AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7374; (P) 0.7398; (R1) 0.7417; More…

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.7345 stalled at 0.7443 and was rejected below 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias is turned neutral with focus back on 0.7345 and 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Decisive break of this support zone will extend the larger fall from 0.8315 to 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next. On the upside, above 0.7443 will bring another recovery. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 (2016 low) is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. Firm break there will resume the long term down trend from 1.1079 and take 0.6008 support next (2008 low). This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7391; (P) 0.7418; (R1) 0.7439; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays mildly on the upside at this point. Recovery from 0.7345 could extend higher. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside break of 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7393; (P) 0.7419; (R1) 0.7466; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is mildly on the upside as recovery from 0.7345 might extend higher. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside break of 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dropped further to 0.7345 last week but formed a temporary low ahead of 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Intraday bias is mildly on the upside this week for rebound. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption. ON the downside break of 0.7328 cluster support will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7351; (P) 0.7372; (R1) 0.7400; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral again s with the current recovery. On the upside, break of 0.7408 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming. In this case, stronger recovery could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.7456) and above. But upside should be limited well below 0.7676 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7346 will extend recent fall from 0.8135 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Firm break of 0.7382 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7354; (P) 0.7381; (R1) 0.7397; More…

Breach of 1.7346 temporary low suggests fall resumption after brief consolidation. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Firm break of 0.7382 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next. Nonetheless, above 0.7408 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again to bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7344; (P) 0.7386; (R1) 0.7424; More…

A temporary low is in place at 1.7346 with the current recovery, ahead of 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.7676 resistance to bring another fall. Firm break of 0.7382 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7404; (P) 0.7431; (R1) 0.7449; More…

AUD/USD drops to as low as 0.7379 so far today. Solid break of 0.7411 support confirms resumption of larger decline from 0.8135. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) next. Break there will target 61.8% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7411 from 0.7676 at 0.7229 next. On the upside, above 0.7453 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7426; (P) 0.7456; (R1) 0.7474; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for 0.7411 support. Break will resume larger fall from 0.8135 for 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). On the upside, break of 0.7528 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 0.7676. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s decline last week confirmed that corrective rise from 0.7411 has completed at 0.7676 already. And, larger fall from 0.8135 is resuming. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.7411 low first. Break will confirm this bearish case and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). On the upside, break of 0.7528 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 0.7676. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7440; (P) 0.7512; (R1) 0.7549; More…

AUD/USD drops sharply to as low as 0.7452 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Corrective rise from 0.7411 should have completed at 0.7676 and larger decline from 0.8135 is resuming. Break of 0.7411 will confirm and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). On the upside, above 0.7528 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and bring more consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7537; (P) 0.7573; (R1) 0.7616; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.7411 should have completed just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.7475 support first. Break there should resume larger fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Though, above 0.7623 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 0.7411 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7551; (P) 0.7588; (R1) 0.7611; More…

Despite some jittery, AUD/USD’s fall from 0.7676 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. As noted before, corrective rise from 0.7411 should have completed just ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.7475 support first. Break there should resume larger fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). Though, above 0.7623 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and extend the correction from 0.7411 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7594; (P) 0.7608; (R1) 0.7625; More…

AUD/USD’s corrective rise from 0.7411 should have completed at 0.7676 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.7475 support first. Break there should resume larger fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326).

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7563; (P) 0.7595; (R1) 0.7631; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook. Corrective rise from 0.7411 should have completed at 0.7676 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.7475 support first. Break there should resume larger fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326).

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD edged higher to 0.7676 last week but failed to take out mentioned 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688 as expected. subsequent fall suggests that corrective rise from 0.7411 has completed already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.7475 support first. Break there should resume larger fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326).

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage. But strong support should be seen between 0.4773 (2001 low) and 0.6008 (2008 low).

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7600; (P) 0.7637; (R1) 0.7661; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral at this point and outlook is unchanged. Rebound from 0.7411 is seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. On the downside, below 0.7593 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7475 first. Break there will likely resume larger fall through 0.7411 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). However, sustained break of 0.7688 will dampen our bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.7585 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7627; (P) 0.7652; (R1) 0.7691; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Outlook is unchanged that rebound from 0.7411 is seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. On the downside, below 0.7593 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7475 first. Break there will likely resume larger fall through 0.7411 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). However, sustained break of 0.7688 will dampen our bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.7585 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7588; (P) 0.7622; (R1) 0.7650; More…

Despite today’s rebound in AUD/USD, 4 hours MACD is staying below sign line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. As noted before, rebound from 0.7411 is seen as a correction. Hence, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688. On the downside, below 0.7592 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7475 first. Break there will likely resume larger fall through 0.7411 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). However, sustained break of 0.7688 will dampen our bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.7585 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7584; (P) 0.7625; (R1) 0.7690; More…

For now, intraday bias in AUD/USD stays mildly on the upside. Corrective rebound from 0.9411 could extend higher. But we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7144 at 0.7688 to limit upside. On the downside, below 0.7592 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.7475 first. Break there will likely resume larger fall through 0.7411 to 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326). However, sustained break of 0.7688 will dampen our bearish view and target 61.8% retracement at 0.7585 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. Prior break of 0.7500 key support suggests that such correction is completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. In case of another rise, we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption eventually.