Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6553; (P) 1.6621; (R1) 1.6668; More…

Focus remains on 1.6538 support in EUR/AUD. Break will resume whole decline form 1.9799. Also, sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.5962 support next. On the upside, break of 1.7194 resistance should confirm short term bottoming and turn near term outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6532). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5994; (P) 1.6095; (R1) 1.6246; More…

EUR/AUD failed to break through 1.6200 resistance and retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays stays bullish with 1.5826 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, break of 1.6200 will resume the larger rise from 1.4281 to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 next. However, firm break of 1.5826 will confirm short term topping, and bring deeper fall to 55 day EMA (now at 1.5725).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5404) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. Focus is now on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6353; (P) 1.6386; (R1) 1.6436; More…

EUR/AUD rebounds strongly today but stays below 1.6586 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, sustained break of 1.6586 will suggest that it’s at least in correction to the fall from 1.9799 to 1.6033. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.6033 at 1.7472. However, rejection by 1.6586 will maintain near term bearishness for another fall through 1.6033 later.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall might be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5816). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. However, strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6449) would neutralize the long term bearishness and argues that price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a sideway range pattern instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6175; (P) 1.6240; (R1) 1.6291; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point as consolidation from 1.6144 might extend. On the downside, break of 1.6144 will target a test on 1.6033. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.9799. However, break of 1.6374 resistance will extend the consolidation from 1.6033 with another rising leg, and turn bias to the upside for 1.6827.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions form 1.9799 might be developing into a sideway pattern only. That is, medium term outlook is just neutral, and up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) could resume at a later stage. On the downside, though, sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 1.6459) would revive medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6340; (P) 1.6423; (R1) 1.6470; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first with today’s strong recovery. On the upside, break of 1.6512 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 1.6671 has completed, and revive near term bullishness. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 1.6671 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.6348 will resume the fall to 1.6127 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6317; (P) 1.6356; (R1) 1.6391; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the downside, firm break of 1.6211 support will resume the whole decline from 1.6742, as the third leg of the correction from 1.7062. On the upside, above 1.6403 will resume the rebound from 1.6211 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5600; (P) 1.5659; (R1) 1.5700; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD Remains on the downside for retesting 1.5591 support. Firm break there will resume larger down trend and target 61.8% projection of 1.6409 to 1.5591 from 1.5945 at 1.5439. On the upside, above 1.5762 minor resistance will delay the bearish case, and extend the consolidation from 1.5591 with another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6271; (P) 1.6346; (R1) 1.6402; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current recovery. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6484 resistance holds. Below 1.6288 will resume the fall from 1.6742 to 1.6127 support, or further to 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6127 from 1.6742 at 1.5807 However, break of 1.6484 will turn bias back to the upside for further rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6839; (P) 1.6929; (R1) 1.7079; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as it’s staying in consolidation from 1.7126. Another fall cannot be ruled out. but downside should be contained above 1.6593 resistance turned support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.7126 will target 200% projection of 1.5962 to 1.6593 from 1.6085 at 1.7347 next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirm medium term bullishness. 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 is next target. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5814; (P) 1.5847; (R1) 1.5892; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is back on the upside as recent rise resumes. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852 will bring stronger rise to 1.6033 key support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 1.5699 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.5418 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn focus to 1.6827 structural resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5770; (P) 1.5884; (R1) 1.5945; More….

EUR/AUD drops further to as low as 1.5742 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.5601 support. Break there will pave the way to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, above 1.5890 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.6357 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4755; (P) 1.4816; (R1) 1.4867; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 1.4909. Some consolidations would be seen first. But downside of retreat is expected to be contained by 1.4442 support and bring another rally. Break of 1.4909 will extend whole rise from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6156; (P) 1.6242; (R1) 1.6308; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.6033 is still extending. Overall, as long as 1.6586 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 1.6033 will resume the down trend from 1.9799. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.6585 resistance should turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 1.5792). Sustained break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.6586 resistance holds.

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6765 extended last week despite diminishing downside momentum, and reached as low as 1.5774. As long as 1.6154 minor resistance holds, further decline is still expected for 1.5346 key support. However, break of 1.6154 will turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6765 instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high) argues that up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is not ready to resume yet. But still, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will remain bullish. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress. Break of 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 will pave the way to 100% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6587 from 1.3624 at 1.8069. And this will remain the favored case as long as 1.5346 remains intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6002; (P) 1.6081; (R1) 1.6130; More…

Break of 1.6063 support turns intraday bias in EUR/AUD to the downside for 1.5976 support. Break there will turn focus to 1.5894/5906 key support zone. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6323 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6081) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6156; (P) 1.6235; (R1) 1.6327; More…

Immediate focus is now on 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 . Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 1.4281 to 1.6389 fibonacci level and then 1.6434 resistance. However, firm break of 1.6053 support will indicate rejection by 1.6302 and turn bias back to the downside for 1.5848 support.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5404) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. Focus is now on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6021; (P) 1.6056; (R1) 1.6093; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6513 resistance holds. Below 1.5976 will resume the fall from 1.6785 to 100% projection of 1.6785 to 1.6134 from 1.6513 at 1.5862.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top is possibly in place at 1.6785 already, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from there is seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.6513 resistance holds, to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828. Strong support could be seen there to complete the first leg of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6589; (P) 1.6644; (R1) 1.6683; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation continues below 1.6692. Current development suggests that whole correction from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6450 support holds. Above 1.6692 will target 61.8% projection of 1.6127 to 1.6671 from 1.6450 at 1.6786 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5723; (P) 1.5800; (R1) 1.5842; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 1.5699 support will suggest rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.5418 support first. Break there should confirm completion of consolidation pattern from 1.5250. On the upside, break of 1.5877 will extend the near term rebound to 1.6033 key support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed, and turn focus to 1.6827 structural resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5958; (P) 1.6040; (R1) 1.6147; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 1.5250 is at least correcting the whole fall from 1.9799. Further rise should be seen to 1.6827 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.5976 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise is expected as long as 1.5773 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, outlook stays bearish with 1.6033 support turned resistance intact for now. Fall from 1.9799, as a correction to to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.5250 later. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed. Stronger rebound would then be seen 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988.