AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6884; (P) 0.6925; (R1) 0.6946; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, firm break of 0.6828 support will resume larger fall from 0.8006. Next target is 0.6756/60 cluster support. On the upside, above 0.7068 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound to 0.7282 resistance first. Firm break there will be a sign of bullish reversal and bring stronger rebound to 0.7666 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Deeper fall could still be seen to 50% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6756. This coincides with 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7105 from 0.7660 at 0.6760. Strong support is expected from 0.6756/60 cluster to contain downside to complete the correction. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.7660 resistance will confirm that such corrective pattern has completed, and larger up trend is ready to resume.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6527; (P) 0.6637; (R1) 0.6694; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.7159 should target 161.8% projection of of 0.6854 to 0.7028 from 0.6854 at 0.6539. Some support could be seen there to bring recovery. Above 0.6694 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery. However, sustained break of 0.6539 will pave the way back towards 0.6169 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6169 (2022 low) has completed at 0.7156, after rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 0.7164). Deeper decline would then be see back to 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546, even as a corrective fall. Sustained break there will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6817; (P) 0.6840; (R1) 0.6872; More…

A temporary top is in place at 0.6876 with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. With 0.6807 minor support intact, further rise is still in favor. On the upside, above 0.6876 will target 0.6910 support turned resistance, and possibly above. At this point, such rebound is seen as a corrective move, thus, upside should be limited below 0.7082 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.6807 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.6677 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Next target is 0.6008 (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7598; (P) 0.7631; (R1) 0.7655; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook. Correction from 0.7819 is still in progress. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.6991 to 0.7819 at 0.7503. Strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.7762 minor resistance will argue that the correction has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.7819 high.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6409; (P) 0.6427; (R1) 0.6446; More…

Range trading continues in AUD/USD and intraday bias remains neutral. While stronger recovery might be seen, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6520 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.6356 will resume larger fall to 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6824; (P) 0.6841; (R1) 0.6857; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point. Further rise remains mildly in favor as long as 0.6813 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.6862 will target 0.6929 resistance first. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.6670 and target 100% projection of 0.6670 to 0.6929 from 0.6754 at 0.7013. On the downside, however, break of 0.6813 will dampen this bullish case and turn focus back to 0.6754 support instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7525).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7322; (P) 0.7353; (R1) 0.7398; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside as rise form 0.7105 short term bottom is in progress for 0.7425 resistance. Sustained break there will argue that whole correction from 0.8006 has completed at 0.7105 already, just above 0.6991/7051 support zone. Stronger rise would be seen to 0.7530 support turned resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.7283 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5506 medium term bottom could have completed at 0.8006, after failing 0.8135 key resistance. Correction from there could target 0.6991 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.7051). We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. However, sustained break of this level would argue that the whole medium term trend has indeed reversed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.6461.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6914; (P) 0.6920; (R1) 0.6926; More…

AUD/USD is staying below 0.6938 resistance and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rally is still mildly in favor with 0.6838 support intact. On the upside, above 0.6938 will extend the rebound from 0.6670 to 100% projection of 0.6670 to 0.6929 from 0.6754 at 0.7013 next. However, break of 0.6838 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.6754 support instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7502).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6919; (P) 0.6965; (R1) 0.7031; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and more consolidation could be seen below 0.7045. On the upside, break of 0.7045 will resume the rebound from 0.6680 to 0.7282 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.6858 minor support will argue that the rebound is over. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for retesting 0.6680 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 (2021 high) is seen more as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Or it could be a bearish impulsive move. In either case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7282 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD’s consolidation from 0.6677 continued last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.6822 will extend the rebound from 0.6677. But upside should be limited below 0.6910 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.6677 will target 100% projections of 0.7295 to 0.6831 from 0.7082 at 0.6618.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Firm break of 0.6826 (2016 low) should confirm this bearish view. Further fall should be seen to 0.6008 (2008 low) next. On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 low and then 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6795; (P) 0.6813; (R1) 0.6831; More…

