Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5468; (P) 1.5498; (R1) 1.5514; More….

EUR/AUD lost upside momentum after hitting 1.5556 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Corrective rise from 1.5271 could still extend. But upside should be limited below 1.5773 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 1.5271 will extend the fall from 1.6189 to 1.5153 next.

In the bigger picture, rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) should have completed at 1.6189 already, ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). 1.6189 is seen as a medium term top. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4604. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming again below 1.4604. On the upside, firm break of 1.5773 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.6189. Otherwise, further decline is expected in medium term, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5500; (P) 1.5547; (R1) 1.5606; More….

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5271 resumed by breaking 1.5556 and reaches as high as 1.5648 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for further rally. At this point, we’re still viewing the rebound as a correction and expected upside to be limited below 1.5773 support turned resistance. On the downside, below 1.5487 will indicate completion of the rebound and bring retest of 1.5271 low. However, decisive break of 1.5773 will invalidate our view and bring retest of 1.6189 high instead.

In the bigger picture, rally from 1.3624 (2017 low) should have completed at 1.6189 already, ahead of 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). 1.6189 is seen as a medium term top. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6189 at 1.5209 first. Decisive break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.4604. In that case, we’ll look for bottoming again below 1.4604. On the upside, firm break of 1.5773 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.6189. Otherwise, further decline is expected in medium term, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6427; (P) 1.6547; (R1) 1.6625; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with today’s strong recovery. A temporary low is formed at 1.6453 as it fails to sustain below 1.6597 key support zone so far. On the upside, firm break of 1.6763 resistance will suggests short term bottoming, and more importantly, successful defending of 1.6597. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.7194 resistance first. On the downside, sustained trading below 1.6597 key support will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.6085 support next.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6597 key cluster support, (2015 high and 38.2% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.6668, 55 week EMA (now at 1.6548). Strong rebound from current level will retain medium term bullishness. Larger up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) would extend through 1.9799 high. However, sustained break of 1.6597 will suggest bearish reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.4733.

EUR/AUD’s rebound from 1.5905 extended higher last week. Initial bias remains on the upside for further rise. Firm break of 1.6308 support turned resistance should confirm completion of whole fall from 1.6789 and target this resistance again. On the downside, break of 1.6128 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5894 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5894 support holds, outlook remains bullish. Firm break of 1.6786 will resume up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Next upside target is 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488. However, sustained break of 1.5894 will have 55 week EMA (now at 1.6008) firmly taken out too. That should indicate medium term topping and target 1.5346 key support next.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) is still in progress for 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5894 remains intact. However, firm break of 1.5894 will be an early sign of major topping and turn focus to 1.5346 key support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5254; (P) 1.5291; (R1) 1.5325; More…

EUR/AUD recovered after drawing support from 1.5271 support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.5425 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5513) and above. On the downside, decisive break of 1.5271 will carry larger bearish implication and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.5976 at 1.4928.

In the bigger picture, it’s still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6830; (P) 1.6967; (R1) 1.7102; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.7126 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.6593 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.7126 will target 200% projection of 1.5962 to 1.6593 from 1.6085 at 1.7347 next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) has just resumed and persistent strong support from 55 week EMA affirm medium term bullishness. 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 is next target. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5906 support holds, in case of retreat.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6575; (P) 1.6615; (R1) 1.6650; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point as consolidation from 1.6692 is extending. Overall, further rally is expected as long as 1.6450 support holds. Current development suggests that whole correction from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127. Break of 1.6692 will resume the rise from 1.6127 to 61.8% projection of 1.6127 to 1.6671 from 1.6450 at 1.6786 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6357; (P) 1.6397; (R1) 1.6463; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral with focus on 1.5434 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. Nevertheless, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 1.6216 should confirm short term topping, after rejection by 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance zone. Intraday bias will be back on the downside in this case, to 1.6033 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6400; (P) 1.6460; (R1) 1.6525; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected with 1.6650 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.6319 will resume the fall from 1.7062, as a larger scale correction, to 1.6000 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 1.6650 will argue that the pull back has completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.6650 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5489; (P) 1.5538; (R1) 1.5618; More…

Focus is back on 1.5704 in EUR/AUD with current strong rebound. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.4281. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.4716 to 1.5704 from 1.5267 at 1.5878, and then 100% projection at 1.6255. In case of another fall as correction from 1.5704 extends, downside should contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5245) to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

EUR/AUD’s decline and break of 1.5559 support last week suggests that rebound from 1.5354 has completed with three waves up to 1.6223. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 1.5250/5354 support zone. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.5837 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5250 low are seen as a corrective pattern. Further extension could be seen and another rise cannot be ruled out. But strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

In the longer term picture, fall from 1.9799 (2020 high) is seen as a long term down trend. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 holds. Break of 1.5250 will target 61.8 retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6266; (P) 1.6311; (R1) 1.6341; More….

