EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0840; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0867; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0802 temporary low first. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0802 will resume the decline from 1.1149, to 1.0737 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0882) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9669; (P) 0.9715; (R1) 0.9742; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9760 resistance should confirm short term bottoming after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 0.9878 resistance next. However, sustained break of 0.9670 will extend the whole decline from 1.0095 towards 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. The pair is also capped below 55 W EMA (now at 0.9938). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0357; (P) 1.0374; (R1) 1.0399; More….

EUR/CHF recovered after dipping to 1.0324 and intraday bias is turned neural first. Outlook stays bearish as long as 1.0432 resistance holds. Break of 1.0324 will resume larger down trend from 1.1149 to 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, however, break of 1.0432 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0465 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed with waves up to 1.0513, after rejection by 1.0505 key resistance. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.0186 support first. Break there will target 1.0086 next. On the upside, above 1.0359 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 1.0513 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0876).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9766; (P) 0.9794; (R1) 0.9841; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9711. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9844 support turned resistance to bring another decline. As noted before, rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. Overall, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9906) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0958; (P) 1.0990; (R1) 1.1005; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. We’re viewing price actions from 1.1149 as a consolidation pattern only. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that such consolidation has completed. And, larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0915 resistance turned support will suggest bearish reversal and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0696; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0741; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend is expected to target 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, break of 1.0788 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9637; (P) 0.9652; (R1) 0.9680; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF below 0.9678 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9595 support holds. Firm break of 0.9678/91 resistance zone will carry larger bullish implication. Nevertheless, break of 0.9595 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0822; (P) 1.0830; (R1) 1.0841; More….

EUR/CHF is still bounded in range of 1.0784/0844 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.0844 will extend the rebound from 1.0737 towards 1.0890 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.0784 will target 1.0737 support. Overall, sideway trading from 1.0915 is set to extend for a while.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9338; (P) 0.9359; (R1) 0.9391; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as price actions from 0.9252 are seen as a consolidation pattern only. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish with 0.9402 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9252 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9104 next. However, firm break of 0.9402 will dampen this view, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9543 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF dipped to as low as 1.0635 last week but recovered ahead of 1.0620 support. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidations. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0749 resistance holds and deeper decline is expected. Decisive break of 1.0620 key support level will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.1198. In that case, next downside target will be 1.0485 fibonacci level. Break of 1.0749 will raise the chance of medium term reversal and turn focus back to 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

EUR/CHF 4 Hours Chart

EUR/CHF Daily Chart

EUR/CHF Weekly Chart

EUR/CHF Monthly Chart

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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0363; (P) 1.0381; (R1) 1.0393; More….

Intraday in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Recovery from 1.0298 might still extend higher, but upside should be limited well below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s fall form 0.9996 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. This decline is seen as part of the whole correction from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA (now at 1.0566) and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1022; (P) 1.1043; (R1) 1.1056; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1149 could extend further. But in case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9589; (P) 0.9636; (R1) 0.9721; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first with focus on 0.9712 resistance. Decisive break there will argue that fall from 0.9864 has completed totally at 0.9407, and bring stronger rally back to this résistance. Further break there will carry larger bullish implication. Nevertheless, break of 0.9548 minor support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 0.9407 low first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will indicate medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0188).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1431; (P) 1.1457; (R1) 1.1490; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1487 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Fall from 1.1622 is a correction and break of 1.1387 would target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1487 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0706; (P) 1.0732; (R1) 1.0762; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first, as a temporary low was formed at 1.0698 with current recovery. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0839 resistance holds. Below 1.0698 will resume larger decline from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0985 to 1.0715 from 1.0839 at 1.0672 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.0569 next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0865) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly to as high as 1.0797 last week and retreated after forming a temporary top there. Corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602. Initial bias is neutral this week first, and further rise is expected as long as 1.0701 minor support holds. On the upside, above 1.0797 will target 1.0915 resistance next. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9530; (P) 0.9556; (R1) 0.9571; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. With 0.9501 resistance intact, larger down trend is still in favor to continue. On the downside, break of 0.9513 support will confirm this bearish case and target 0.9407 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9601 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 0.9646 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9588; (P) 0.9622; (R1) 0.9643; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook that further decline is still expected with 0.9698 resistance intact. Current down trend should now target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, break of 0.9698 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.