Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6185; (P) 1.6249; (R1) 1.6359; More…

Breach of 1.6299 minor resistance suggests that consolidation from 1.6033 is starting another rising leg. But after all, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.6586 resistance holds. . On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will confirm resumption of whole fall from 1.9799. Deeper fall would then be seen to long term EMA at 1.5790.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5790). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.6586 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5431; (P) 1.5549; (R1) 1.5619; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.5487 support indicates that corrective rebound from 1.5250 has completed at 1.5689, after hitting channel resistance. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.5250 low first. Break will resume larger down trend form 1.9799, for 1.4733 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.5689 will bring another rebound. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.5945 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4815; (P) 1.4867; (R1) 1.4912; More…

With 1.5016 minor resistance intact, the correction from 1.5526 might extend lower to 38.2% retracement of 1.3980 to 1.5226 at 1.4750 as the correction continues. At this point, we’d expect strong support from 1.4669 to contain downside and bring rebound. Above 1.5015 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.5226 first. Break will resume the rise from 1.3624 and target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4669 support holds. Break of 1.4669 will dampen the bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.4539).

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.7062 extended lower last week and the development argues that it’s already in a larger scale correction. Initial bias stays on the downside this week first. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.6000 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 1.6647 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.7062 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281. Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt.

In the longer term picture, it’s still early to decide if rise from 1.4281 is resuming whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). But in either case, further rally is in favor as long as 1.5846 support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.7691.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6258; (P) 1.6483; (R1) 1.6602; More…

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.9799 resumes by taking out 1.6453. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current development argues that medium term trend could have reversed. Next down side target is 1.6085 support first. On the upside, break of 1.6772 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the firm break of 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6553) suggests that whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed. Deeper fall would now be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.4733. This week remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6785; (P) 1.6849; (R1) 1.6956; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally continues today and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally is part of the up trend from 1.4281. Next target is 1.7377 projection level next. On the downside, break 1.6737 minor support will intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5846 support holds, even in case of another pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5966; (P) 1.5995; (R1) 1.6042; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5721 is extending. On the downside, break of 1.5721 low will resume the decline from 1.6765 and target 1.5346 support. On the upside, above 1.6122 will resume the corrective rise from 1.5721 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4049; (P) 1.4084; (R1) 1.4123; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.3872/4309 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’re holding on to the view of trend reversal after defending key support level at 1.3671. Another rise is expected as long as 1.3872 minor support holds. Break of 1.4309 will extend the rebound from 1.3624 to 1.4721 key resistance level next. Break should confirm larger trend reversal. However, firm break of 1.3872 support will dampen our bullish view. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3624 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5586; (P) 1.5627; (R1) 1.5681; More….

EUR/AUD formed a temporary low at 1.5575 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Stronger recovery might be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.5741. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6357 to 1.5575 at 1.5874) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 1.5575 will target 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.5984 support turned resistance is now needed to revive the prior medium term up trend. Otherwise, further decline will be in favor even in case of interim rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6165; (P) 1.6240; (R1) 1.6372; More…

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5894 resumed by taking out 1.6247 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current development also confirms completion of pull back from 1.6448 at 1.5894. Further rise should then be seen back to retest 1.6448. On the downside, break of 1.6108 minor support will turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, medium term outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5430; (P) 1.5484; (R1) 1.5582; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first with current recovery. Strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.5976 at 1.5329 to complete the correction from 1.5976. Break of 1.5614 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.5976. However, sustained trading below 1.5329 will carry larger bearish implication and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4928.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4741; (P) 1.4775; (R1) 1.4836; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.4909 resistance confirms resumption of recent rise from 1.3624. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.5094 resistance next. As noted before, outlook is unchanged that whole correction from 1.6587 has completed at 1.3624 already after defending 1.3671 key support level. Break of 1.5094 will target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. On the downside, break of 1.4669 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6292; (P) 1.6332; (R1) 1.6364; More…

EUR/AUD retreated after hitting 1.6420 and intraday bias is turned neutral. We’re viewing rebound from 1.6122 as a rising leg in the consolidation pattern from 1.6033. Above 1.6420 will target 1.6827 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 1.6122 will bring retest of 1.6033 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.9799 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. The question is whether it’s a sideway pattern or a deep correction. On the downside, sustained break of 1.6033 will suggest it’s the latter case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. On the upside, break of 1.6827 resistance will favor the former case and bring stronger rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5737; (P) 1.5778; (R1) 1.5841; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5271 is extending. Stronger rebound could be seen. But upside should be limited by 1.6122 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5721 will resume the decline from 1.6765 to 1.5346 key support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6340; (P) 1.6375; (R1) 1.6412; More…

EUR/AUD’s corrective fall from 1.6786 might extend lower. But downside should be contained by 1.6247 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6594 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6786 resistance first. Break will resume larger up trend. However, firm break of 1.6247 will turn focus back to 1.5894 support instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bullish as up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is resuming. Strong support from 55 week EMA indicates medium term bullishness. Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. In any case, break of 1.5894 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4881; (P) 1.4919; (R1) 1.4970; More…

EUR/AUD lost some upside moment with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. But further rise is in favor with 1.4830 minor support intact. As noted before, correction from 1.5226 should have completed with three waves down to 1.4421 already. Break of 1.5073 will likely resume the rise from 1.3624 and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4421 at 1.5411 next. On the downside, below 1.4830 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4777 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, another decline will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6455; (P) 1.6514; (R1) 1.6555; More…

EUR/AUD’s consolidation from 1.6671 is in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. Rise from 1.6127 is expected to continue as long as 1.6398 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127 already. Above 1.6671 will target 1.6844 resistance to confirm this bullish case.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6301; (P) 1.6333; (R1) 1.6369; More…

EUR/AUD’s rise resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Further rise should be seen to 1.6513 resistance first. Firm break there will confirm this case and target 1.6785 high next. On the downside, below 1.6255 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rally resumption. Rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5755; (P) 1.5861; (R1) 1.5918; More…

With 1.5712 minor support intact, further rise is still mildly in favor in EUR/AUD to 1.6168 resistance. However, on the downside, break of 1.5712 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5559 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

EUR/AUD dropped sharply to as low as 1.5773 last week before forming a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.6055 minor resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.5773 will target 1.5621 support first. Decisive break there will be another indication of medium term trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal is building up in EUR/AUD. Bearish divergence condition in daily MACD indicates further loss of upside momentum ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Break of 1.5621 should confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5153 and possibly below. Meanwhile, even in case of up trend resumption, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.