EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD edged higher last week but failed to sustained gain and retreated quickly. Nonetheless, with 1.5606 support intact, near term outlook stays bullish. Sustained trading above 1.5770 key resistance Sustained trading above 1.5770 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5606 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.5463).

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Sustained break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5674; (P) 1.5739; (R1) 1.5803; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook even though upside momentum is very unconvincing. As long as 1.5606 support holds, further rally is expected. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5606 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5660; (P) 1.5738; (R1) 1.5785; More….

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.5816 but quickly retreated. But after all, as long as 1.5606 support holds, further rally is expected. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5606 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5599; (P) 1.5655; (R1) 1.5687; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Further rise is still mildly in favor. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5599; (P) 1.5655; (R1) 1.5687; More….

Despite breaching 1.5633 minor support, EUR/AUD quickly recovered, as supported by 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias stays neutral and another rise is still in favor. Sustained break of 1.5770 resistance will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5619; (P) 1.5701; (R1) 1.5756; More….

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. Further rise is expected as long as 1.5633 minor support holds. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD breached 1.5770 resistance last week but there was no follow through buying yet. Nonetheless, further rise is expected this week as long as 1.5633 minor support holds. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.3264. In that case, EUR/AUD should target 1.6587 key long term resistance. However, below 1.5633 minor support minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5675; (P) 1.5709; (R1) 1.5771; More….

As long as 1.5633 minor support holds, further rise is expected in EUR/AUD. The breach of 1.5770 resistance suggests that medium term rise from 1.3264 is resuming. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will pave the way to 1.6587 key long term support. Nonetheless, below 1.5633 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5629; (P) 1.5688; (R1) 1.5737; More….

As long as 1.5633 minor support holds, further rise is expected in EUR/AUD. The breach of 1.5770 resistance suggests that medium term rise from 1.3264 is resuming. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will pave the way to 1.6587 key long term support. Nonetheless, below 1.5633 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5600; (P) 1.5697; (R1) 1.5749; More….

As long as 1.5633 minor support holds, further rise is expected in EUR/AUD. The breach of 1.5770 resistance suggests that medium term rise from 1.3264 is resuming. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will pave the way to 1.6587 key long term support. Nonetheless, below 1.5633 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5635; (P) 1.5695; (R1) 1.5757; More….

EUR/AUD’s rally continues today and breach of 1.5770 resistance suggests that medium term rise from 1.3264 is resuming. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Sustained trading above 1.5770 will pave the way to 1.6587 key long term support. Nonetheless, below 1.5633 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5600; (P) 1.5665; (R1) 1.5778; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the upside for 1.5770 resistance. Based on current strong upside momentum, the cross might be resuming medium term rise from 1.3264. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.6587 key long term resistance. On the downside, below 1.5622 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD surged to as high as 1.5703 last week as rebound from 1.5153 extended. Based on strong upside momentum, the cross might be resuming medium term rise from 1.3264. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 1.5770 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.6587 key long term resistance. On the downside, below 1.5622 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5440; (P) 1.5507; (R1) 1.5623; More….

EUR/AUD surges to as high as 1.5622 as rebound from 1.5153 resumed. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.5770 resistance. At this point, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside and bring another decline. Below 1.5494 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias back to the upside. Nonetheless, sustained break of 1.5770 will confirm resumption of larger up trend from 136.24.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5338; (P) 1.5381; (R1) 1.5449; More….

EUR/AUD is staying in range of 1.5259/5494 and intraday bias remains neutral. Fall from 1.5770 is likely not finished yet. Below 1.5259 should send EUR/AUD through 1.5153 low to 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950). On the upside, break of 1.5494 will extend the rebound form 1.5153. But we don’t expect a break of 1.5770 in first attempt.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5284; (P) 1.5331; (R1) 1.5385; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Current development argues that correction from 1.5770 is not completed yet. On the downside, below 1.5259 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.5153. Break will target 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950). Above 1.5494 will bring stronger rebound. but for the moment, we do not expect a break of 1.5770 at first attempt.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5249; (P) 1.5303; (R1) 1.5348; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Current development argues that fall from 1.5770 is not completed yet. On the downside, below 1.5259 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.5153. Break will target 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5254; (P) 1.5358; (R1) 1.5422; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Current development argues that fall from 1.5770 is not completed yet. On the downside, below 1.5259 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.5153. Break will target 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

EUR/AUD Weekly Outlook

EUR/AUD edged higher to 1.5494 last week but reversed from there and dropped sharply. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Current development suggests that price actions from 1.5153 is corrective in nature. That is decline from 1.5770 is not completed yet. Below 1.5259 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 1.5153. Break will target 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.

In the longer term picture, the rise from 1.1602 long term bottom (2012 low) isn’t over yet. We’ll keep monitoring the development but there is prospect of extending the rise to 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 to 1.1602 at 1.7488 and above. However, sustained trading below 1.3671 should indicate long term reversal and target 1.1602 long term bottom again.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5356; (P) 1.5425; (R1) 1.5516; More….

Break of 1.5446 resistance revives that case that pull back from 1.5770 is already completed at 1.5153. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retesting 1.5770. Break will resume whole medium term rise from 1.3624. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5259 minor support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.5770 so far suggests that it’s corrective in nature. That is, medium term rise from 1.3624 is not completed yet. Break of 1.5770 will extend the rise to retest 1.6587 (2015 high). However, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, sustained break of 1.4949 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.5770 at 1.4950) will indicate medium term reversal. And there is prospect of retesting 1.3624 low in that bearish case.