Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5569; (P) 1.5649; (R1) 1.5703; More…

Further decline is expected in EUR/AUD with 1.5830 resistance intact. Current down trend target 161.8% projection of 1.6827 to 1.6144 from 1.6420 at 1.5315 next. Though, break of 1.5830 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.9799 is developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5415; (P) 1.5441; (R1) 1.5480; More….

EUR/AUD rebounded after hitting 1.5346, ahead of 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.5781 resistance holds. On the downside, below 1.5346 will target 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone again. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.5781 will suggest that fall from 1.6357 has completed. And intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6357.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). Fall from 1.6357 should be corrective such up trend and would target 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will extend the correction to Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5781 will suggest that the pull back has already completed. And larger uptrend from 1.3624 might be ready to resume.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4940; (P) 1.4997; (R1) 1.5087; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is back on the upside as rebound from 1.4758 resumes. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.5277 resistance first. Break there will target 1.5354 support turned resistance next. On the downside, below 1.4966 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6222; (P) 1.6268; (R1) 1.6341; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6033 is still extending. On the downside, decisive break of 1.6033 will resume the down trend from 1.9799. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.6585 resistance should turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5792). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.6586 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6384; (P) 1.6407; (R1) 1.6428; More…

EUR/AUD’s correction from 1.0762 has possibly completed with three waves down to 1.5996, after hitting 1.6000 fibonacci support. Break of 1.6148 resistance affirms this case. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.6742 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.6384 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6742 resistance indicate that the up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5151; (P) 1.5275; (R1) 1.5357; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral as it retreated after failing to sustain above 1.5396 resistance. For now, further rally is in favor as long as 1.5047 support holds. Firm break of 1.5416 will carry larger bullish implication. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5823.

In the bigger picture, current development raises the chance of medium term bottoming at at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Firm break of 1.5396 will bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.5396 will maintain medium term bearishness for another fall through 1.4281 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6242; (P) 1.6279; (R1) 1.6333; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidations form 1.6368 is extending. Further rise is expected as long as 1.6074 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.6786 should have completed at 1.5905. Break of 1.6368 will target 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, however, break of 1.6074 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5894 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6031) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6641; (P) 1.6691; (R1) 1.6770; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the upside as rise from 1.6319 is in progress. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.7062 high next. On the downside, break of 1.6550 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay mildly bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from medium term rising trend line indicates that rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 100% projection of 1.5846 to 1.7062 from 1.6319 at 1.7353. In any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.6319 support holds.

EUR/AUD rebounded to 1.6139 last week but failed to break through 1.6189 resistance and reversed. Initial bias remains mildly on the downside this week for 1.5773 support, and possibly below. But for the moment, we’re viewing price actions from 1.6189 as developing into a consolidation pattern. Hence, downside should be contained above 1.5621 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.6139 will target 1.6189 high again.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6149; (P) 1.6201; (R1) 1.6265; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.5683 in in progress for retesting 1.6765 high. On the downside, below 1.6127 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6231; (P) 1.6292; (R1) 1.6345; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on he downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.6742 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.7062. Deeper decline should be seen to expected to 1.6127 support, or further to 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6127 from 1.6742 at 1.5807. On the upside, above 1.6336 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But for now, risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.6494 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

EUR/AUD’s steep decline last week and firm break of 1.6337 support suggests that recent rebound might have completed. Yet, the cross lost momentum quickly after hitting 1.6229 and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Consolidation pattern from 1.6033 might be still in progress. On the downside, break of 1.6229 will bring retest of 1.6033. On the upside, break of 1.6505 resistance will start another rising leg, and turn bias to the upside for 1.6827.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.6463) would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

In the longer term picture rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) could have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799. The development suggests that long term range trading is extending with another medium term down leg. Sustained trading below 55 month EMA (now at 1.5816) will further affirm this case and target 1.1602/3624 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6105; (P) 1.6147; (R1) 1.6216; More…

EUR/AUD’s recovery from 1.6025 is still in progress and focus is back on 1.6259 minor resistance. Break will confirm that corrective pull back from 1.6448 has completed. And further rise should be seen back to retest 1.6448 high. On the downside, break of 1.6025 will extend the fall from 1.648 to 1.5683 support and below.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6008; (P) 1.6184; (R1) 1.6373; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside as long as 1.6071 minor resistance intact. Deeper fall should be seen to 1.5894/5906 key support zone. On the upside, above 1.6071 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6314 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6081) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5372; (P) 1.5427; (R1) 1.5509; More…

EUR/AUD is extending the consolidation from 1.5704 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5191) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume the rally from 1.4281.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6328; (P) 1.6444; (R1) 1.6505; More…

EUR/AUD remains in consolidation form 1.6593 and intraday bias stays neutral. Downside of consolidation should be contained above 1.6294 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6593 will extend whole rally from 1.5962 to retest 1.6786 high.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD drew support from 55 week EMA and rebounded strongly again. The development indicates that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5962 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5785; (P) 1.5843; (R1) 1.5874; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.6139 resumed by taking out 1.5837 and reaches as low as 1.5774 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for further fall. But still, as price actions from 1.6189 are viewed as a consolidation pattern, downside should be contained above 1.5621 support to bring rebound. Above 1.5962 will turn bias to the upside for 1.6139 resistance.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.

EUR/AUD’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 1.6319 has completed at 1.6843 already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 1.6319 support next. Sustained break there will target 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6319 from 1.6843 at 1.6100. On the upside, above 1.6588 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 1.7062 is already a medium term top. Fall from there is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). While deeper decline might be seen, strong support should emerge from 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 1.6000 will raise the chance of bearish tend reversal.

In the longer term picture, loss of upside momentum as seen in 55 W MACD at this stage argues that rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is more likely a corrective move. Further rise could still be seen as long as 1.5846 support holds. But upside will likely be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.7691. Firm break of 1.5846 support will argue that the rise has completed, and another medium term down leg has started.

Sideway trading continued in EUR/AUD last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, below 1.6455 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.6348 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5902) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4812; (P) 1.4891; (R1) 1.4991; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.5053 will resume the rebound from 1.4318, and target 61.8% retracement of 1.6223 to 1.4318 at 1.5495. On the downside, break of 1.4597 will bring retest of 1.4318 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally.