EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD dipped to 1.5743 last week but recovered strongly since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week and we’d favor further rise ahead. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5811; (P) 1.5916; (R1) 1.6089; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.5721/6060 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5806; (P) 1.5836; (R1) 1.5857; More….

EUR/AUD rebounds strongly today but stays inside range of 1.5721/6060. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5789; (P) 1.5854; (R1) 1.5892; More….

EUR/AUD gyrated lower but stays above 1.5721 low. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5816; (P) 1.5848; (R1) 1.5895; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 1.5721 support intact, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5765; (P) 1.5853; (R1) 1.5905; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. With 1.5721 support intact, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, break of 1.6060 resistance should confirm that decline from 1.6765 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD gyrated lower last week but after all, it stayed in range of 1.5721/6060. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. At this point, we’re favoring the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise is in favor as long as 1.5721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm our view and target 1.6765 high next. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5829; (P) 1.5887; (R1) 1.5954; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. We’re holding on to the view that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead..

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5835; (P) 1.5912; (R1) 1.5962; More….

EUR/AUD’s retreat from 1.6060 extends lower today but downside is contained well above 1.5721 support so far. Intraday remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. We’re favoring the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5916; (P) 1.5951; (R1) 1.5998; More….

EUR/AUD is still engaging in consolidation from 1.6060 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. At this point, we’re favoring the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Risk will stay on the upside s long as 1.5721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5930; (P) 1.5966; (R1) 1.6003; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6060 temporary top is extending. At this point, we’re favoring the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Risk will stay on the upside s long as 1.5721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5933; (P) 1.5996; (R1) 1.6035; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. At this point, we’re favoring the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Risk will stay on the upside s long as 1.5721 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD rebounded strongly last week but failed to sustain above 1.6038 resistance retreated. Initial bias is neutral this week first. For now, we’d favor the case that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Risk will stay on the upside s long as 1.5721 support holds. Decisive break of 1.6038 will confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5919; (P) 1.5968; (R1) 1.6010; More….

EUR/AUD breached 1.6038 resistance but failed to sustain above yet. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6038 will confirm completion of fall from 1.6765 at 1.5721. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6765. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5817; (P) 1.5907; (R1) 1.6075; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral with focus on 1.6038 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of fall from 1.6765 at 1.5721. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6765. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

 

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5695; (P) 1.5797; (R1) 1.5864; More….

EUR/AUD rebounds strongly today but stays below 1.6038 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected with 1.6038 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support. But break of 1.6038 will indicate completion of the fall and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5794; (P) 1.5828; (R1) 1.5860; More….

Despite today’s sharp fall, EUR/AUD is staying above 1.5721 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected with 1.6038 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support. But break of 1.6038 will indicate completion of the fall and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5739; (P) 1.5781; (R1) 1.5847; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. And further decline is expected with 1.6038 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.5721 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support. But break of 1.6038 will indicate completion of the fall and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6765 resumed last week by taking out 1.5774 support and reached 1.5721. As a temporary low was formed, initial bias is neutral this week first, for some consolidations. Near term outlook will stay mildly bearish as long as 1.6038 resistance holds. Break of 1.5721 will target 1.5346 key support. But break of 1.6038 will indicate completion of the fall and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. Firm break there will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5681; (P) 1.5775; (R1) 1.5828; More….

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5774 suggests fall from 1.6765 has resumed. Intraday bias is turned to the downside for 1.5346 key support. On the upside, break of 1.6038 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, further fall is still expected even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.