EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6551; (P) 1.6616; (R1) 1.6672; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral again with current retreat. But further rally will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.6368 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.6742 could have completed with three waves down to 1.6368. Above 1.6678 will target a retest on 1.6742 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6259; (P) 1.6296; (R1) 1.6341; More

EUR/AUD’s rally resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.6432 resistance. Decisive break there will pave the way to retest 1.6785 high. On the downside, break of 1.6250 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6082) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6427; (P) 1.6462; (R1) 1.6506; More..

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.6412 and sustained trading below 1.6439 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.6127 has completed, and turn near term outlook bearish for this support again. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 1.6561 minor resistance, will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6742.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4637; (P) 1.4705; (R1) 1.4801; More

With 1.4585 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for the moment. Correction from 1.5226 could have completed with three waves down to 1.4421 already. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.4744) will target 1.5073 resistance. Break there will indicate resumption of whole rise from 1.3624. On the downside, below 1.4585 minor support will turn focus back to 1.4421 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, further downside acceleration will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6749; (P) 1.6909; (R1) 1.7114; More

With 1.6827 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for 161.8% projection of 1.5962 to 1.6593 from 1.6085 at 1.7106. Break will target 200% projection at 1.7347 next. On the downside, below 1.6827 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.6593 resistance turned support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirm medium term bullishness. 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 is next target. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of retreat.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4705; (P) 1.4755; (R1) 1.4838; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.4909 temporary top. More consolidations could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.4442/4649 support zone to bring rise resumption. Above 1.4909 will extend recent rally from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. Overall near term outlook is that whole correction from 1.6587 has completed at 1.3624 already after defending 1.3671 key support level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4917; (P) 1.4953; (R1) 1.4997; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation continues in range of 1.4791/5173. On the upside, break of 1.5173/5226 resistance zone will finally resume larger rise from 1.3624. On the downside, break of 1.4791 support will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 1.5173 to retest 1.4421 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5829; (P) 1.5887; (R1) 1.5954; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. We’re holding on to the view that decline from 1.6765 has completed at 1.5721 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the upside, break of 1.6060 should confirm this bullish view and target a test on 1.6765 high. On the downside, however, break of 1.5721 will extend the decline to 1.5346 support instead..

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.6593 resumed last week, through 1.6256 support to as low as 1.6085. As a temporary low was formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. But further fall is in favor as long as 1.6256 support turned resistance holds. Below 1.6085 will target a test on 1.5962 support. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.6256 will turn bias to the upside for 1.6448 resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is still struggling in established range of 1.5905/6786. And it’s trying to draw support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6113) again. For now, larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6503 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5962 remains intact. However, firm break of 1.5962 will be an early sign of major topping and turn focus to 1.5346 key support for confirmation.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.4183 last week but quickly pulled back. Downside of retreat was contained by 1.3874 minor support so far and outlook is unchanged. We’d still slightly favoring the case of trend reversal after defending key support level at 1.3671, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD.

Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, above 1.4183 will turn bias to the upside for 1.4289 resistance next. Break will affirm our view and target next key resistance level at 1.4721. However, break of 1.3874 minor support will invalidate our view and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3624 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. We’d expect strong support from 1.3671 key level to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and turn outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustrained trading below 1.3671 should confirm trend reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4186; (P) 1.4248; (R1) 1.4323; More

EUR/AUD lost momentum ahead after hitting 1.4309 dropped sharply. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. At this point, we’re still mildly favoring the case of trend reversal. And, another rise is expected as long as 1.3872 support holds. Above 1.4309 should send the cross through channel resistance (now at 1.4378) to 1.4721 key resistance. However, break of 1.3872 will dampen our bullish view and bring retest of 1.3642 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6699; (P) 1.6785; (R1) 1.6859; More

EUR/AUD’s retreat from 1.7180 extends lower today but stays well above 1.6474 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first and further rally is still in favor. On the upside, above 1.6869 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.7180. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.7715 fibonacci projection level next.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 1.7062 resistance will confirm resumption of whole up trend from 1. 1.4281 (2022 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. For now, further rally is expected as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.6355) support holds, even in case of deep retreat.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5498; (P) 1.5568; (R1) 1.5604; More

EUR/AUD’s down trend continues today and intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% projection of 1.6409 to 1.5591 from 1.5945 at 1.5439. Firm break there will target 100% projection at 1.5127. On the upside, break of 1.5634 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.5945 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6502; (P) 1.6560; (R1) 1.6648; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 1.6368 would target 1.6677 resistance next. Break there will confirm that correction from 1.6742 has completed, and bring further rally through this high. On the downside, though, below 1.6511 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). The correction is probably still in progress with fall from 1.6742 as the third leg. Strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5348; (P) 1.5395; (R1) 1.5439; More….

EUR/AUD recovers today and breaks of 1.5454 minor resistance suggests temporary bottoming at 1.5314. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidation. But upside of recovery should b limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6139 to 1.5314 at 1.5269 to bring fall resumption. Below 1.5314 will resume the decline from 1.6189 and target 1.5153 key support level next.

In the bigger picture, rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) should have completed at 1.6189 already, ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). 1.6189 is seen as a medium term top. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4604. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming again below 1.4604. On the upside, firm break of 1.5773 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.6189. Otherwise, further decline is expected in medium term, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6682; (P) 1.6781; (R1) 1.6832; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.6737 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.7062 resistance will resume larger up trend to 1.7377 projection level next. However, firm break of 1.6737 will bring deeper pull back to 1.6601 resistance turned support instead.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5846 support holds, even in case of another pull back.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD’s medium term decline from 1.6587 extended last week and reached as low as 1.3838. Intraday bias remains on the downside this week and deeper fall should be seen to 1.3671 key support level. At this point, we’d still expect strong support around 1.3671 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4038 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn focus back to 1.4289 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Deeper fall could be seen but, we’d expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, break of 1.3671 should confirm trend reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

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EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5420; (P) 1.5516; (R1) 1.5573; More

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.5976 resumed by breaking through 1.5414. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.5976 at 1.5329. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. Break of 1.5614 resistance will indicate that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 1.5976 high. However, sustained trading below 1.5329 will carry larger bearish implication and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4928.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6002; (P) 1.6081; (R1) 1.6130; More

Break of 1.6063 support turns intraday bias in EUR/AUD to the downside for 1.5976 support. Break there will turn focus to 1.5894/5906 key support zone. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6323 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6081) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6240; (P) 1.6320; (R1) 1.6379; More

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Choppy rise from 1.5905 should still extend as long as 1.6203 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6432 will target 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6203 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.6074 support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6038) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.