Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5067; (P) 1.5118; (R1) 1.5149; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook as consolidation from 1.5392 extends. With 1.4949 support intact, outlook remains bullish and further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.5392 will resume medium term rise from 1.3624 and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first. However, decisive break of 1.4949 will carry larger bearish implication and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. However, break of 1.4949 support will dampen our view and argue that rise from 1.3624 has completed. In that case, EUR/AUD would turn southward for retesting 1.3624 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5413; (P) 1.5482; (R1) 1.5563; More…

EUR/AUD is extending the corrective pattern from 1.5704 and intraday bias stays neutral. If case of another fall, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5265) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.5704 will resume larger rise from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper correction towards 1.4965 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4965; (P) 1.4995; (R1) 1.5015; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is neutral for consolidation below 1.5073 minor support. With 1.4796 minor support intact, further rally is mildly in favor. Above 1.5073 will target 1.5226 resistance first. Break there will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.3624. In such case, EUR/AUD would target 1.5455 fibonacci level next. However, break of 1.4796 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.4625 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 would extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. However, sustained break of 1.4625 support will dampen this bullish view. In that case, we’ll assess the outlook later after looking at the structure and depth of the pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5132; (P) 1.5159; (R1) 1.5210; More….

The break of 1.5173 resistance suggests that EUR/AUD’s rise from 1.4421 is finally resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.5226 key resistance next. Break there will also resuming the medium term rally from 1.3624. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4421 at 1.5411 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.6023 next. On the downside, below 1.5108 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5476; (P) 1.5514; (R1) 1.5543; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.5623 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current medium term rally from 1.3624 should target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first. Break will target 100% projection at 1.6551, which is close to 1.6587 key resistance. On the downside, break of 1.5483 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3849; (P) 1.3949; (R1) 1.4017; More…

EUR/AUD’s pull back from 1.4183 extended lower but it’s still holding on to 1.3874 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. At this point, we’re still favoring the case of medium term trend reversal defending key support level at 1.3671, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Above 1.4183 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.4289 resistance. Sustained break there will affirm our bullish view and target 1.4721 key resistance next. However, break of 1.3874 will dampen our view and turn bias to the downside for 1.3624 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. We’d expect strong support from 1.3671 key level to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and turn outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5524; (P) 1.5583; (R1) 1.5638; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation pattern from 1.5250 is still extending. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. On the downside, break of 1.5234 will bring retest of 1.5250 low. Overall, down trend from 1.9799 is expected to resume after consolidation from 1.5250 completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4939; (P) 1.5006; (R1) 1.5050; More…

With 1.4901 minor support intact, further rise is expected in EUR/AUD to 1.5226 resistance. Break there will confirm resumption of whole rally from 1.3624. In such case, EUR/AUD would target 1.5455 fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, break of 1.4901 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 would extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. However, sustained break of 1.4625 support will dampen this bullish view. In that case, we’ll assess the outlook later after looking at the structure and depth of the pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4214; (P) 1.4256; (R1) 1.4328; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for 1.4309 resistance. Current development affirmed the case of trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4309 will target 1.4721 key resistance and firm break there will confirm our bullish view. On the downside, below 1.4183 minor support will turn bias neutral first. But we’ll stay bullish as long as 1.3980 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after testing 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5599; (P) 1.5655; (R1) 1.5687; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Further rise is still mildly in favor. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4917; (P) 1.4953; (R1) 1.4997; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation continues in range of 1.4791/5173. On the upside, break of 1.5173/5226 resistance zone will finally resume larger rise from 1.3624. On the downside, break of 1.4791 support will turn bias to the downside and extend the fall from 1.5173 to retest 1.4421 support.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3992; (P) 1.4051; (R1) 1.4087; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as the correction from 1.4183 continues. Deeper retreat could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.3874/4014 support zone and bring another rally. As noted before, we’re favoring the case of medium term trend reversal defending key support level at 1.3671, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD Above 1.4183 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.4289 resistance. Sustained break there will affirm our bullish view and target 1.4721 key resistance next. However, break of 1.3874 will dampen our view and turn bias to the downside for 1.3624 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. We’d expect strong support from 1.3671 key level to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4721 resistance will indicate completion of such correction and turn outlook bullish for retesting 1.6587 high. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn focus back to 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6032; (P) 1.6067; (R1) 1.6111; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.6128 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Still, near term outlook stays bullish as long as 1.5773 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.6128 will resume the rise from 1.5250, as a correction to fall from 1.9799, to 1.6827 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that a medium term bottom is formed at 1.5250, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Rise from 1.5250 is seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. This will remain the favored case for now, as long as 1.5614 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4714; (P) 1.4758; (R1) 1.4785; More…

EUR/AUD failed to sustain above 4 hour 55 EMA and retreated. As it’s staying above 1.4625 temporary low, intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 1.4813 will extend the rebound from 1.4625 to retest 1.5226 high next. However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5226 at 1.4614 will bring deep fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.4236 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 would extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. However, sustained break of 1.4669 support will dampen this bullish view. We’ll assess the outlook later after looking at the structure and depth of the pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4971; (P) 1.5002; (R1) 1.5053; More….

Deeper fall is expected in EUR/AUD as long as 1.5101 minor resistance holds. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 1.5226 is still unfolding with fall from 1.5241 as the third leg. Break of 1.4945 will affirm this case and send EUR/AUD through 1.4791 to 1.4421 support cluster support (50% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5226 at 1.4425). We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, though, above 1.5101 will turn focus back to 1.5241 instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. The corrective structure of the price actions from 1.5226 is affirming this view. Sustained trading above 1.5226 will target a test on 1.6587 key resistance. However, break of 1.4421 support will dampen our view and would drag EUR/AUD lower to retest key support zone around 1.3624.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5439; (P) 1.5475; (R1) 1.5529; More…

EUR/AUD dipped to 1.5418 but quickly recovered. Intraday bias remains neutral for now, and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 1.5250 could extend further. On the upside, in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. Overall, down trend from 1.9799 is expected to resume after consolidation from 1.5250 completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4822; (P) 1.4887; (R1) 1.4976; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is in favor with 1.4796 minor support intact. We’re holding on to the bullish view that pull back from 1.5226 has completed at 1.4625, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5226 at 1.4614. Above 1.4997 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.5226 first. However, firm break of 1.4796 will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.4625 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 would extend to 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.6587. However, sustained break of 1.4669 support will dampen this bullish view. We’ll assess the outlook later after looking at the structure and depth of the pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4301; (P) 1.4370; (R1) 1.4423; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside as rise from 1.3624 is in progress. Further rally would be seen to 1.4721 key resistance. As noted before, we’re holding on to the case off trend reversal after defending 1.3671 key support. Decisive break of 1.4721 should confirm. On the downside, break of 1.4166 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction could be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Break of 1.4721 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.4756) should confirm this case and target 61.8% retracement at 1.5455 and above. Overall, we’d expect the up trend from 1.1602 to resume later. However, sustained break of 1.3671 will invalidate our bullish view and would turn extend the fall from 1.6587 towards 1.1602 long term bottom.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5338; (P) 1.5381; (R1) 1.5449; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.5259/5494 and intraday bias remains neutral. Fall from 1.5770 is likely not finished yet. Below 1.5259 should send EUR/AUD through 1.5153 low to 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950). On the upside, break of 1.5494 will extend the rebound form 1.5153. But we don’t expect a break of 1.5770 in first attempt.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5737; (P) 1.5776; (R1) 1.5852; More….

The breach of 1.5816 suggests that EUR/AUD’s medium term rise is resuming. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.6587 key long term resistance. In any case, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5606 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.