EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0571; (P) 1.0609; (R1) 1.0642; More

No change in EUR/CHF outlook and further decline is expected with 1.0710 resistance intact. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. On the upside, break of 1.0710 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias would be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0629 key support should now pave the way to parity next. Overall, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9766; (P) 0.9794; (R1) 0.9841; More

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9711. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9844 support turned resistance to bring another decline. As noted before, rebound 0.9407 could have completed at 1.0095 already. Below 0.9711 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9670. Sustained break there will bring deeper fall to retest 0.9407 low. Overall, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9906) holds.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.0095 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1358; (P) 1.1373; (R1) 1.1404; More…

EUR/CHF’s consolidation from 1.1537 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 1.1477 resistance will argue that the consolidation from 1.1537 has completed and larger rise is resuming. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0830 to 1.1537 at 1.1267 will extend the correction to 61.8% retracement at 1.1100 before completion.

In the bigger picture, firm break of 1.1198 key resistance confirms resumption of the long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015. In this case, EUR/CHF would eventually head back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1087 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0694; (P) 1.0707; (R1) 1.0719; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. We’d slightly favoring the case of trend reversal on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. And, further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.0683 minor support holds. Above 1.0761 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Break will re-affirm the case of trend reversal and target 1.0897 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.0683 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.0620 key support level again.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.0897 resistance should confirm that it’s completed. And in that case, larger up trend is resuming for another high above 1.1198. Meanwhile, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0405; (P) 1.0420; (R1) 1.0434; More….

With 1.0511 resistance intact, further decline is expected in EUR/CHF. Current down trend from 1.1149 should target 161.8% projection of 1.1149 to 1.0694 from 1.0936 at 1.0200 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.0511 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is now extending. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 1.0223. On the upside, break of 1.0694 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1055; (P) 1.1079; (R1) 1.1105; More….

EUR/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.1149 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another retreat cannot be ruled out. But outlook stays bullish for another rally as long as 1.0954 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.1149 will pave the way to 161.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0737 at 1.1404.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that whole down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) has completed at 1.0503. Rise from there is starting a medium term up trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1431 and above. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0915 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0804; (P) 1.0834; (R1) 1.0850; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point and some more sideway consolidation could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.8920 resistance will target 1.0915. On the downside, below 1.0787 will target 1.0737 support first. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg, towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9654; (P) 0.9664; (R1) 0.9686; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9476 to 0.9772 at 0.9659 will extend the fall from 0.9772 to 61.8% retracement at 0.9589 and possibly below. On the upside, above 0.9772 will resume the rally from 0.9476 towards 0.9928 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1665; (P) 1.1690; (R1) 1.1731; More…

EUR/CHF rebounds strongly ahead of 1.1584 support. But it’s staying well below 1.1736 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, persistent bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and rising wedge like structure suggests that the cross is near to forming a top, if not formed. Hence, even in case of another rise, we’d expect limited upside potential. On the downside, sustained break of 1.1584 support will be a strong sign of trend reversal and should turn outlook bearish for 38.2% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.1736 at 1.1313.

In the bigger picture, while a medium term top could be around the corner, there is no change in the larger outlook. That is, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress and would extend. As long as 1.1195 resistance turned support holds, we’ll hold on to this bullish view and expect another to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. Though, we’ll reassess the outlook if 1.1195 is firmly taken out.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF recovered last week but stayed below 1.0890 resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first and some more consolidative trading could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.8920 resistance will target 1.0915. On the downside, below 1.0787 will target 1.0737 support first. Break there will extend the sideway pattern from 1.0915 with another falling leg, towards 1.0661 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1579; (P) 1.1612; (R1) 1.1639; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.1541/1721 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD and daily MACD, decisive break of 1.1541 will confirm topping and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1355 key support. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.1721 resistance will resume recent up trend towards 1.2 key level.

