EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0992; (P) 1.1008; (R1) 1.1026; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in tight range above 1.0964 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Price actions form 1.0811 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, break of 1.0964 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0807; (P) 1.0833; (R1) 1.0850; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with today’s retreat first. On the upside, firm break of 1.0871 will suggest that whole rebound from 1.0503 is resuming. Further rally should be seen through 1.0915 resistance to 61.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0735 at 1.0990.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1729; (P) 1.1752; (R1) 1.1792; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first. As 1.1683 support holds, near term outlook stays bullish for further rally. Again, considering relatively weak upside momentum, in case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance below 1.2 handle to bring medium term reversal. Break of 1.1683 support will be a early sign of reversal and turn focus to 1.1602 support.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect further rise to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000 and above. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1015; (P) 1.1029; (R1) 1.1049; More….

EUR/CHF is still extending the consolidation pattern from 1.1149 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out, but we’d expect strong support from 1.0954 to bring rebound, and then rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1116 will argue that larger rise from 1.0504 is ready to resume through 1.1149 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0840; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0867; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0802 temporary low first. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0802 will resume the decline from 1.1149, to 1.0737 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0882) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1283; (P) 1.1321; (R1) 1.1385; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 1.1537 continues. On the upside, break of 1.1477 resistance will argue that the consolidation from 1.1537 has completed and larger rise is resuming. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0937; (P) 1.0954; (R1) 1.0967; More….

At this point, we’d continue to look for strong support around 1.0954 to complete the consolidation pattern from 1.1149. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0954 will be the first signal of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.0915 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0713; (P) 1.0727; (R1) 1.0745; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further decline is expected as long as 1.0770 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0694 support will resume whole decline from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1751; (P) 1.1780; (R1) 1.1826; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed by taking out 1.1777 and reaches as high as 1.1818 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for further rally. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance below 1.2 handle to limit upside and bring medium term reversal. But break of 1.1683 support is needed to indicate short term topping first. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1665; (P) 1.1701; (R1) 1.1721; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. We’d maintain that it’s close to topping. And in case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen well below 1.2 handle to bring medium term reversal. On the downside, break of 1.1602 support will indicate reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.1387 and below.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0703; (P) 1.0721; (R1) 1.0734; More….

EUR/CHF drops to as low as 1.0678 so far. Break of 1.0694 support confirms resumption of whole decline from 1.1149. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. Sustained break there will pave the way towards 100% projection at 1.0481. On the upside, break of 1.0750 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0883; (P) 1.0898; (R1) 1.0916; More…

The consolidation pattern from 1.0986 is still extending and intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rise resumption. As noted before, the consolidative pattern from 1.1198 should be completed. Firm break of 1.0999 resistance will pave the way for a retest on 1.1198 high.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation above 1.0802 support last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidations. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. On the downside, break of 1.0802 will resume the decline from 1.1149 to 1.0737 cluster support next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already, after hitting 1.1078 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0880) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

In the long term picture, price actions from 1.0505 are currently seen as a correction to down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). only. The failure to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0505 at 1.1078 retains long term bearishness. This is also affirmed by rejection by 55 month EMA. Another fall through 1.0505 is mildly in favor for now.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1337; (P) 1.1354; (R1) 1.1378; More…

EUR/CHF recovers mildly today but stays inside range of 1.1310/1444. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.1310 support holds, further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume the rebound from 1.1181 to 1.1501 key resistance next. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.1310 will suggest that rebound from 1.1181 might be completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.1181 low again.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0846; (P) 1.0867; (R1) 1.0893; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is neutral for the moment. While the correction might extend lower, downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.0908 resistance will argue that the correction is completed. In such case, intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0986/0999 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1417; (P) 1.1442; (R1) 1.1457; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1511 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected for 1.1355 support first. Break will target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1511 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0746; (P) 1.0758; (R1) 1.0777; More….

EUR/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in hour MACD. But further decline is expected as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds. Fall from 1.0936 should target 1.0694 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149. ON the upside, however, sustained break of 1.0811 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains mixed as EUR/CHF is still failing to get rid of 55 week EMA cleanly. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0811; (P) 1.0831; (R1) 1.0844; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as fall from 1.1149 is in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.0737 cluster support next. On the upside, above 1.0866 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0985 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0767; (P) 1.0792; (R1) 1.0804; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the downside as fall from 1.1149 is in progress. Break of channel support suggest downside acceleration. Next target is 1.0737/51 cluster support. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.0505 low. On the upside, break of 1.0863 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already, after hitting 1.1078 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0880) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1333; (P) 1.1387; (R1) 1.1418; More…

EUR/CHF weakens notably today but it’s staying in range of 1.1260/1537. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress and there could be deeper fall. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 to bring rebound. Break of 1.1537 resistance will resume up trend from 1.0629. However, firm break of 1.1267 will extend the correction from 1.1537 and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1100, before completion.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.