AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6995; (P) 0.7028; (R1) 0.7049; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.6988 is in progress. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration. However, sustained break of 0.7081 will dampen this bearish case and turn focus back to 0.7205 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7031; (P) 0.7050; (R1) 0.7069; More…

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation above 0.6988 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. More consolidation would be seen. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. Prior break of 0.7003 suggests resumption of whole fall from 0.7295. On the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration. However, sustained break of 0.7081 will dampen this bearish case and turn focus back to 0.7205 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7042; (P) 0.7052; (R1) 0.7066; More…

AUD/USD dips mildly after recovery from 0.6988 lost momentum. But it’s staying well above 0.6988 temporary low. Intraday bias remains neutral first. More consolidation would be seen. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring fall resumption. Prior break of 0.7003 suggests resumption of whole fall from 0.7295. On the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7010; (P) 0.7036; (R1) 0.7064; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.6988 temporary low might extend. But upside should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring another decline. prior break of 0.7003 suggests resumption of whole fall from 0.7295. On the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD dropped sharply to as low as 0.6988 last week but formed a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring another decline. prior break of 0.7003 suggests resumption of whole fall from 0.7295. On the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 low and then 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6995; (P) 0.7009; (R1) 0.7031; More…

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, a temporary top is in place at 0.6988 in AUD/USD. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.7081 minor resistance to bring another decline. on the downside, break of 0.6988 will extend the fall from 0.7295 to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6977; (P) 0.7041; (R1) 0.7077; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Decisive break of 0.7003 support will confirm resumption of whole fall from 0.7295. Further decline should then be seen to 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration. On the upside, above 0.7050 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7075; (P) 0.7107; (R1) 0.7135; More…

AUD/USD’s decline accelerates to as low as 0.7027 so far. The strong break of 0.7052 support affirms the case of resumption of fall from 0.7295. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 0.7003 support first. Break will confirm and target 100% projection of 0.7295 to 0.7003 from 0.7205 at 0.6913. Decisive break there will indicate further downside acceleration. On the upside, above 0.7081 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7124; (P) 0.7140; (R1) 0.7153; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.7139 minor support suggests that corrective rise from 0.7003 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7205 already. Intraday bas is turned back to the downside for 0.7052 support first. Break there will likely resume whole fall from 0.7295 through 0.7003 support. On the upside, break of 0.7205 is needed to confirm resumption of the rebound from 0.7003. Otherwise, risk will stay mildly on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7153; (P) 0.7179; (R1) 0.7206; More…

While upside momentum in AUD/USD is unconvincing as seen in 4 hour MACD, with 0.7139 minor support intact, further rise is in favor for 0.7295 resistance. Since the structure of the recovery is corrective looking, upside could be limited by 0.7295 to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7139 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7149; (P) 0.7165; (R1) 0.7190; More…

AUD/USD’s choppy rise from 0.7003 resumed by taking out 0.7192 and reaches as high as 0.7205 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.7295 resistance. Upside momentum is relatively weak and structure of the recovery is corrective looking. Thus, upside could be limited by 0.7295 to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7139 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7163; (P) 0.7173; (R1) 0.7183; More…

Today’s sharp retreat suggests temporary topping at 0.7192 in AUD/USD. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise remains in favor with 0.7115 minor support intact. On the upside, above 0.7192 will target 0.7206 resistance first. Break will likely resume larger rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.7115 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7127; (P) 0.7160; (R1) 0.7204; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 0.7003 is in progress for 0.7206 resistance first. Break will likely resume larger rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.7115 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.7003 resumed last week by breaking 0.7168 resistance to 0.7192. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.7206 resistance first. Break will likely resume larger rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295 resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.7115 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, break of medium term channel resistance is the first sign of bullish reversal. But there is no confirmation yet. As long as 0.7393 resistance holds, larger fall from 0.8135 is still expected to resume later. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 low and then 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7128; (P) 0.7152; (R1) 0.7194; More…

Despite breaching 0.7168 resistance, AUD/USD quickly retreated and intraday bias is turned neutral again first. On the downside, break of 0.7109 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone. On the upside, above 0.7174 will target 0.7206 resistance. Break will likely resume rise from 0.6722 through 0.7295 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7128; (P) 0.7152; (R1) 0.7194; More…

AUD/USD’s breach of 0.7168 resistance argues that the pull back from 0.7295 has completed at 0.7003 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 0.7206 resistance first. Break will resume rise from 0.6722 through 0.7295 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.7109 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.7003/7052 support zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7112; (P) 0.7132; (R1) 0.7147; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as it’s bounded in range of 0.7052/7168. On the upside, decisive break of 0.7168 will suggest that the corrective decline from 0.7295 has completed at 0.7003 already. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside to resume the rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295. On the downside, though, sustained break of 0.7052 will target 0.7004 first. Break will resume the fall from 0.7295 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7099; (P) 0.7115; (R1) 0.7144; More…

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.7052 extends higher today and focus is back on 0.7168 resistance. Decisive break there will suggest that the corrective decline from 0.7295 has completed at 0.7003 already. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside to resume the rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295. On the downside, though, sustained break of 0.7052 will target 0.7004 first. Break will resume the fall from 0.7295 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7088; (P) 0.7109; (R1) 0.7127; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.7168 resistance will suggest that the corrective decline from 0.7295 has completed at 0.7003 already. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside to resume the rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295. On the downside, though, sustained break of 0.7052 will target 0.7004 first. Break will resume the fall from 0.7295 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

Despite some volatility, AUD/USD was bounded in range below 0.7168 last week and near term outlook remains unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.7168 resistance will suggest that the corrective decline from 0.7295 has completed at 0.7003 already. Intraday bias will be turned to the upside to resume the rebound from 0.6722 through 0.7295. On the downside, though, sustained break of 0.7052 will target 0.7004 first. Break will resume the fall from 0.7295 instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.7393 resistance holds, fall from 0.8135 is still expected to extend. Such decline is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 low and then 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.