EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1043; (P) 1.1061; (R1) 1.1081; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. Correction from 1.1149 could still extend lower. But downside of pull back should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.1149 will resume the rise from 1.0504 and target 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0632; (P) 1.0641; (R1) 1.0647; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 1.0706 resistance intact, outlook stays bearish and deeper decline is expected. Firm break of 1.0620 key support level will extend the larger decline from 1.1198 to 1.0485 fibonacci level. However, break of 1.0706 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside. Further break of 1.0749 resistance will raise the chance of medium reversal.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. On the upside, break of 1.0897 resistance is needed to confirm completion of such fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0528; (P) 1.0549; (R1) 1.0561; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation form 1.0532 is extending. Further fall is expected with 1.0602 resistance intact. Break of 1.0532 will resume the down trend from 1.1149 and target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0481. On the upside, however, break of 1.0602 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound back towards 1.0678 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, current downside momentum argues that fall from 1.1149 is probably resuming the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high). Next focus is 1.0505 (2020 low). Decisive break there will confirm this bearish case and target 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223 next. Strong support from 1.0505 will bring rebound first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0936 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1013; (P) 1.1037; (R1) 1.1074; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise extended to as high as 1.1059 so far and met 61.8% projection of 1.0652 to 1.0986 from 1.0830 at 1.1036. Intraday bias remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above 1.1036 will target 100% projection at 1.1164. On the downside, below 1.1010 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance should target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0830 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0971; (P) 1.0995; (R1) 1.1015; More….

Outlook in EUR/CHF is unchanged as consolidation from 1.1149 is extending. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out, but we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.0954 bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.1073 resistance will argue that larger rise from 1.0503 is ready to resume through 1.1149. However, firm break of 1.0954 will be the first signal of larger reversal and turn focus to 1.0915 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 2004 (2018 high) should have completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 1.0915 will argue that rise from 1.0503 might be completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.0737 support next.

 

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0920; (P) 1.0933; (R1) 1.0944; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point, and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 1.0863 could have completed at 1.0985, after rejection by medium term channel resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.0863 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149 to 1.0737 cluster support zone. On the upside, above 1.0944 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0985 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 (2020 low) might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1074) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751) will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0885) will affirm this bearish case. Nevertheless, strong support from 55 week EMA will revive the case for resuming the rise from 1.0505 at a later stage.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0881; (P) 1.0895; (R1) 1.0918; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. But outlook stays bearish with 1.0925 support turned resistance intact. Below 1.0863 will resume the fall from 1.1149 to next cluster support zone at 1.0737, (61.8% retracement of 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0751). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0925 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.1026 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.0505 might be completed at 1.1149 already. Rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1077) at least keeps medium term bearishness open. Sustained break of 1.0737 support will argue that the down trend from 2004 (2018 high) is ready to resume through 1.0505 low. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.0879) will affirm this bearish case.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s decline from 1.0936 resumed last week and intraday bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 1.0694 low. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 1.1149. On the upside, above 1.0860 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0936 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains mixed as EUR/CHF is still failing to get rid of 55 week EMA cleanly. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

In the long term picture, rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 1.1039) retains long term bearishness. Break of 1.0505 low will resume down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0708; (P) 1.0722; (R1) 1.0743; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment as it’s bounded in range of 1.0677/0762. Below 1.0677 will extend the corrective fall from 1.1198 and target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0982; (P) 1.1029; (R1) 1.1054; More….

No change in EUR/CHF’s outlook as correction from 1.1149 is still extending. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, but downside should be contained by 1.0954 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0503 to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0858; (P) 1.0897; (R1) 1.0920; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat from 1.0936 temporary top. Further rally remains in favor as long as 1.0837 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0936 will resume the rise form 1.0694 to 1.0985 resistance first. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.1149 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.0837 support will argue that the rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.0694 low.

In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 1.0694 and break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.0861) mixes up the medium term outlook. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will resume the whole rise from 1.0505 (2020 low). On the downside, break of 1.0694 will revive some medium term bearishness for 1.0505 and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0753; (P) 1.0769; (R1) 1.0780; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0735 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further fall is expected as long as 1.0799 minor resistance holds. Decline from 1.0871 is seen as another falling leg inside the consolidation pattern from 1.0915. Below 1.0735 will target 1.0661 support. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.0799 will bring retest of 1.0871 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0881; (P) 1.0910; (R1) 1.0925; More

Break of 1.0910 turns intraday bias to the downside. EUR/CHF should be targeting a test on 1.0811/63 support zone. Overall outlook is unchanged that’s consolidation from 1.0811 might extend. Above 1.0968 could bring another rise. But upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065) to bring larger down trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9937; (P) 0.9958; (R1) 0.9983; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and further rally is expected with 0.9837 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9995 will affirm the case that correction from 1.0095 has completed at 0.9704. Further rally should be seen through 1.0040 to retest 1.0095 high. However, firm break of 0.9837 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.1002) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0717; (P) 1.0732; (R1) 1.0745; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in the consolidation pattern from 1.0677 and intraday bias stays neutral. Price actions from 1.1198 are seen a corrective pattern that is still unfolding. Below 1.0677 will target 1.0620 key support level. On the upside, above 1.0762 will turn focus back to 1.0897 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest reversal and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Such correction is still in progress and retest of 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 could be seen. Sustained trading below 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. Meanwhile, break of 1.0897 resistance will argue that the larger up trend is finally resuming for above 1.1198.

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EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1057; (P) 1.1092; (R1) 1.1129; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for consolidation below 1.1149. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But further rally is expected as long as 1.0954 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1298; (P) 1.1342; (R1) 1.1411; More…

The break of 1.1394 minor resistance suggests that EUR/CHF’s pull back from 1.1537 has completed at 1.1260. Strong support was seen as 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 as expected. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1537 high first. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.1267 will extend the fall and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1100.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0980; (P) 1.0994; (R1) 1.1007; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Price actions form 1.0811 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. Upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1065). On the downside, break of 1.0964 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 1.0811 low. However, sustained break of 1.1062/5 will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF’s fall from 1.0986 extended lower last week and reached as low as 1.0854. No change in the view that it’s a correction. Hence, while deeper decline could be seen this week, downside should be contained by 1.0791/0872 support zone, probably around 55 day EMA (now at 1.0825). Rise from 1.0629 is expected to resume later. Above 1.0902 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0986/0999.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.

EUR/CHF 4 Hours Chart

EUR/CHF Daily Chart

EUR/CHF Weekly Chart

EUR/CHF Monthly Chart

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0672; (P) 1.0700; (R1) 1.0715; More…

EUR/CHF is still holding on to 1.0683 minor support despite brief breach. Intraday bias stays neutral first. We’d slightly favoring the case of trend reversal on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. And, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0683 minor support holds. Above 1.0761 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Break will re-affirm the case of trend reversal and target 1.0897 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.