Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1319; (P) 1.1352; (R1) 1.1372; More…

EUR/CHF’s rebound lost momentum after hitting 1.1384 and retreated sharply from there. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. For now, another rise remains mildly in favor as long as 1.1221 support holds, break of 1.1384 will resume the rebound from 1.1178 and target 1.1452 resistance. Decisive break there should confirm near term reversal. That is, whole correction from 1.2004 has completed at 1.1178 after hitting 1.1154/98 key support zone. However, break of 1.1221 will turn focus back to 1.1154/98 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, for now, the price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. This cluster level is in proximity to long term channel support (now at 1.1207) too. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

EUR/CHF’s strong rally and firm break of 1.1347/8 resistance last week confirmed completion of fall from 1.1501. As a temporary top was formed at 1.1429, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidation first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.1347 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.1429 will extend the rise from 1.1181 to retest 1.1501 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by 1.1154/98 support zone to complete it and bring rebound. Decisive break of 1.1501 (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.1173 at 1.1490) will confirm completion of the correction, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, with double bottom pattern (1.1173, 1.1181) Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.1687 and above next.

In the long term picture, as long as key support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 holds, A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium to long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9992; (P) 1.0015; (R1) 1.0035; More….

EUR/CHF recovered after hitting 0.9992 minor support and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9986 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0095 with another leg, back towards 0.9873 support. On the upside, firm break of 1.0095 will resume whole rally from 0.9407 low.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9546; (P) 0.9563; (R1) 0.9581; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside, as fall from 0.9691 resumed by breaking through 0.9557. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.9513 low first. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.0095. On the upside, above 0.9612 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9691 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9793). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9716; (P) 0.9727; (R1) 0.9746; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. Another rally is expected as long 0.9689 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9818 will resume the rise from 0.9252 towards 1.0095 key resistance next. Nevertheless, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, break of 0.9689 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9576) instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.9252 already, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. Rise from there would now target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.9576) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9855; (P) 0.9907; (R1) 0.9941; More….

EUR/CHF dips to as low as 0.9870 as corrective pattern from 1.0095 extends. Deeper fall could still be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9942 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.95 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0604; (P) 1.0640; (R1) 1.0663; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0584 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 1.0737 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.0584 will extend recent down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, firm break of 1.0737 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

EUR/CHF edged lower to 1.0584 last week but again, there was no committed follow through selling below 1.0629 medium term support. But after all, near term outlook remains bearish with 1.0737 resistance intact. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. While initial support might be seen from 1.0629 on first attempt, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.1059 resistance holds. Decisive break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9764; (P) 0.9781; (R1) 0.9801; More….

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation above 0.9697 temporary low. Intraday bias stays neutral first. While further fall cannot be ruled out, some support might be seen from 0.9650 long term projection level to bring rebound. Break of 0.9948 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9650 will target 100% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9970 from 1.0513 at 0.9334.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. Firm break there will target 138.2% projection at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF’s extended decline last week argues that rebound from 0.9704 might have completed at 0.9995 already. More importantly, the corrective pattern from 1.0095 might be extending with another falling leg. Deeper decline is expected this week as long as 0.9889 resistance holds, towards 0.9704 support. On the upside, though, break of 0.9889 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9989) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

In the long term picture, it’s still way too early too call for bullish trend reversal with upside capped well below 55 M EMA and 1.0505 support turned resistance (2020 low). The multi-decade down trend could still continue.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0561; (P) 1.0585; (R1) 1.0613; More…

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0523 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish with 1.0710 resistance intact. Break of 1.0523 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.1476 to 1.0811 from 1.1059 at 1.0394 next. However, on the upside, break of 1.0710 will indicate short term bottoming. Stronger rebound would be seen back to 1.0811/1059 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.2004 is (2018 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0629 will pave the way to parity next. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0811 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound. However, considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, firm of 1.0811 resistance will indicate medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9529; (P) 0.9545; (R1) 0.9574; More…

EUR/CHF’s rally resumed after brief consolidations, and getting support from 4H MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9574 fibonacci resistance. Firm break there will target 161.8% projection of 0.9252 to 0.9471 from 0.9304 at 0.9658 next. On the downside, below 0.9501 support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9252 are tentatively seen as a correction to the five-wave down trend from 1.0095 (2023 high). Further rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9252 at 0.9574 and possibly above. But overall medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9692; (P) 0.9703; (R1) 0.9726; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Fall from 0.9928 could have completed at 0.9476, probably as a corrective move. Further rise would be seen for retesting 0.9928 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9608 will bring retest of 0.9476 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9824; (P) 0.9844; (R1) 0.9863; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9953 is still extending. On the upside, firm break of 0.9953 resistance will resume larger rally from 0.9407 to 1.0072 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9720 will extend the decline from 0.9953 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8407 to 0.9953 at 0.9616.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 holds, price actions from 0.9407 medium term bottom will be treated as a corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend would resume through this low at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0072 will also have 55 week EMA (now at 1.0053) taken out. That would be an initial sign of long term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9435; (P) 0.9452; (R1) 0.9465; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the downside despite some loss of downside momentum. Retest of 0.9407/16 support zone should be seen. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.9467 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral for consolidation first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9755; (P) 0.9767; (R1) 0.9777; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that fall from 0.9835 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9847. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9835 resistance holds. Below 0.9728 will target 0.9563. But strong support is expected from 50% retracement of 0.9252 to 0.9847 at 0.9550 to complete the pattern.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Break of 0.9847 resistance will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9607; (P) 0.9624; (R1) 0.9644; More….

Immediate focus is now on 0.9683 as EUR/CHF extended the rebound from 0.9476. Decisive break there will argue that Fall from 0.9928 has completed, probably as a correction. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 0.9928 resistance. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9683 will maintain near term bearishness. break of 0.9560 minor support bring retest of 0.9476.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 should have completed at 0.9228. Medium term outlook remains bearish with 1.0095 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.9252 will resume the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0811; (P) 1.0842; (R1) 1.0879; More….

EUR/CHF’s breach of 1.0871 resistance suggests rally resumption. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.0915 resistance. Break there will also confirm resumption of whole rise form 1.0503. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0503 to 1.0915 from 1.0735 at 1.0990. On the downside, break of 1.0818 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.0503 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. With 1.1059 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.2004 to 1.0503 at 1.1076) intact, the down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) would still extend through 1.0503 low at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.1059/76 will argue that rise from 1.0503 is starting a new up trend and would target 61.8% retracement at 1.1431 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1763; (P) 1.1784; (R1) 1.1816; More…

EUR/CHF’s rise from 1.1445 resumed by edging higher to 1.1804 and intraday bias is mildly on the upside. For now, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 1.1832 to bring reversal. Below 1.1730 will turn bias to the downside first. Further break of 1.1649 support will indicate completion of rebound form 1.1445. And the corrective pattern from 1.1832 would then extend with another decline to retest 1.1445. However, firm break of 1.1832 will confirm resumption of larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top should be in place at 1.1832 on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But there is no indication of long term reversal yet. As long as 1.1198 resistance turned support holds, we’d still expect another rise through prior SNB imposed floor at 1.2000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9412; (P) 0.9430; (R1) 0.9444; More…

EUR/CHF recovered after dipping to 0.9395 and intraday bias stays neutral first. Still, with 0.9543 resistance intact, deeper decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 0.9407 key support will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.9995 to 0.9416 from 0.9683 at 0.9325. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring further rally back to 0.9683 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9683 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9407 (2022 low) will resume long term down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 (2020 high) to 0.9407 from 1.0095 at 0.9018.