With 1.6223 minor support intact, intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the upside for further rally. Current rise should target 161.8% projection of 1.5271 to 1.5886 from 1.5601 at 1.6596, which is close to another key resistance level at 1.6587. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.6223 will indicate short term topping. And lengthier consolidation would be seen before another rally.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) has just resumed. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5601 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6093; (P) 1.6140; (R1) 1.6179; More….

EUR/AUD’s fall from 1.6357 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.5984 support. For now, we’re still viewing price actions from 1.6353 as a consolidation pattern. Thus, downside should be continued by 1.5984 to bring up trend resumption eventually. On the upside, above 1.6159 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6357 first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). Decisive break there will resume the long term rally and target 1.7488 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.5984 support is need to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deep pull back. However, sustained break of 1.5984 will be an early sign of trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6112; (P) 1.6160; (R1) 1.6185; More…

EUR/AUD’s pull back from 1.6448 is in progress and could extend lower. We’d still expect downside to be contained above 1.6052 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.6259 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6448 first. Break of 1.6448 will resume the rally from 1.5683 and target 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6052 support will near term outlook bearish for 1.5683 support again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5998; (P) 1.6029; (R1) 1.6083; More….

Break of 1.6059 resistance suggests that pull back from 1.6189 has completed at 1.5773 already. More importantly, larger rise from 1.3624 is likely still in progress. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.6189 first. Firm break there will target 1.6587 key resistance. On the downside, below 1.5963 minor support will turn focus back to 1.5773 instead.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. EUR/AUD also drew strong support from 55 day EMA and rebounded. Current rally from 1.3624 could still extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6633; (P) 1.6697; (R1) 1.6753; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6550 support holds. Above 1.6843 will target a test on 1.7062 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 1.6550 support will bring deeper fall back to 1.6319 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from medium term rising trend line indicates that rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.7062 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement of 1.9799 (2020 high) to 1.4281 at 1.7691. In any case, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.6319 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6317; (P) 1.6352; (R1) 1.6388; More…

EUR/AUD dips slightly lower today but stays well above 1.6216 minor support. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 1.6216 should confirm short term topping, after rejection by 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance zone. Intraday bias will be back on the downside in this case, to 1.6033 support and possibly below. However, on the upside, decisive break of 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance zone will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.6389/6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6988; (P) 1.7135; (R1) 1.7234; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside as decline from 1.9799 is extending. With 61.8% retracement of 1.6085 to 1.9799 at 1.7504 firmly taken out, deeper decline would be seen to 1.6085/6593 support zone. On the upside, break of 1.8124 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the decline. Otherwise, further fall will remain mildly in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high) is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5731; (P) 1.5779; (R1) 1.5825; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays mildly on the downside at this point. Rise from 1.5559 could have completed at 1.6223 already. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.5559 support first. Break there will also indicate that corrective rise from 1.5354 has completed in form of a three wave pattern. Further decline would then be seen back to 1.5250/5354 support zone. On the upside, above 1.6002 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.6223 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5618; (P) 1.5650; (R1) 1.5669; More….

EUR/AUD drops notably today but stays above 1.5578 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 1.5578 will resume the fall from 1.5888 to 61.8% retracement of 1.5271 to 1.5888 at 1.5507. Firm break there will pave the way to retest 1.5271 low. On the upside, above 1.5725 will extend the rebound form 1.5578 to retest 1.5888 high.

In the bigger picture, the rebound from 1.5271 was somewhat weaker than expected. EUR/AUD also failed to sustain above 55 day EMA and hints on some underlying bearishness. Though, for now, as long as 1.5271 support holds, medium term rise from 1.3624 (2017 low) is still mildly in favor to extend through 1.6189 high, to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 1.5271 will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.5770, h: 1.6189, rs: 1.5888). That would indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.