Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5712; (P) 1.5756; (R1) 1.5817; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally continues and reaches as high as 1.5911 so far today. Break of 1.5886/8 resistance confirms resumption of rally from 1.5271. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.5271 to 1.5886 from 1.5601 at 1.5981 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.6216, which is close to 1.6189 high. On the downside, below 1.5836 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD. But there is no confirmation of completion. Break of 1.5888 will likely target 1.6189 and above to resume the medium term rally from 1.3624 (2017 low). This will be the favored case as long as 1.5271 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4963; (P) 1.5013; (R1) 1.5087; More…

Breach of 1.5074 suggests that recent rise in EUR/AUD is resuming and intraday bias is back on the upside. We’re holding on to the bullish view that the medium term trend has reversed. Break of 1.5094 resistance will extend the rally from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. On the downside, below 1.4934 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation. But further rise would remain in favor as long as 1.4669 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6432; (P) 1.6481; (R1) 1.6523; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.6033 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.6772 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the decline from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6289; (P) 1.6329; (R1) 1.6379; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Corrective pull back from 1.6786 should have completed at 1.5905. Further rise should be seen back to 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6074 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5894 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6024) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5061; (P) 1.5170; (R1) 1.5253; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment, with focus on 1.5354 cluster resistance (100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5053 from 1.4597 at 1.5332. Rejection by this level will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4138 low at a later stage. But firm break of 1.5332/54 will argue that the larger trend is reversing. Next target is 161.8% projection at 1.5786 first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6093; (P) 1.6140; (R1) 1.6179; More….

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6357 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.5984 support. For now, we’re still viewing price actions from 1.6353 as a consolidation pattern. Thus, downside should be continued by 1.5984 to bring up trend resumption eventually. On the upside, above 1.6159 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6357 first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 1.5984 will be an early sign of trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4148; (P) 1.4185; (R1) 1.4227; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook stays bearish as the corrective decline from 1.6587 is still in progress. Below 1.4025 will target 1.3671 key support level. We’d expect downside to be contained there to bring reversal. Meanwhile, above 1.4251 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.4271 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a consolidative pattern. 50% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.6587 at 1.4095 was already met. While further fall cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will be the first sign of resumption of up trend from 1.1602 and target retesting of 1.6587 high first.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5390; (P) 1.5473; (R1) 1.5521; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.5704 is extending. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5298) to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 1.5704 will resume larger rise from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper correction towards 1.4965 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5416; (P) 1.5469; (R1) 1.5541; More…

EUR/AUD is extending the corrective pattern from 1.5074. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Deeper fall could be seen but downside should contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5227) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume the rally from 1.4281.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6217; (P) 1.6277; (R1) 1.6318; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.6211 support confirms resumption of decline from 1.6742, as the third leg of the correction from 1.7062. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.6679 to 1.6211 from 1.6418 at 1.6129 first. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 1.5950. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.6418 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

EUR/AUD recovered last week but stays in consolidation from 1.6262. Outlook is unchanged and initial bias remains neutral this week first. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.5683 to 1.6262 at 1.6041 to bring rise resumption eventually. Correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. On the upside, break of 1.6262 will pave the way to retest 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6041 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.5904.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6531; (P) 1.6608; (R1) 1.6756; More…

EUR/AUD rebounded strongly after hitting 1.6461, well ahead of 1.6337 support. The development revived near term bullishness that larger rebound from 1.6033 is not finished. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.6827 resistance first. Break there will target t 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is now back above 55 day EMA (now at 1.6463) with current rebound. The development argues that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6248; (P) 1.6279; (R1) 1.6320; More…

Outlook in EUR/AUD remains unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected with 1.6203 support intact. On the upside, above 1.6432 will target 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6203 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.6074 support and then 1.5905.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6047) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5338; (P) 1.5381; (R1) 1.5449; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.5259/5494 and intraday bias remains neutral. Fall from 1.5770 is likely not finished yet. Below 1.5259 should send EUR/AUD through 1.5153 low to 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950). On the upside, break of 1.5494 will extend the rebound form 1.5153. But we don’t expect a break of 1.5770 in first attempt.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5945; (P) 1.6056; (R1) 1.6132; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.6232 will resume the rebound from 1.5907 to retest 1.6434 high. Overall, rise from 1.5250 is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5898 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.5898 will argue that whole rise from 1.5250 has completed, and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6633; (P) 1.6697; (R1) 1.6753; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6550 support holds. Above 1.6843 will target a test on 1.7062 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 1.6550 support will bring deeper fall back to 1.6319 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from medium term rising trend line indicates that rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.7062 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.7691. In any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.6319 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4913; (P) 1.4951; (R1) 1.5003; More….

With 1.5042 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside for 1.4732 resistance. Decline from 1.5173 is viewed as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.5226. Break of 1.4372 will target 1.4421 again. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5042 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.5173 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6092; (P) 1.6183; (R1) 1.6319; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.6321 indicates that up trend from 1.4281 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside. But focus remains on 0.6389/6434 cluster resistance zone. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, firm break of 1.6033 support will confirm short term topping, after rejection by the mentioned resistance. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5848 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4842; (P) 1.4888; (R1) 1.4954; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally from 1.4965 resumed by breaking through 1.4965. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5139 and then 100% projection at 1.5400. On the downside, break of 1.4716 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5800; (P) 1.5850; (R1) 1.5924; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.5773 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited below 1.6055 minor resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.5773 will target 1.5621 support first. Decisive break there will be another indication of medium term trend reversal. However, break of 1.6059 will turn focus back to 1.6189 high instead.

In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal is building up in EUR/AUD. Bearish divergence condition in daily MACD indicates further loss of upside momentum ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Break of 1.5621 should confirm medium term topping and bring deeper fall back to 1.5153 and possibly below. Meanwhile, even in case of up trend resumption, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.