Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5688; (P) 1.5747; (R1) 1.5834; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5591 is still extending. As long as 1.5830 resistance holds, outlook stays bearish and further fall is expected. Break of 1.5591 will resume larger down trend for 161.8% projection of 1.6827 to 1.6144 from 1.6420 at 1.5315 next. However, break of 1.5830 will bring stronger rebound to falling channel resistance (now at 1.5965).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.9799 is developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6827 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5422; (P) 1.5473; (R1) 1.5525; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation from 1.5704 and intraday bias stays neutral. While another fall cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 55 day EMA (now at 1.5280) to bring rebound. On the upside, decisive break of 1.5704 will resume larger rise from 1.4281. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA will bring deeper correction towards 1.4965 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6542; (P) 1.6573; (R1) 1.6607; More…

EUR/AUD’s rally from 1.6368 resumed after brief consolidations. Breach of 1.6677 resistance argues that fall from 1.6742 has completed as a three-wave corrective move to 1.6368. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.6742. On the downside, below 1.6534 support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, Strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6304; (P) 1.6353; (R1) 1.6389; More…

EUR/AUD is still bounded in established range of 1.6033/6772 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6722 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 1.6033 will resume the decline from 1.9799 for next support level at 1.5346. On the upside, however, break of 1.6772 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, whole up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) might have completed at 1.9799. Deeper fall could be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. This will remain the preferred case now as long as 1.7194 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4149; (P) 1.4179; (R1) 1.4203; More…

No change in EUR/AUD’s outlook. At this point, there is no clear indication of resumption of larger decline yet. Above 1.4332 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside to extend recent sideway trading. Nonetheless, decisive break of 1.4072 low will extend the correction from 1.6587 towards next key support level 1.3671.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.6587 medium term top are viewed as a consolidative pattern. 50% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.6587 at 1.4095 was already met. While further fall cannot be ruled out, we’d expect strong support above 1.3671 to contain downside and bring rebound. Up trend from 1.1602 should not be finished and will resume later. Break of 1.4880 resistance will be the first sign of resumption of up trend from 1.1602 and target retesting of 1.6587 resistance first.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5617; (P) 1.5650; (R1) 1.5699; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.5770 short term top. Deeper decline could be seen and break of 1.5458 support cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 1.5226 key support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.5770 will resume the medium term rise and target 61.8% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4949 at 1.5939 first.

In the bigger picture, we’re holding on to the view that corrective decline from 1.6587 medium term top (2015 high) has completed at 1.3624. Rise from 1.3624 is expected to extend to retest 1.6587. We’ll hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.5226 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 1.6587 will resume long term rise from 1.1602 (2012 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5416; (P) 1.5522; (R1) 1.5579; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for 1.5354 support. Break will resume the fall from 1.6434 to retest 1.5250 low. Also, for now, near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.5743 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) is in progress. Firm break of 1.5250 low will confirm resumption and target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Sustained break there could bring more downside acceleration to 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623. In any case, break of 1.6434 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

EUR/AUD recovered after drawing support from 1.6450, but upside is still capped by 1.6606 minor resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 1.6606 will retain near term bullishness and bring retest of 1.6742. Break there will resume larger rise from 1.6127. On the downside, however, decisive break of 1.6450 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.6127 has completed with three waves up to 1.6742 already. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.6127 again.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.9799 (2020 high) are seen as a long term decline at the same scale as the rise from 1.1602 (2012 low). Rebound from 1.4281 is seen as the second leg. As long as 55 M EMA (now at 1.5932) holds, this second leg could still extend higher. However, sustained trading below 55 M EMA will open up the bearish case for extending the decline through 1.4281 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5692; (P) 1.5728; (R1) 1.5783; More….

EUR/AUD’s consolidation from 1.5887 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.5596 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.5887 will resume the rise from 1.5346 to 1.5984 resistance first. Decisive break there will pave the way to retest 1.6357 high. Nevertheless, break of 1.5596 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.5346 low.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don’t expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6368; (P) 1.6433; (R1) 1.6544; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Further decline is expected as long as 1.6484 resistance holds. Below 1.6288 will resume the fall from 1.6742 to 1.6127 support, or further to 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6127 from 1.6742 at 1.5807. However, break of 1.6484 will turn bias back to the upside for further rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6454; (P) 1.6484; (R1) 1.6536; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. Further rally is expected as long as 1.6398 support holds. Corrective fall from 1.7062 should have completed with three waves down to 1.6127 already. Above 1.6671 will target 1.6844 resistance to confirm this bullish case. However, break of 1.6398 will dampen this view and bring retest of 1.6127 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Break of 1.6844 resistance will argue that this up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062 high. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5537; (P) 1.5629; (R1) 1.5680; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral for the moment and some more consolidations could be seen. But further fall is expected as long as 1.5898 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5559 will resume the fall from 1.6168 to retest 1.5354 low. However, break of 1.5898 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.6168 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral for the moment. Rise from 1.5354 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.5250 low. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but even in that case, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988. Larger down trend from 1.9799 is in favor to extend through 1.5250 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5854; (P) 1.5908; (R1) 1.5940; More….

