Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0767; (P) 1.0781; (R1) 1.0806; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 1.0721 support intact, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound form 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1222; (P) 1.1244; (R1) 1.1262; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range above 1.1181 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper fall could still be seen. But again, we’d expect strong support from 1.1154/98 support zone to contain downside to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.1348 resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.1501 resistance first. However, Sustained break of 1.1154/98 will carry larger bearish implications and extend the whole decline from 1.2004 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1218; (P) 1.1263; (R1) 1.1290; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1260 support confirms resumption of whole decline from 1.1501. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.1173 low next. For now, we’d expect strong support inside 1.1154/98 key support zone to bring reversal. On the upside, above 1.1277 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0901; (P) 1.0917; (R1) 1.0943; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.0925 suggests short term bottoming at 1.0863. Intraday bias is turned to the upside for stronger rebound. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1026 resistance holds. Break of 1.0863 will resume the decline from 1.1149, to next cluster support zone at 1.0737, (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751).

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0364; (P) 1.0379; (R1) 1.0389; More….

Breach of 1.0365 suggests resumption of down trend from 1.1149. Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, however, break of 1.0432 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0465 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0662; (P) 1.0686; (R1) 1.0701; More…

EUR/CHF surges sharply to as high as 1.0815 and the development argues that whole rise from 1.0629 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and will target 1.0897 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.0718 support is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0823 resistance will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0999 will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0652 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0796; (P) 1.0809; (R1) 1.0820; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.1149 is in progress for 1.0737 cluster support next. On the upside, break of 1.0863 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed with three waves up to 1.1149 already, after hitting 1.1078 long term fibonacci level. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0880) will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will bring retest of 1.0505 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1380; (P) 1.1396; (R1) 1.1407; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1444 temporary low. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1347 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.1444 will resume the rebound from 1.1181 to retest 1.1501 key resistance. However, sustained break of 1.1347 will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, with double bottom pattern (1.1173, 1.1181) Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1382; (P) 1.1413; (R1) 1.1438; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.1361 minor support will suggest rejection by 1.1452 resistance. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the downsides for retesting 1.1154/98. On the upside, decisive break of 1.1452 resistance should confirm bullish reversal, after drawing strong support from 1.1154/98 zone. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish for 1.1713 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1234) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1347; (P) 1.1368; (R1) 1.1381; More…

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1365 minor support suggests short term topping at 1.1476, after being rejected by 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.1324). Sustained break will bring deeper decline to retest 1.1162 low. On the upside, break of 1.1484 fibonacci resistance will confirm completion of corrective fall from 1.2004. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1682 and above.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.1444 resistance with current rebound. Decisive break there will indicate completion of the decline from 1.2004, with support from 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. In this case, further rise should be seen to 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 is now needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1283; (P) 1.1307; (R1) 1.1324; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Corrective fall from 1.1476 is in progress towards 1.1162 low. We’d expect strong support above there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1350 will suggest that the pull back has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1162 at 1.1484 again.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective fall from 1.2004 has completed after being supported by 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154. Decisive break of 1.1501 resistance should confirm and target 1.1713 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 1.1154 is needed to confirm down trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will be neutral at worst.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1673; (P) 1.1696; (R1) 1.1738; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as it’s still bounded in range below 1.1736. We continue to believe that the cross is close to topping, if not formed. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1597 support will a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313. However, strong break of 1.1736 will resume medium term up trend from 1.0629 instead.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1198 is firmly taken out.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1065; (P) 1.1084; (R1) 1.1102; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.1056 and intraday bias remains neutral first. More sideway trading could be seen. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1264 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.1056 will extend the larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9416; (P) 0.9431; (R1) 0.9456; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally from 0.9252 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9449) will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574. On the downside, though, break of 0.9357 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9252 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Current fall from 1.2004 (2018 high) is part of the multi-decade down trend. Another decline is in favor after rebound from 0.9252 completes.

EUR/CHF dipped to 1.1540 last week but formed a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Upside is expected to limited be limited by 1.1684 resistance to bring fall resumption. As noted before, the decline from 1.1832 is correcting medium term rise from 1.0629. Below 1.1540 will target 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372.)

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9850; (P) 0.9876; (R1) 0.9905; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832, to complete the corrective pattern from 1.0095. Break of 0.9923 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound towards 1.0067/0095 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0025) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0808; (P) 1.0828; (R1) 1.0857; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.0871 will suggest that whole rebound from 1.0503 is resuming. Further rally should be seen through 1.0915 resistance to 61.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0735 at 1.0990.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0696; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0741; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend is expected to target 61.8% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0648. On the upside, break of 1.0788 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1059 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0315; (P) 1.0337; (R1) 1.0374; More….

EUR/CHF’s down trend resumed by taking out 1.0324 and hit as low as 1.0298. But a temporary low was quickly formed and intraday bias is turned neutral again first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.0510 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.0298 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, firm break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9692; (P) 0.9706; (R1) 0.9736; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery. While correction from 0.9847 could extend lower, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9620 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9745 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.9847.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9639) holds.