EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0631 last week but lost momentum again ahead of 1.0620 support and recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Near term outlook stays mildly bearish as long as 1.0706 minor resistance holds. Break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.0706 minor resistance will raise the chance of medium term reversal. In that case, focus will be turned back to 1.0749 and then 1.0897 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9447; (P) 0.9469; (R1) 0.9503; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9402 is extending. Overall outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9543 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9407 will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

EUR/USD continued to stay in range above 1.0629 last week without any new development. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As 1.0706 resistance stays intact, deeper decline is still expected in the cross. Firm break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, break of 1.0706 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0749 resistance will raise the chance of medium reversal.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9841; (P) 0.9858; (R1) 0.9880; More….

Sideway trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom are currently seen as a corrective pattern, rather than trend reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0911; (P) 1.0937; (R1) 1.0986; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 1.0811 is in progress. Further rise could be seen but upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1605 to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.0886 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9883; (P) 0.9906; (R1) 0.9929; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat. But further rise is expected as long as 0.9880 minor support holds. Above 0.9928 will resume whole rally from 0.9252 to 100% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. However, firm break of 0.9880 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9563 to 0.9928 at 0.9789.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9728 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even just as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0695; (P) 1.0760; (R1) 1.0793; More…

EUR/CHF spiked higher to 1.0823. However, it quickly retreated sharply since then. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. We’re favoring the case of trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, after defending 1.0620 key support level. That is, correction from 1.1198 could have completed. Above 1.0823 will target 1.0897 resistance next. However, break of 1.0689 support will dampen our view and turn focus back to 1.0629 low again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

EUR/CHF’s decline last week indicates medium term topping at 1.1832, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Fall from 1.1832 is now seen as correcting rise from 1.0629. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.1355 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1832 at 1.1372. On the upside, above 1.1684 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.1832 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, a medium term should be in place at 1.1832. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0834; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0868; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. We’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0830) to complete the correction from 1.0986. Break of 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999. Overall, rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1560; (P) 1.1581; (R1) 1.1593; More…

A temporary top is formed at 1.1628 and intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first. As long as 1.1483 minor support holds, another rise is mildly in favor. Sustained trading above 1.1622 will confirm resumption of medium term rally and target 1.2 key level. However, firm break of 1.1483 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 1.1387 instead. In that case, consolidation from 1.1622 will extend for a while.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0842; (P) 1.0853; (R1) 1.0864; More…

EUR/CHF’s pull back from 1.0986 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0831) to complete the correction from 1.0986. Break of 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999. Overall, rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0983; (P) 1.1008; (R1) 1.1030; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.0983 support holds, further rally is expected in the cross. Current rise from 1.0629 should target 1.1127/98 resistance zone. However, break of 1.0983 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0908).

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1175; (P) 1.1194; (R1) 1.1216; More….

EUR/CHF’s break of 1.1186 minor support suggests that corrective recovery from 1.1119 has completed at 1.1264 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 1.1119 first. Break there will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next. On the upside, in case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0755; (P) 1.0770; (R1) 1.0787; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 1.0721 support intact, further rise remains in favor. On the upside, break of 1.0877 will resume the rebound from 1.0602 and target 1.0915 high. On the downside, break of 1.0721 will argue that the rebound from 1.0602 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0771; (P) 1.0799; (R1) 1.0849; More….

EUR/CHF’s rebound from 1.0694 resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0839 resistance. Sustained break there will turn near term outlook bullish for 1.0863/0985 resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.0739 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.0694 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0859) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0999; (P) 1.1024; (R1) 1.1041; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.1087. At this point, we’d expect downside to be contained by 1.0986 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1087 at 1.0989) and bring rise resumption. Break of 1.1087 will target key resistance at 1.1127/98. However, break of 1.0986/89 will indicate short term topping, possibly on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. In such case, deeper fall would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0924) and below.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.1198 will resume the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In such case, EUR/CHF could eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. We’ll favor this bullish case as long as 1.0830 support holds. However, rejection from 1.1198 will extend the multi-year range trading with another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0842; (P) 1.0874; (R1) 1.0892; More….

EUR/CHF retreated quickly after edging higher to 1.0902 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.0902 will resume the rise from 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance next. However, on the downside, break of 1.0833 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.0694 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) should have completed at 1.1149 already. The three-wave corrective structure argues that the downtrend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is not over yet. Medium term outlook will now stay bearish as long as 55 week EMA (now at 1.0858) holds. Break of 1.0505 low would be seen at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will bring retest of 1.1149 high instead.

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.0936 extended lower last week. Further decline is expected this week as long as 1.0770 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0694 support will resume whole decline from 1.1149. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0655. On the upside, though, break of 1.0770 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound towards 1.0811 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 week EMA maintains medium term bearishness. Fall from 1.1149 (2021 high) is currently seen as the second leg of the patter from 1.0505 (2020 low) first. Hence, in case of deeper fall, we’d look for strong support from 1.0505 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 1.0505 will resume the long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Also, medium term outlook will now be neutral at best as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1037) maintains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1431; (P) 1.1457; (R1) 1.1490; More…

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook. With 1.1487 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. Fall from 1.1622 is a correction and break of 1.1387 would target 1.1257 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.0652 to 1.1622 at 1.1251). Strong support is expected there to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.1487 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is completed and bring retest of 1.1622.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0546; (P) 1.0564; (R1) 1.0578; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0523 and intraday bias remains neutral. Another rise cannot be ruled out but upside outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0710 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.