EUR/AUD dips notably after failing to break through 1.5966 minor resistance. But it’s staying above 1.5837 support and intraday bias remains neutral. Price actions from 1.6189 are forming a corrective pattern. Below 1.5837 will extend the leg from 1.6139 and target 1.5773 support and below. But we’d expect strong support above 1.5621 to complete the pattern and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.5966 support turned resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.6139 resistance.

In the bigger picture, while there is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, there is no clear sign of reversal yet. Current rally from 1.3624 could extend to 1.6587 key resistance (2015 high). Nonetheless, we’d expect further loss of upside momentum, and strong resistance from 1.6587 to limit upside and bring reversal. On the downside, sustained break of 1.5621 support should confirm reversal and turn outlook bearish for 1.5153 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6164; (P) 1.6209; (R1) 1.6235; More…

EUR/AUD’s correction from 1.6448 is still in progress and outlook remains unchanged. While deeper decline cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained above 1.6052 support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 1.6448 will resume the rally from 1.5683 and target 1.6765 high. However, firm break of 1.6052 support will near term outlook bearish for 1.5683 support again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5346 support holds, outlook will still remain bullish. Up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 1.6765 will target 61.8% retracement of 2.1127 (2008 high) to 1.1602 at 1.7488 next. However, firm break of 1.5346 key support will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bearish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5929; (P) 1.5954; (R1) 1.5985; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.6166 minor resistance will argue that pull back from 1.6434 has completed. That would also revive near term bullishness after defending 1.5898 structural support. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.6434 high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 1.5898 will indicate that corrective rise from 1.5250 has already completed. Near term outlook will be turned bearish for 1.5614 support first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 first. Stronger rise could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 next. We’d tentatively expect strong resistance from there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Meanwhile, break of 1.5898 support will indicate that the rebound has completed. Larger down trend from 1.9799 might be ready to resume through 1.5250 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5838; (P) 1.5914; (R1) 1.5980; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. Strong support is still expected from around 100% projection of 1.6785 to 1.6134 from 1.6513 at 1.5862 to complete the fall from 1.6785. On the upside, break of 1.6101 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, a medium term is possibly in place at 1.6785 already, on bearish divergence condition in D MACD. Fall from there is seen as corrective whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.6513 resistance holds, to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828. Strong support could be seen there to complete the first leg of the corrective pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5430; (P) 1.5507; (R1) 1.5551; More….

EUR/AUD’s decline accelerates to as low as 1.5397 so far and intraday bias stays on the downside. Current fall from 1.6357 should target 1.5271/5313 cluster support zone next. On the upside, above 1.5505 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But recovery should be limited below 1.5781 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) is possibly completed at 1.6357, ahead of 1.6587 (2015 high). This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper decline is now in favor to 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313). Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.4668. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.5781 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5556; (P) 1.5591; (R1) 1.5644; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5250 is still extending. On the upside, break of 1.5672 will bring stronger rebound. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.6827 to 1.5250 at 1.5852. On the downside, below 1.5423 should bring retest of 1.5250 low. Overall, down trend from 1.9799 is expected to resume after consolidation from 1.5250 completes.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.9799 are developing into a deep correction, to long term up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low). Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 to 1.9799 at 1.4733. Medium term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.6033 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD dropped to as low as 1.5778 last week and the break of 1.5898 structural support argues that larger rise from 1.5250 has completed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Next target is 100% projection of 1.6434 to 1.5907 from 1.6232 at 1.5705 first. Break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.5379. On the upside, above 1.5886 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But near term outlook will now remain mildly bearish as long as 1.6232 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.5250 medium term bottom is seen as a correction to the down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) only. With 38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.5250 at 1.6988 intact, such down trend is expected to resume at a later stage. Firm break of 1.5250 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.1602 (2012 low) to 1.9799 at 1.4733. In any case, sustained break of 1.6988 fibonacci level is needed to indicate long term reversal.

In the longer term picture, rise from 1.1602 (2012 low) should have already completed with three waves up to 1.9799 (2020 high). Fall from there is seen as a medium term to long term down leg as a long term down trend, or a sideway pattern. We’ll assess the odds again at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.7083; (P) 1.7217; (R1) 1.7285; More…

EUR/AUD is staying in consolidation above 1.7003 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.8124 resistance holds, further decline could still be seen. Break of 1.7003 will extend the fall from 1.9799 to 1.6085/6593 support zone. On the upside, though, break of 1.8124 resistance will argue that such decline has completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.1602 (2012 low) is in progress and further rally would be seen to 2.1127 (2008 high) and possibly to 161.8% projection of 1.1602 to 1.6597 from 1.3524 at 2.1706. On the downside, for now, touching of 1.6597 resistance turned support (2015 high) is needed to indicate medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.