Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5768; (P) 1.5797; (R1) 1.5834; More…

EUR/AUD’s recovery was rejected by 4 hour 55 EMA again and intraday bias stays neutral. Consolidation from 1.5721 might extend with another rise. But upside should be limited by 1.6122 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5721 will resume the decline from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6400; (P) 1.6460; (R1) 1.6525; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected with 1.6650 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.6319 will resume the fall from 1.7062, as a larger scale correction, to 1.6000 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 1.6650 will argue that the pull back has completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.6650 resistance holds.

EUR/AUD rose to as high as 1.6294 last week but failed to break through 1.6314 resistance and retreated sharply. Initial bias is neutral this week first. For now, further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.5962 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6314 will re-affirm medium term bullishness and target 1.6432 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6079) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5894 remains intact. However, firm break of 1.5894 will be an early sign of major topping and turn focus to 1.5346 key support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6104; (P) 1.6128; (R1) 1.6165; More…

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5907 continues today and intraday bias is staying on the upside. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.6434 resistance first. With 1.5898 support intact, larger rise from 1.5250 is still in progress, and break of 1.6434 will confirm resumption, for 1.6988 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.6059 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5898 structural support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6112; (P) 1.6160; (R1) 1.6185; More…

EUR/AUD’s pull back from 1.6448 is in progress and could extend lower. We’d still expect downside to be contained above 1.6052 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6259 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6448 first. Break of 1.6448 will resume the rally from 1.5683 and target 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6052 support will near term outlook bearish for 1.5683 support again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5750; (P) 1.5791; (R1) 1.5855; More…

Overall outlook in EUR/AUD remains unchanged. Price actions from 1.5250 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 1.5723 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.5428 support first. Nevertheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.5852 will bring further rally back to 1.6033 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6182; (P) 1.6243; (R1) 1.6305; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point and further rise is still in favor. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6353 will resume larger up trend and target 1.6587 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6145 support will likely extend the corrective pattern from 1.6353 with another leg back to 1.5984.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5690; (P) 1.5743; (R1) 1.5827; More…

Despite dipping to 1.5655, EUR/AUD quickly recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.5655 will revive the case that rebound from 1.5354 has completed, and bring retest of this support. On the upside, break of 1.6168 will resume the rise from 1.5354 to 1.6434 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is neutral for the moment. Rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5642; (P) 1.5763; (R1) 1.5984; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for the moment. Current rally from 1.4281 should target 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5704 from 1.5271 at 1.6150. On the downside, below 1.5683 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5441 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5271 support holds, rise from 1.4281 medium term bottom is expected to continue to 1.6434 key resistance next. However, firm break of 1.5271 will argue that such rebound has completed, and keep medium term outlook neutral at best. But in this case, more range trading should be seen above 1.4281 low first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5841; (P) 1.5922; (R1) 1.5983; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this pint. Further rise remains mildly in favor with 1.5776 support intact. Above 1.6223 will resume whole rise from 1.5354 to 1.6434 resistance first. However, break of 1.5776 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5559 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6553; (P) 1.6621; (R1) 1.6668; More…

Focus remains on 1.6538 support in EUR/AUD. Break will resume whole decline form 1.9799. Also, sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.5962 support next. On the upside, break of 1.7194 resistance should confirm short term bottoming and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6532). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6476; (P) 1.6596; (R1) 1.6738; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.6453 temporary low. On the upside, firm break of 1.6763 resistance will suggests short term bottoming, and more importantly, successful defending of 1.6597 key support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.7194 resistance first. On the downside, sustained trading below 1.6597 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.6085 support next.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6548). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4849; (P) 1.4897; (R1) 1.4981; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Another rise is still mildly in favor 1.4687 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.5053 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.6223 to 1.4318 at 1.5495. On the downside, below 1.4687 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.4318 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4889; (P) 1.4941; (R1) 1.5006; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, break of 1.4882 support will reaffirm that case that corrective rebound from 1.4318 has completed at 1.5277, ahead of 1.5354 resistance. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.4597 support, and then 1.4318 low. Also, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5277 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5369; (P) 1.5407; (R1) 1.5468; More….

EUR/AUD recovers mildly but intraday bias on the downside with 1.5505 minor resistance intact. Deeper decline should be seen to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, above 1.5505 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited below 1.5781 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5781 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5735; (P) 1.5764; (R1) 1.5789; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.5721 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.6122 near term resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 1.5721 will resume the decline from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4474; (P) 1.4561; (R1) 1.4701; More…

EUR/AUD’s strong rebound indicates short term bottoming at 1.4421, after hitting 100% projection of 1.5226 to 1.4625 from 1.4472. The development also suggests completion of the correction from 1.5226, with three waves down to 1.4421. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.4744) will target 1.5073 resistance. Break there will indicate resumption of whole rise from 1.3624. On the downside, below 1.4585 minor support will turn focus back to 1.4421 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, further downside acceleration will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5507; (P) 1.5568; (R1) 1.5656; More….

EUR/AUD rebounds further today but it’s staying below 1.5770 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Overall, price actions from 1.5770 is seen as a consolidation pattern. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support above 1.5226 key support to bring rebound. Medium term rally is still expected to resume later and break of 1.5770 will target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low).

EUR/AUD rebounded to 1.5781 last week but retreated since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. The corrective rise from 1.5519 could extend to 38.2% retracement of 1.6357 to 1.5519 at 1.5839 and possibly above. But upside should be limited well below 1.5984 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.5643 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5519 low.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.5984 support turned resistance is now needed to revive the prior medium term up trend. Otherwise, further decline will be in favor even in case of strong interim rebound.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3624 key support should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6462; (P) 1.6499; (R1) 1.6564; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as sideway consolidation from 1.6033 is still extending. Outlook stays bearish with 1.6772 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the fall from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.