EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9656; (P) 0.9672; (R1) 0.9703; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside with focus on 0.9683 resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 0.9773 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.9618 support will indicate short term topping. In this case, intraday bias will be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9527).

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9683 resistance holds, rebound from 0.9252 are seen as a corrective move only. Larger down trend is expected to resume through 0.9252 after the correction completes. However, firm break of 0.9683 and sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9620) will argue that 0.9252 is already a medium term bottom. Stronger rise would then be seen 61.8% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9773 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0713; (P) 1.0723; (R1) 1.0745; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0689 minor support intact, we continue to favor the case of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, after defending 1.0620 key support level. That is, correction from 1.1198 could have completed. Above 1.0823 will target 1.0897 resistance next. However, break of 1.0689 support will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0629 low again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0752; (P) 1.0785; (R1) 1.0802; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 1.0721 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503. However, break of 1.0721 will suggest completion of the rebound from 1.0602. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for this 1.0602 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9429; (P) 0.9467; (R1) 0.9497; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside for retesting 0.9407/16 support zone. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, touching 0.9504 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) maintains medium term bearishness in EUR/CHF. Firm break of 0.9047 support (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9683 holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1342; (P) 1.1365; (R1) 1.1396; More…

EUR/CHF hit as low as 1.1334 but quickly recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is still in favor as long as 1.1470 minor resistance holds. On the downside below 1.1334 will resume the decline from 1.1501 and target 1.1154/98 key support zone again. On the upside, break of 1.1470 will turn focus back to 1.1501. Decisive break of 1.1501 will revive the case of bullish reversal.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1243) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

 

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1470; (P) 1.1521; (R1) 1.1579; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point as consolidation from 1.1366 is in progress. In case of further recovery, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1366 at 1.1610 to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 1.1366 will resume the fall from 1.2004 and target next key support zone between 1.1154 and 1.1198.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests solid rejection by prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily and weekly MACD, 1.2004 should be a medium term top. And price action from 1.2004 is correcting the up trend from 1.0629. Deeper fall would be seen to key cluster level at 1.1198 (2016 high), 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. We’d expect strong support around there to contain downside and bring rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1552; (P) 1.1595; (R1) 1.1649; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. Decline from 1.1832 is still in progress. It’s seen as correcting medium term rise from 1.0629. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.) On the upside, above 1.1636 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1832 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1361; (P) 1.1395; (R1) 1.1417; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with the current retreat and some consolidations could be seen. But further rise is expected as long as 1.1347 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1429 will resume the rise from 1.1181 to 1.1501 key resistance. However, break of 1.1347 will argue that such rebound might be finished. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downside for 1.1259 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation above 1.0228 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and further fall is expected with 1.0359 resistance intact. On the downside, below 1.0228 will reaffirm the case that corrective rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0513. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0086 support next. However, above 1.0359 will dampen this bearish view and bring stronger recovery back towards 1.0513 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low) holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. However, firm break of 1.0505 will suggest medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 1.1149 structural resistance.

In the long term picture, capped below 55 month EMA, EUR/CHF is seen as extending the multi-decade down trend. There is no prospect of a bullish reversal until some sustained trading above the 55 month EMA (now at 1.0870).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0506; (P) 1.0513; (R1) 1.0522; More

EUR/CHF is still holding above 1.0503 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0503 could still extend with another rise. But in that case, upside should be limited by 1.0653 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 1.0503 will target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress for parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0653 resistance holds. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 1.0653 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming. Stronger rebound would then be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9711; (P) 0.9733; (R1) 0.9755; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen first. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9639 minor support holds. Above 0.9754 will resume the rise from 0.9476 to 0.9928 high. Nevertheless, break of 0.9639 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9476 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9563; (P) 0.9597; (R1) 0.9624; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should now target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334. On the upside, break of 0.9698 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0929; (P) 1.0946; (R1) 1.0960; More…

A temporary top is formed at 1.0964 again and intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral for consolidation. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.0893 support to bring another rally. Above 1.0964 will target 1.0986/0999 resistance zone. Break there will extend whole rally from 1.0629 to 61.8% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1036.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0920; (P) 1.0933; (R1) 1.0944; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point, and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0863 could have completed at 1.0985, after rejection by medium term channel resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0863 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149 to 1.0737 cluster support zone. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0985 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1074) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.0610 extended lower last week and break of 1.0439 support argues that rebound from 1.0298 low has completed at 1.0610. The came after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 1.0298 at 1.0623. Initial bias is now on the downside this week fir retesting 1.0298 low. On the upside, above 1.0480 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.0298 on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rebound from there is still tentatively viewed part of a corrective pattern. That is, larger down trend from 1.2004 (2018) could still extend through 1.0298 to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0667) will argue that the down trend is over, and bring stronger rise back to 1.1149 next.

In the long term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.0947) maintains long term bearishness. Down trend from 1.2004 could still extend lower as long as 1.1149 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9825; (P) 0.9854; (R1) 0.9890; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues. Outlook remains bearish with 0.9953 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9804 will resume larger down trend. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, however, break of 0.9953 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0080).

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0714; (P) 1.0731; (R1) 1.0750; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.0797 temporary top is extending. Further rise is expected as long as 1.0701 minor support holds. Also, corrective pull back from 1.0915 should have completed at 1.0602. On the upside, break of 1.0797 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0915 resistance first. Break there will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 and target 100% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0602 at 1.1014 next. On the downside, though, break of 1.0701 minor support will dampen the bullish case and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) holds, price actions from 1.0503 are seen as a consolidation pattern. That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9894; (P) 0.9911; (R1) 0.9939; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is now on the upside this week as recent rally continues. Current rise from 0.9252 should target 100% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. On the downside, below 0.9880 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9728 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9761; (P) 0.9791; (R1) 0.9827; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Another fall cannot be ruled out, to retest 0.9670 low. Sustained break there will resume the whole fall from 1.0095. Nevertheless, break of 0.9840 will resume the rebound from 0.9670 to 0.9878 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9918). Down trend form 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to extend through 0.9407 at a later stage. Nevertheless, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9786; (P) 0.9799; (R1) 0.9819; More

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as fall from 0.9995 is expected with 0.9846 resistance intact. The fall is seen as part of the whole correction from 1.0095. Deeper fall would be seen to 0.9704 and below. On the upside, however, break of 0.9846 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).