Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5769; (P) 1.5814; (R1) 1.5861; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.5887 might extend. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 1.5596 support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.5887 will target 1.5984 support turned resistance first. Break will pave the way to retest 1.6357 high next. However, break of 1.5596 will suggest that the rebound is completed. Intraday bias would then be turned back to the downside for 1.5346 low.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5971; (P) 1.6050; (R1) 1.6193; More…

EUR/AUD rebounded strongly after hitting 1.5905, ahead of 1.5894 key support. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.6308 support turned resistance first. Firm break there should confirm completion of whole fall from 1.6789 and target this resistance again. For now, in case of another decline, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.5894 to contain downside to bring rebound. However, sustained break will carry larger bearish implications and target 1.5683 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6005) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5710; (P) 1.5754; (R1) 1.5803; More…

EUR/AUD’s strong rally and break of 1.5877 resistance suggests resumption of whole choppy rise from 1.5025 low. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.6033 resistance turned support next. On the downside, break of 1.5614 resistance support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn focus to 1.6827 structural resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6159; (P) 1.6209; (R1) 1.6266; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the upside for the moment. Corrective fall from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Further rise should be seen to 1.6513 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.6142 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6785 are seen as a correction to up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support should be seen around 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 to complete the first leg and bring rebound. However, sustained trading below 1.5828 will raise the chance of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5238.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6359; (P) 1.6418; (R1) 1.6486; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.6512 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 1.6671 has completed, and revive near term bullishness. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.6671 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.6348 will resume the fall to 1.6127 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

EUR/AUD’s sharp decline and firm break of 1.5984 support last week is taken as an early sign of medium term trend reversal. But with a temporary low in place at 1.5742, initial bias is neutral this week first. Some consolidation could be seen but upside should be limited by 1.5984 support turned resistance to bring another decline. Below 1.5742 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5601 support. Break there will pave the way to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.6357 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3624 key support should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5705; (P) 1.5759; (R1) 1.5794; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with today’s recovery. On the upside, break of 1.5863 will indicate short term bottoming at 1.5723, just ahead of 100% projection of 1.6827 to 1.6122 from 1.6420 at 1.5715. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for rebound, towards 1.6122 support turned resistance. Though, firm break of 1.5723 will resume larger down trend to 161.8% projection at 1.5279 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.9799 is developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5253; (P) 1.5286; (R1) 1.5344; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral first and further rally is expected with 1.5047 support intact. Firm break of 1.5416 will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5823. However, break of 1.5047 will turn bias back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.4885).

In the bigger picture, current development raises the chance of medium term bottoming at at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Firm break of 1.5396 will bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.5396 will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4281 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5687; (P) 1.5754; (R1) 1.5853; More….

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5271 extends further to as high as 1.5822 so far. The break of 1.5773 carries larger bullish implications. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.6189 high next. On the downside, break of 1.5617 support is needed to indicate completion of the rise from 1.5271. Otherwise, outlook will now remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that fall from 1.6189 is a corrective move and has completed at 1.5217 already. Key support levels of 1.5153 and 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 were defended. And rise medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is not completed yet. Break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high).

EUR/AUD stayed in consolidation from 1.6033 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week and some more sideway trading could be seen. Near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.6772 resistance holds and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.6033 will resume whole decline from 1.9799 and target next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, though, break of 1.6772 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This week remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) could have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799. The development suggests that long term range trading is extending with another medium term down leg. Sustained trading below 55 month EMA (now at 1.5737) will further affirm this case and target 1.1602/3624 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6731; (P) 1.6762; (R1) 1.6807; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the upside for retesting 1.7062 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm larger up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5846 to 1.7062 from 1.6319 at 1.7353. On the downside, break of 1.6550 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay mildly bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from medium term rising trend line indicates that rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.7062 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.7691. In any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.6319 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6432; (P) 1.6525; (R1) 1.6699; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is back on the upside with firm break of 1.6601 resistance. Further rally should be seen to 1.6785 high. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend to 1.7377 projection level next. On the downside, break of 1.6577 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rise resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. On the other hand, rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6104; (P) 1.6147; (R1) 1.6178; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. With 1.6259 minor resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.6025 will resume the fall from 1.6448 to 1.5683 support and below. On the upside, break of 1.6259 will indicate that corrective pull back from 1.6448 has completed. And further rise should be seen back to retest 1.6448 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6220; (P) 1.6312; (R1) 1.6361; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.6033 could extend. Further decline is expected with 1.6772 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.6033 will resume the fall from 1.9799 and target next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6873; (P) 1.7035; (R1) 1.7126; More…

EUR/AUD retreated after hitting 1.7194 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Rebound from 1.6538 short term bottom is still in favor to extend higher. Above 1.7194 will target 1.7321 resistance. Firm break there should bring stronger rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6538 at 1.7748 next. However, sustained break of 1.6538 will resume the fall from 1.9799 and carries larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, while the pull back from 1.9799 is deep, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. EUR/AUD is still holding on to 1.6597 (2015 high) cluster support, with 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668. Larger rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and would resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 1.6597 suggest bearish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6887; (P) 1.7006; (R1) 1.7136; More…

A temporary top is in place at 1.7126 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral for some consolidations. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.6593 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.7126 will target 200% projection of 1.5962 to 1.6593 from 1.6085 at 1.7347 next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirm medium term bullishness. 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 is next target. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6804; (P) 1.7001; (R1) 1.7116; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside. Fall from 1.9790 is in progress to 1.6085/6593 support zone. On the upside, though, break of 1.7350 minor resistance will suggest short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high) is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4992; (P) 1.5099; (R1) 1.5303; More…

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.4138 resumed by breaking through 1.5053 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside with focus on 1.5354 cluster resistance (100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5053 from 1.4597 at 1.5332. Rejection by this level will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4138 low at a later stage. But firm break of 1.5332/54 will argue that the larger trend is reversing. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.5786 first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

EUR/AUD rebounded to as high as 1.6420 last week but retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Current development suggest short term bottoming at 1.6122. Consolidation pattern from 1.6033 could have started another rising leg. Break of 1.6420 will turn bias to the upside for 1.6827 resistance. Nevertheless, on the downside, break of 1.6122 will bring retest of 1.6033 low.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.9799 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. The question is whether it’s a sideway pattern or a deep correction. On the downside, sustained break of 1.6033 will suggest it’s the latter case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. On the upside, break of 1.6827 resistance will favor the former case and bring stronger rebound.

In the longer term picture rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) could have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799. The development suggests that long term range trading is extending with another medium term down leg. Sustained trading below 55 month EMA (now at 1.5855) will further affirm this case and target 1.1602/3624 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4839; (P) 1.4945; (R1) 1.5098; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.4561. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out But upside upside should be limited well below 1.5354 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.4561 will target 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.3624 long term target zone.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.