Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6316; (P) 1.6451; (R1) 1.6521; More…

Intraday bias remains neural for consolidation above 1.6033 temporary low first. Further decline is in favor as long as 1.6772 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.6033 will resume whole decline from 1.9799 and target next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, though, break of 1.6772 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This week remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6240; (P) 1.6373; (R1) 1.6458; More…

Breach of 1.6298 suggests that fall from 1.6827 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.6033 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.6505 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6827 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.6463) would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6266; (P) 1.6365; (R1) 1.6416; More…

Immediate focus is now on 1.6219 support tin EUR/AUD. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.6219 will argue that it’s already in correction to whole up trend from 1.4281. Deeper decline would then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5282, which is inside 1.5254/5976 support zone. On the upside, break of 1.6411 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6785 high.

In the bigger picture, the solid break of 1.6434 resistance argues that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed at 1.4281 (2022 low). Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.7691 next. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5976 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4388; (P) 1.4506; (R1) 1.4571; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected as long as 1.4804 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 1.4318 low will resume larger down trend to medium term projection level at 1.3623. However, break of 1.4804 will delay the bearish case and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.5877 last week but again, failed to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.5699 support will suggest rejection by 1.5852 fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5418 support first. Break there should confirm completion of consolidation pattern from 1.5250. On the upside, break of 1.5877 will extend the near term rebound to 1.6033 key support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn focus to 1.6827 structural resistance for confirmation.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) should have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799 (2020 high). Fall from there is seen as a medium term to long term down leg as a long term down trend, or a sideway pattern. We’ll assess the odds again at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7829; (P) 1.7955; (R1) 1.8030; More…

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook as correction from 1.9799 is still extending. Deeper fall might be seen but downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.8747 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.9799 high first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high), is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6538; (P) 1.6569; (R1) 1.6602; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.6439 support holds. On the upside, above 1.6677 will target 1.6742 first. Decisive break there will resume whole rise from 1.6127 and target 1.6844 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4839; (P) 1.4945; (R1) 1.5098; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.4561. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out But upside upside should be limited well below 1.5354 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.4561 will target 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.3624 long term target zone.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5987; (P) 1.6034; (R1) 1.6089; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.6166 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 1.6434 has completed. That would also revive near term bullishness after defending 1.5898 structural support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6434 high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 1.5898 will indicate that corrective rise from 1.5250 has already completed. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.5614 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5717; (P) 1.5833; (R1) 1.5903; More…

EUR/AUD retreated sharply after hitting channel resistance and intraday bias is turned neutral. Rejection by the channel resistance will retain near term bearishness. Break of 1.5591 will resume larger down trend from 1.9799. Though, sustained break of the channel resistance will argue that whole fall from 1.6827 has completed. Stronger rebound would then be seen to 1.6144 support turned resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.9799 is developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6604; (P) 1.6688; (R1) 1.6742; More…

Intraday bias in in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the downside, sustained trading below 1.6597 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.6085 support next. On the upside, firm break of 1.6892 resistance should confirm short term bottoming, and more importantly, successful defending of 1.6597 key support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.7194 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6553). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5567; (P) 1.5600; (R1) 1.5639; More…

With 1.5706 resistance intact, further decline is expected in EUR/AUD. Current down trend from 1.9799 should target 61.8% projection of 1.6409 to 1.5591 from 1.5945 at 1.5439. On the upside, above 1.5706 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and extend the consolidation from 1.5591 with another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6458; (P) 1.6484; (R1) 1.6509; More…

Outlook in EUR/AUD is unchanged as range trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, below 1.6455 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.6348 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6221; (P) 1.6261; (R1) 1.6311; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected with 1.6772 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.6033 will resume the fall from 1.9799 and target next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6531; (P) 1.6572; (R1) 1.6613; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and outlook stays bullish with 1.6474 support intact. On the upside, above 1.6798 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.7180 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.7715 fibonacci projection level next. However, firm break of 1.6474 will dampen the bullish view and bring deeper pullback towards 1.5996 support.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.7062 medium term top should have completed at 1.5996. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.6474 support holds.

EUR/AUD recovered last week but stayed below 1.5650 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.5650 will revive that case that correction from 1.5976 has completed at 1.5254. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.5749 resistance first. On the downside, firm break of 1.5254/71 will carry larger bearish implication and resume the fall from 1.5976.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

In the longer term picture, focus stays on 55 month EMA (now at 1.5590). Sustained trading above there will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal, and at least bring further rally to 1.6434 cluster resistance, 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.6389. However, rejection by 55 month EMA will suggest that down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress for another low below 1.4281.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5669; (P) 1.5717; (R1) 1.5741; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for retesting 1.5591 support. Break there will resume larger down trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.6409 to 1.5591 from 1.5945 at 1.5439. On the upside, however, break of 1.5945 resistance will resume the rebound from 1.5591 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6444; (P) 1.6518; (R1) 1.6562; More…

EUR/AUD is still extending the sideway pattern from 1.6452 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper decline is expected with 1.6793 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.6452 will resume the fall from 1.7062, as a larger scale correction, to 1.6000 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.6793 will dampen this view and bring retest of 1.7062 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6266; (P) 1.6286; (R1) 1.6312; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. With 1.6203 minor support intact, further rise is still expected. On the upside, above 1.6432 will target 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6203 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.6074 support and then 1.5905.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6047) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6386; (P) 1.6431; (R1) 1.6463; More…

EUR/AUD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.6033 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 1.6772 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the fall from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.