Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4639; (P) 1.4763; (R1) 1.4961; More…

A temporary low is formed at 1.4561 in EUR/AUD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen, but upside should be limited well below 1.5354 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.4561 will target 161.8% projection of 1.6343 to 1.5354 from 1.6223 at 1.4476. Sustained break there will pave the way to 1.3624 long term target zone.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5561; (P) 1.5621; (R1) 1.5686; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for the moment. Firm break of 1.5559 support should indicate that corrective rise from 1.5354 has completed in form of a three wave pattern. Further decline would then be seen back to 1.5250/5354 support zone. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5837 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5250 low are seen as a corrective pattern. Further extension could be seen and another rise cannot be ruled out. But strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5997; (P) 1.6043; (R1) 1.6089; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first and focus is back on 1.6033 low. Decisive break there will resume whole down trend from 1.9799. On the upside, firm break of 1.630 resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.6033 with another rising leg, back to 1.6827 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price action from 1.9799 are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. The question is whether it’s a sideway pattern or a deep correction. On the downside, sustained break of 1.6033 will suggest it’s the latter case and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. On the upside, break of 1.6827 resistance will favor the former case and bring stronger rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5536; (P) 1.5609; (R1) 1.5654; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Corrective pattern from 1.5976 could still extend with another fall. But strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.5976 at 1.5329 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5749 will resume the rise from 1.5376 for retesting 1.5976 high.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5896; (P) 1.5973; (R1) 1.6040; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.6064 temporary top. Further rise is still expected as long as 1.5806 minor support holds. We’d continue to favor the bullish case that correction from 1.6765 has completed with three waves down to 1.5683. On the upside, above 1.6064 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6122. Decisive break of 1.6122 will confirm this bullish view and target retesting 1.6765 high. However, break of 1.5806 support will argue that fall from 1.6765 is resuming and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5683 low for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6299; (P) 1.6364; (R1) 1.6484; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.6444 resistance suggests that up trend from 1.4281 is resuming. Intraday bias is now back on the upside for 100% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6949. For now, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.6219 support holds, in case of retreat. Also, sustained trading above 1.6434/44 resistance will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5319; (P) 1.5399; (R1) 1.5545; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral for some consolidations first. While stronger rebound cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.5945 resistance holds. Break of 1.5250 will resume the larger down trend from 1.9799.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6494; (P) 1.6550; (R1) 1.6583; More…

Range trading continues in EUR/AUD and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, break of 1.6438 will bring deeper fall back to 1.6127 support instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5727; (P) 1.5759; (R1) 1.5805; More…

EUR/AUD recovered after hitting 1.5683 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Near term outlook remains bearish as long as 1.5853 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5683 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 61.8% projection of 1.6765 to 1.5721 from 1.6122 at 1.5477. However, firm break of 1.5853 will suggests short term bottoming and bring stronger rise back to 1.6122 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5614; (P) 1.5638; (R1) 1.5660; More….

EUR/AUD reaches as low as 1.5582 so far today as fall from 1.5888 resume extends. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. On the upside, above 1.5656 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from m 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6222; (P) 1.6280; (R1) 1.6370; More…

Outlook in EUR/AUD is unchanged. Corrective fall from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.6513 resistance. Firm break there will confirm this case and target 1.6785 high next. On the downside, though, break of 1.6187 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rally resumption. Rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6601; (P) 1.6659; (R1) 1.6710; More…

EUR/AUD’s retreat from 1.6785 extends lower today but stays well above 1.6444 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.6444 resistance turned support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6785 will resume larger up trend from 1.4281 to 100% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6949.

In the bigger picture, the solid break of 1.6434 resistance argues that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed at 1.4281 (2022 low). Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.7691 next. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5976 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5875; (P) 1.5952; (R1) 1.6058; More…

Outlook in EUR/AUD will stays bearish as long as 1.6122 support turned resistance holds. Further decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.6827 to 1.6122 from 1.6420 at 1.5715. Though, break of 1.6122 will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.6420 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.9799 is developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4622; (P) 1.4720; (R1) 1.4773; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.4880 will resume the rebound from 1.4281 short term bottom, and target 1.5396 resistance. On the downside, however, break of 1.4564 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.4281 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6276; (P) 1.6316; (R1) 1.6382; More….

EUR/AUD fails to take out 1.6353 resistance so far and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6175 support holds. Decisive break of 1.6353 will resume larger up trend and target 1.6857 key resistance next. However, break of 1.6175 will dampen the bullish case and extend the consolidation pattern from 1.6353 with another fall.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4722; (P) 1.4773; (R1) 1.4859; More…

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.4896 but quickly retreated. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, above 1.4896 will resume the rebound from 1.4281 short term bottom, and target 1.5396 resistance. On the downside, however, break of 1.4564 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.4281 low.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6459; (P) 1.6486; (R1) 1.6513; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 1.6671 will revive the case that whole correction from 1.7062 has completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally should then be seen to 1.6844 resistance for confirmation. Nevertheless, below 1.6455 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.6348 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5831; (P) 1.5915; (R1) 1.5972; More….

EUR/AUD drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA and recovered. It’s staying below 1.6039 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Overall, further rise is expected as long as 1.5791 support holds. Break of 1.6039 will resume larger rally to 61.8% projection of 1.5130 to 1.5976 from 1.5621 at 1.6130 first. Break there will target 100% projection at 1.6444 next. However, break of 1.5791 minor support will be an early sign of near term reversal. In such case, focus will be turned back to 1.5621 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. And it’s still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance level. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. But for now, break of 1.5153 support is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stays bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5635; (P) 1.5695; (R1) 1.5759; More….

EUR/AUD’s rebound stalled at 1.5750, below 1.5773 key support turned resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. ON the downside, break of 1.5601 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.5425. Break there will confirm completion of rebound from 1.5271 and target this low again. Meanwhile, sustained break of 1.5773 will indicate that whole decline from 1.6189 has completed with three waves down to 1.5271 already. And retest of 1.6189 should be seen next.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 1.5773 support turned resistance with the current strong rebound. Firm break there will argue that medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is not completed yet. Further break of 1.6189 will target 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Though, rejection by 1.5773 will revive the case of bearish trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.4604.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6912; (P) 1.7011; (R1) 1.7091; More…

EUR/AUD spikes higher to 1.82003 today and retreats then. Intraday bias remains on the upside for next medium term target at 1.8619. While some more volatility could be seen and deeper treat cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.6774 support holds.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Current up trend should now target 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 1.8619. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of deep pull back.