downside, break of 1.0712 support will dampen our bullish view. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.0602, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0915 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9706; (P) 0.9729; (R1) 0.9752; More…

EUR/CHF failed to break through 0.9760 resistance and treated. Intraday bias stays neutral first. Strong support should still be seen around 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670 to complete the whole corrective pattern from 1.0095. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will pave the way back to 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9963). Down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9877; (R1) 0.9915; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Near term risk stays on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) holds. Rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Firm break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. However, sustained trading above 55 day EMA will bring stronger rise back to retest 1.0095 instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9602; (P) 0.9634; (R1) 0.9688; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9864 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9530 will extend larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0512 to 0.9550 from 0.9864 at 0.9269.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9864 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0024; (P) 1.0052; (R1) 1.0093; More….

EUR/CHF rally is still accelerating and hits as high as 1.0095 so far today. Further rally should be seen to 100% projection of 0.9407 to 0.9953 from 0.9720 at 1.0266 next. On the downside, below 1.0017 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 and 55 week EMA (now at 1.0041) is taken as an initial sign of long term bullish reversal. Further rally is expected as long as 55 days EMA (now at 0.9860) holds. Next target is 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). Reactions from there should reveal long term momentum.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0327; (P) 1.0360; (R1) 1.0411; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0349 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.0513 has completed at 1.0216 already. More importantly, the development indicates that whole rebound from 0.9970 is still in progress. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.0513 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.0306 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0577; (P) 1.0587; (R1) 1.0598; More…

EUR/CHF rebounds after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA, but stays below 1.0662 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rise is in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0662 will resume the current rebound to 1.0710 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1059 to 1.0503 at 1.0715). However, break of 1.0578 minor support will bring retest of 1.0503 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, we’d still expect larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) to extend lower to parity. However, Firm break of 1.0811 should confirm medium term bottoming at 1.0503. Stronger rise should be seen back to 1.1059 resistance and above.

EUR/CHF’s down trend from 1.1149 resumed last week and reached as low as 1.0740. Initial bias remains on the downside this week. Sustained trading below 1.0737/0751 support zone will pave the way to retest 1.0505 low. On the upside, break of 1.0802 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.1149 resistance holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1068) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1372; (P) 1.1395; (R1) 1.1420; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in tight range below 1.1452 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1361 minor support will suggest rejection by 1.1452 resistance. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downsides for retesting 1.1154/98. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1452 resistance should confirm bullish reversal, after drawing strong support from 1.1154/98 zone. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish for 1.1713 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.