Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6523; (P) 1.6635; (R1) 1.6710; More…

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral and further rise is in favor with 1.6474 support intact. On the upside, above 1.6798 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.7180 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.7715 fibonacci projection level next. However, firm break of 1.6474 will dampen the bullish view and bring deeper pullback towards 1.5996 support.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.7062 medium term top should have completed at 1.5996. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.6474 support holds.

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. The correction from 1.5570 could still extend lower. But again, near term outlook stays bullish with 1.5226 resistance turned support intact. Break of 1.5526 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.5770 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.5226 will indicate larger reversal and target 1.4949 support next.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). However, sustained break of 1.5226 will indicate trend reversal and target 1.3624 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6092; (P) 1.6137; (R1) 1.6207; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.6232 will resume the rebound from 1.5907 to retest 1.6434 high. Overall, rise from 1.5250 is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5898 support holds. However, sustained break of 1.5898 will argue that whole rise from 1.5250 has completed, and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5796; (P) 1.5888; (R1) 1.6031; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside at this point. Further rise would be seen to 1.6033 key support turned resistance next. Sustained break there will argue that longer term trend has reversed, and target 1.6827 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, break of 1.5614 resistance support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed. Stronger rebound would then be seen 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988.

EUR/AUD recovered ahead of 1.5898 support last week, but upside is limited below 1.6116 resistance so far. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.6116 will argue that pull back from 1.6434 has completed after defending 1.5898 structural support. Larger rise from 15250 is still in progress. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6434 first. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.5898 will argue that corrective rise from 1.5250 has already completed. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.5614 support next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) should have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799 (2020 high). Fall from there is seen as a medium term to long term down leg as a long term down trend, or a sideway pattern. We’ll assess the odds again at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5940; (P) 1.5970; (R1) 1.6024; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current recovery. Another fall is mildly in favor as long as 1.6035 minor resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 55 day EMA (now at 1.5880) would argue that choppy corrective rebound from 1.5250 has completed. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.5614 structural support for confirmation. On the upside, above 1.6035 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6182 high instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom was formed at 1.5250, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rise from 1.5250 is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5614 support will indicate that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6596; (P) 1.6648; (R1) 1.6748; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as range trading continues. Outlook stays bullish with 1.6474 support intact. On the upside, above 1.6798 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.7180 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend to 1.7715 fibonacci projection level next. However, firm break of 1.6474 will dampen the bullish view and bring deeper pullback towards 1.5996 support.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.7062 medium term top should have completed at 1.5996. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is resuming. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.6474 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5692; (P) 1.5710; (R1) 1.5732; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 1.5657 will target 1.5418 support. Firm break there will confirm that consolidation pattern from 1.5250 has completed just missing 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. On the upside, however, sustained break of 1.5852 will bring further rally back to 1.6033 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6024; (P) 1.6053; (R1) 1.6071; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.5996 could extend further. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6211 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5996 will target 100% projection of 1.6679 to 1.6211 from 1.6418 at 1.5950. Firm break there will target 1.5846 key support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6148 resistance will argue that the correction has completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4474; (P) 1.4561; (R1) 1.4701; More…

EUR/AUD’s strong rebound indicates short term bottoming at 1.4421, after hitting 100% projection of 1.5226 to 1.4625 from 1.4472. The development also suggests completion of the correction from 1.5226, with three waves down to 1.4421. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.4744) will target 1.5073 resistance. Break there will indicate resumption of whole rise from 1.3624. On the downside, below 1.4585 minor support will turn focus back to 1.4421 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to resume to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the fall from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, further downside acceleration will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4997; (P) 1.5027; (R1) 1.5068; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.4945/5101 and intraday bias remains neutral. Deeper decline is still mildly in favor. Break of 1.4945 will affirm the case that fall from 1.5241 is the third leg of consolidation pattern from 1.5226. And, Further break of 1.4791 will target 1.4421 support cluster support (50% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5226 at 1.4425). We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, though, above 1.5101 will turn focus back to 1.5241 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Sustained trading above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5737; (P) 1.5776; (R1) 1.5852; More….

EUR/AUD surges to as high as 1.5889 so far today and the development confirms resumption of medium term rally. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 61.8% projection of 1.5258 to 1.5816 from 1.5626 at 1.5971. Break will target 1.6526. On the downside, below 1.5786 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5626 support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is still in progress for 1.6587 key resistance. At this point, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside. But decisive break will confirm resumption of long term rise from 1.1602. On the downside, break of 1.5153 support is needed to indicate completion of the medium term rise. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5627; (P) 1.5672; (R1) 1.5725; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.5816 is in progress. Again, near term outlook will remain cautiously bullish with 1.5606 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.5816 should now confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.5606 will argue that a short term top is formed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5514) and below.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD’s decline from 1.7180 extended to as low as 1.6256 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is turned neutral this week for some consolidations. Further decline would remain in favor as long as 1.6580 resistance holds. Below 1.6256 will target 1.5996 key support level next.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected fall from 1.7180. Yet as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. Firm break of 1.7180 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.7062 from 1.5996 at 1.7715.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5987) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.

EUR/AUD edged higher last week but failed to sustained gain and retreated quickly. Nonetheless, with 1.5606 support intact, near term outlook stays bullish. Sustained trading above 1.5770 key resistance Sustained trading above 1.5770 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5606 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5463).

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.