In the bigger picture, long term rise from SNB spike low back in 2015 is still in progress. EUR/CHF should now be heading back to prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 1.1355 support holds. However, break of 1.1355 will indicate medium term topping. In that case, EUR/CHF should head back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.1158) and possibly below.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF rebounded strongly last week and hit as high as 1.0713 before closing at 1.0692. The breach of 1.0706 minor resistance indicates short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. This is also taken as an early sign of trend reversal after defending 1.0620 key support level. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.0749 resistance first. Break will affirm this bullish case and target 1.0897 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.1198 is seen as a corrective move. There is no confirmation of completion yet. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653 will target 50% retracement at 1.0485. However, strong rebound from 1.0620 and break of 1.0897 resistance will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bullish.

EUR/CHF 4 Hours Chart

EUR/CHF Daily Chart

EUR/CHF Weekly Chart

EUR/CHF Monthly Chart

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0662; (P) 1.0686; (R1) 1.0701; More…

EUR/CHF surges sharply to as high as 1.0815 and the development argues that whole rise from 1.0629 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0823 resistance first. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications and will target 1.0897 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.0718 support is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Current strong rebound is raising the chance that it’s completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0823 resistance will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0999 will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0652 support holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9541; (P) 0.9555; (R1) 0.9565; More

Range trading continues in EUR/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9599 resistance. Break of 0.9513 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9840 to 0.9520 from 0.9646 at 0.9448.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is staying bearish as the pair is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9839). Down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is in favor to continue. Sustained break of 0.9407 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9670 support turned resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0903; (P) 1.0929; (R1) 1.0960; More…..

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0863 temporary low. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 1.1062 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.0863 will target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0645.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF should target 1.0629 support and below.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0882; (P) 1.0926; (R1) 1.0999; More…

Some volatility was seen in EUR/CHF but after all, it’s staying in consolidation from 1.0811. Intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of another rise, upside upside should be limited by 1.1062 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.1476 to 1.0811 at 1.1605). On the downside, break of 1.0811 will resume larger down trend.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Further fall should be seen to 1.0629 support and possibly below. On the upside, break of 1.1162 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF stayed in consolidation above 1.0688 temporary last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further decline is expected with 1.0749 resistance intact. Current decline from 1.0877 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0915. On the downside, break of 1.0688 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0602 support next. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.0749 will mix up the near term outlook, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9838; (P) 0.9861; (R1) 0.9899; More….

EUR/CHF is still bounded in sideway consolidation form 0.9953 and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 0.9970 support turned resistance retains medium term bearishness. That is, while 0.9407 is a medium term bottom, price actions from there would develope into a corrective pattern rather than a reversal. Down trend resumption through 0.9407 is mildly favored at a later stage. This will remain the favored case now, as long 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1206; (P) 1.1217; (R1) 1.1232; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment and consolidation from 1.1620 might extend. Further decline is still expected as long as 1.1256 minor resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 1.1154 key fibonacci level will confirm resumption of whole downtrend from 1.2004. That should then pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1444 at 1.0930. However, break of 1.1256 will indicate short term bottoming and turn back to the upside for 1.1310 support turned resistance first.

In the bigger picture, multiple rejection by 55 week EMA indicates medium term bearishness. Focus remains on 1.1154/98 support zone (2016 high and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154). Decisive break there will confirm resumption of whole down trend from 1.2004 and long term bearish reversal. EUR/CHF should then target 1.0629 support and below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.1444 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1204; (P) 1.1224; (R1) 1.1260; More….

EUR/CHF’s recovery from 1.1119 extends further but outlook is unchanged. Upside should be limited below 1.1278 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.1186 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 1.1119 first. Break there will extend recent down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.2004 to 1.1173 from 1.1476 at 1.0962 next.

In the bigger picture, current development firstly suggests that down trend from 1.2004 is still in progress. More importantly, it’s likely a long term down trend itself, rather than a correction. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.1476 resistance holds. EUR/CHF could target 1.0629 support and below.