Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6050; (P) 1.6094; (R1) 1.6170; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the upside. Rebound from 1.5905 short term bottom is still in progress for 1.6308 support turned resistance first. Firm break there should confirm completion of whole fall from 1.6789 and target this resistance again. For now, in case of another decline, we’d continue to expect strong support from 1.5894 to contain downside to bring rebound. However, sustained break will carry larger bearish implications and target 1.5683 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6008) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5974; (P) 1.6026; (R1) 1.6111; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current up trend from 1.4281 should target 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 next. On the downside, below 1.5933 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations again first.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5396) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. On break of 1.5976, focus will be on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4809; (P) 1.4856; (R1) 1.4906; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays mildly on the downside for 1.4759 support. Corrective rise from 1.4318 should have completed at 1.5396 after rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance. Sustained break of 1.4759 will affirm this bearish case and bring retest of 1.4318 low. On the upside, above 1.5043 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.5398), maintain medium term bearishness. That is, larger down trend from 1.9799 is not completed yet. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5262; (P) 1.5377; (R1) 1.5446; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.5704 is still extending. Downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5315) to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 1.5704 resistance will resume whole rally from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper decline to 1.4965 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

EUR/AUD’s decline last week argues that corrective rebound from 1.4318 has completed with three waves up to 1.5227, ahead of 1.5354 resistance. But as a temporary low was formed at 1.4885, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 1.4885 will target 1.4597 support first. Break there will bring retest of 1.4318 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5277 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5354 support turned resistance holds, larger down trend form 1.9799 (2020 high) is still expected to continue. On resumption, next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). However, firm break of 1.5354 will indicate medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 1.6434 key resistance.

In the longer term picture, fall from 1.9799 (2020 high) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 2.1127 (2008 high). Deeper fall should be seen to 1.3624 support. Decisive break there would pave the way back to 1.1602 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4522; (P) 1.4620; (R1) 1.4683; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.5396 should target a test on 1.4318 low next. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 1.4803 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral, and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.5378), maintain medium term bearishness. That is, larger down trend from 1.9799 is not completed yet. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

EUR/AUD edged lower to 1.5962 last week but continued to lose downside momentum ahead of 1.5894/5906 key support zone. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.6071 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming. intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.6314 resistance. Nevertheless, decisive break of 1.5894/5906 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6077) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5894 remains intact. However, firm break of 1.5894 will be an early sign of major topping and turn focus to 1.5346 key support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5674; (P) 1.5739; (R1) 1.5803; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook even though upside momentum is very unconvincing. As long as 1.5606 support holds, further rally is expected. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5606 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD’s rise extend last week and reached as high as 1.6288. The break of 1.6189 confirmed resumption of the up trend from 1.3624. Initial bias remains on the upside this week. Current rally would target 161.8% projection of 1.5271 to 1.5886 from 1.5601 at 1.6596, which is close to another key resistance level at 1.6587. On the downside, below 1.6121 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) has just resumed. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5601 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3624 key support should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5770; (P) 1.5884; (R1) 1.5945; More….

EUR/AUD drops further to as low as 1.5742 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.5601 support. Break there will pave the way to 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, above 1.5890 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. On the upside, break of 1.6357 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5727; (P) 1.5759; (R1) 1.5805; More…

EUR/AUD recovered after hitting 1.5683 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Near term outlook remains bearish as long as 1.5853 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5683 will extend the fall from 1.6765 to 61.8% projection of 1.6765 to 1.5721 from 1.6122 at 1.5477. However, firm break of 1.5853 will suggests short term bottoming and bring stronger rise back to 1.6122 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Uptrend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal, with bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD, and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/AUD surged to as high as 1.9799 last week, then formed a short term top there and treated. Initial bias stays neutral this week for more consolidations. Downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.9799 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high), is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress next target would be the resistance zone between 2.1127 (2008 high) and 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5494; (P) 1.5553; (R1) 1.5614; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first. Further fall is expected as long as 1.5743 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5354 will resume whole fall from 1.6434 to retest 1.5250 low. Nevertheless, break of 1.5743 will turn near term outlook bullish for 1.5907 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is in progress. Firm break of 1.5250 low will confirm resumption and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Sustained break there could bring more downside acceleration to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623. In any case, break of 1.6434 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6112; (P) 1.6128; (R1) 1.6158; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first. Further fall is in favor as long as 1.6256 support turned resistance holds. Break of 1.6085 will extend the decline from 1.6593 to 1.5962 support. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.6256 will turn bias to the upside for 1.6448 resistance.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is still struggling in established range of 1.5905/6786. And it’s trying to draw support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.6113) again. For now, larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to continue as long as 1.5962 support holds. Break of 1.6503 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6348; (P) 1.6389; (R1) 1.6431; More…

EUR/AUD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.6267 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.6515 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.6267 will resume the whole decline from 1.7062 to 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6319 from 1.6844 at 1.6106 next. However, break of 1.6515 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correcting the whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.6844 resistance holds. Sustained break of 1.6000 would bring further fall to 61.8% retracement at 1.5343.

EUR/AUD breached 1.5094 resistance last week but failed to sustain above. Initial bias is neutral this week first. As long as 1.4934 minor support holds, further rise is still expected in the cross. Firm break of 1.5094 resistance will extend the rally from 1.3624 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.5455. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.4934 support will confirm short term topping and bring deeper pull back, possibly to 55 day EMA (now at 1.4504).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a corrective pattern. Such correction should be completed at 1.3624 after defending 1.3671 key support. Rise from 1.3642 is now expected to target 61.8% retracement of 1.6587 to 1.3624 at 1.5455 and above. In any case, outlook will now stay cautiously bullish as long as 1.4309 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should confirm trend reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5642; (P) 1.5760; (R1) 1.5831; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline extends to as low as 1.5660 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Break of channel support indicates acceleration and raises the chance of medium term reversal. Focus will be on 1.5621 key support. On the upside, break of 1.5774 support turned resistance is needed to be first sign of short term bottoming. Otherwise, deeper will still be in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6038; (P) 1.6067; (R1) 1.6088; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5996 is still extending. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6211 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5996 will target 100% projection of 1.6679 to 1.6211 from 1.6418 at 1.5950. Firm break there will target 1.5846 key support next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6148 resistance will argue that the correction has completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6039; (P) 1.6076; (R1) 1.6111; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the for moment. Current rise from 1.5250 is at least correcting the whole fall from 1.9799. Further rise should be seen to 1.6827 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.6039 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rise is expected as long as 1.5773 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, outlook stays bearish with 1.6033 support turned resistance intact for now. Fall from 1.9799, as a correction to to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.5250 later. However, firm break of 1.6033 will argue that such decline has completed. Stronger rebound would then be seen 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6107; (P) 1.6161; (R1) 1.6202; More…

EUR/AUD’s break of 1.6301/8 suggests resumption of rebound from 1.5905. Also, corrective fall from 1.6786 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5905. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.6680/6786 resistance zone next. On the downside, break of 1.6074 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6024) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.