Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6108; (P) 1.6153; (R1) 1.6179; More…

EUR/AUD is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Still, with 1.6086 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside. Current rise from 1.5683 should extend to retest 1.6765 high. On the downside, below 1.6086 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6415; (P) 1.6459; (R1) 1.6528; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally extends to as high as 1.6550 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.6593 resistance next. Break there will target a test on 1.6786 high. On the downside, below 1.6389 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is still struggling in established range of 1.5905/6786. And it’s trying to draw support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6122) again. For now, larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6786 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5153; (P) 1.5241; (R1) 1.5304; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment. The larger down trend is still expected to continue as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.4920 minor support should resume larger down trend to 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. However, sustained break of 1.5354 will bring stronger rise back towards 1.6223 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6520; (P) 1.6572; (R1) 1.6667; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.6786 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another fall, downside should be contained above 1.6247 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6786 will extend larger up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.5683 to 1.6448 from 1.5894 at 1.7132.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is resuming. Strong support from 55 week EMA indicates medium term bullishness. Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. In any case, break of 1.5894 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6420; (P) 1.6474; (R1) 1.6509; More…

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook as sideway consolidation is still in progress. Intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.6772 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the decline from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5089; (P) 1.5159; (R1) 1.5253; More…

Despite dipping to 1.5059, EUR/AUD quickly rebounded and resumed larger rise from 1.4318. Intraday bias is back on the upside with focus on 1.5354 resistance. Sustained break there should indicate medium term bottoming at 1.4318. Stronger rally would be seen back to 100% projection of 1.4318 to 1.5277 from 1.4759 at 1.5718. On the downside, however, break of 1.5059 will revive medium term bearishness and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, sustained break of 1.5354 support turned resistance will argue that a medium term bottom was formed at 1.4318 already. It would still be too early to call for long term trend reversal. But further rise would then be seen back towards 1.6434 resistance (2021 high). However, rejection by 1.5354 will retain bearishness for extending the down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) through 1.4318 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6129; (P) 1.6164; (R1) 1.6219; More…

EUR/AUD is staying below 1.6211 support turned resistance despite current strong rebound. Intraday bias remains neutral and further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 1.5996 will resume larger fall to 1.5846 support next. However, firm break of 1.6211 will argue that larger corrective fall might have completed, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.6418 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6418 resistance will argue that the correction has completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4501; (P) 1.4550; (R1) 1.4638; More…

A temporary top could be in place at 1.4605 and intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral for consolidation. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.4334 support and bring another rise. We’re holding on to the case off trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Above 1.4605 will target 1.4721 resistance. Decisive break of 1.4721 will confirm our bullish view.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6416; (P) 1.6471; (R1) 1.6577; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment as range trading continues. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6586 will suggest that it’s at least in correction to the fall from 1.9799 to 1.6033. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472. However, rejection by 1.6586 will maintain near term bearishness for another fall through 1.6033 later.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall might be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5816). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. However, strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6458) would neutralize the long term bearishness and argues that price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a sideway range pattern instead.

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.7180 extended to as low as 1.6256 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations. Further decline would remain in favor as long as 1.6580 resistance holds. Below 1.6256 will target 1.5996 key support level next.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected fall from 1.7180. Yet as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. Firm break of 1.7180 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5987) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5439; (P) 1.5484; (R1) 1.5512; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline continues today and reaches as low as 1.5437 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Current fall from 1.6189 should target 1.5153 key support next. On the upside, break of 1.5617 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) should have completed at 1.6189 already, ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). 1.6189 is seen as a medium term top. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4604. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming again below 1.4604. On the upside, firm break of 1.5773 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.6189. Otherwise, further fall is expected in medium term, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4617; (P) 1.4672; (R1) 1.4759; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is back on the upside as rebound from 1.4281 resumes. Firm break of 1.4804 resistance will bring stronger rally back towards 1.5396. On the downside, below 1.4564 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.4281 low instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.5996 extended through 1.6742 resistance last week despite interim pullback. The development strengthens the case that corrective fall from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.5998. Initial bias is on the upside this week for retesting 1.7062 high. On the downside, break of 1.6474 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) and could have completed after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. On resumption next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.6474 support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5987) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6398; (P) 1.6456; (R1) 1.6500; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 1.6412 and sustained trading below 1.6439 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.6127 has completed, and turn near term outlook bearish for this support again. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.6503 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6742.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5060; (P) 1.5098; (R1) 1.5161; More….

The strong rally in EUR/AUD and breach of 1.5241 resistance indicates that medium term rise from 1.3624 is resuming. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first. On the downside, below 1.5137 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidations. But outlook will remain cautiously bullish as long as 1.4949 support holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Sustained trading above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6007; (P) 1.6094; (R1) 1.6154; More….

EUR/AUD rebounds strongly after hitting 1.6033 but it’s staying in range below 1.6357. Intraday bias remains neutral first. After all, as long as 1.5984 support holds, further rise is expected. On the upside, break of 1.6357 will resume larger up trend to 1.6587 key resistance next. However, break of 1.5984 will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 1.5984 will be an early sign of trend reversal.

EUR/AUD’s rise extend last week and reached as high as 1.6288. The break of 1.6189 confirmed resumption of the up trend from 1.3624. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally would target 161.8% projection of 1.5271 to 1.5886 from 1.5601 at 1.6596, which is close to another key resistance level at 1.6587. On the downside, below 1.6121 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) has just resumed. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5601 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3624 key support should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6463; (P) 1.6484; (R1) 1.6517; More…

Focus stays on 1.6474 support in EUR/AUD. Decisive break there will argue that rise from 1.5996 has completed, and dampen the larger bullish view. Intraday bias will be back on the downside for deeper fall towards 1.5996 in this case. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.6745 resistance, will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.7180 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.7062 medium term top should have completed at 1.5996. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.6474 support holds. However, decisive break of 1.6474 will argue that EUR/AUD is still engaging in medium term range trading.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6598; (P) 1.6646; (R1) 1.6735; More…

EUR/AUD rose to 1.6692 but retreated since then. Intraday bias is neutral for the moment first. The breach of 1.6671 resistance suggests that rebound from 1.6127 is resuming. More importantly, whole correction from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rise is now expected as long as 1.6450 support holds. Above 1.6692 will target 61.8% projection of 1.6127 to 1.6671 from 1.6450 at 1.6786 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

EUR/AUD’s extended rebound last week suggests short term bottoming at 1.6211, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias stays mildly on the upside this week. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 1.6412) will argue that fall from 1.6742 has completed, and turn near term outlook bullish. On the downside, though, below 1.6322 minor support will bring retest of 1.6211 support instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5962) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.