Focus remains on 0.6822 resistance in AUD/USD. Decisive break will resume rebound from 0.6677. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.6910 support turned resistance. Though, rejection by 0.6822 resistance will maintain near term bearishness. Break of 0.6677 will extend larger down trend to 100% projections of 0.7295 to 0.6831 from 0.7082 at 0.6618.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Firm break of 0.6826 (2016 low) should confirm this bearish view. Further fall should be seen to 0.6008 (2008 low) next. On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7174; (P) 0.7249; (R1) 0.7299; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral with focus on 0.7135 support. Decisive break there will suggest that it’s already correcting the whole rise from 0.5506. Deeper fall would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685. Nevertheless, as long as 0.7135 holds, another rise is still in favor through 0.7413 before topping.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom is seen as correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rise should be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635 next. On the downside, break of 0.6776 support is needed to be the first sign of completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6826; (P) 0.6898; (R1) 0.6946; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside with focus on 0.6828 low. Firm break there will resume larger fall from 0.8006 to 0.6756/60 cluster support. On the upside, above 0.7033 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.7282 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Deeper fall could still be seen to 50% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6756. This coincides with 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7105 from 0.7660 at 0.6760. Strong support is expected from 0.6756/60 cluster to contain downside to complete the correction. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.7660 resistance will confirm that such corrective pattern has completed, and larger up trend is ready to resume.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6850; (P) 0.6889; (R1) 0.6917; More…

Despite some loss of downside momentum, intraday bias in AUD/USD stays on the downside. Corrective rebound from 0.6680 should have completed with three waves up to 0.7135. Deeper decline should be seen for retesting 0.6680 low next. On the upside, above 0.6969 minor resistance will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 (2021 high) is seen more as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Or it could also be a bearish impulsive move. In either case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7282 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6592; (P) 0.6649; (R1) 0.6683; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.6619 support argues that consolidation pattern from 0.6563 has completed at 0.6804, and larger fall from 0.7156 is ready to resume. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 0.6563 support first. Firm break there should bring deeper decline through 0.6546 fibonacci level to 61.8% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6563 from 0.6804 at 0.6438 next. On the upside, though, above 0.6704 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546 holds, the decline from 0.7156 is seen as a correction to rally from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. Another rise should still be seen through 0.7156 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.6546 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6384; (P) 0.6417; (R1) 0.6435; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral with focus on 0.6411 support and 55 4H EMA. On the downside, firm break of 0.6411 will indicate rejection by 0.6510 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 0.6894 to 0.6269 at 0.6508) , and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.6269 low. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.6508/10 will argue that whole decline from 0.7156 might be completed with three waves down to 0.6269. Stronger rally should then be seen to medium term trend line resistance (now at 0.6700).

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. While current rebound from 0.6269 might extend higher, it could be the third leg of a corrective pattern from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. For now, medium term bearishness will remain as long as 0.6894 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6855; (P) 0.6884; (R1) 0.6934; More…

No change in AUD/USD’s outlook as sideway trading continues. Intraday bias stays neutral first. The correction from 0.7064 is expected to extend with at least one more down leg. On the downside, break of 0.6776 will turn bias to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7064 at 0.6469. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.7064 will resume whole rise from 0.5506 instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.5506 medium term bottom could be correcting whole long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Further rally would be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7323). This will remain the preferred case as long as it stays above 55 week EMA (now at 0.6721). Sustained trading below 55 week EMA will turn focus back to 0.5506 low instead.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6606; (P) 0.6621; (R1) 0.6645; More…

Further decline is still expected in AUD/USD with 0.6664 minor resistance intact, despite loss of downside momentum. Consolidation pattern from 0.6563 should have completed at 0.6804, and larger decline from 0.7156 is ready to resume. Firm break of 0.6563 will bring deeper decline through 0.6546 fibonacci level to 61.8% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6563 from 0.6804 at 0.6438 next. On the upside, break 0.6664 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside to extend the consolidation pattern with another rising leg.

In the bigger picture, as long as 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546 holds, the decline from 0.7156 is seen as a correction to rally from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. Another rise should still be seen through 0.7156 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.6546 will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6585; (P) 0.6611; (R1) 0.6644; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside as rebound from 0.6457 is extending today. Further rally would be seen to 0.6817 key structural resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.6578 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.6457 low instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.6811) keeps medium term outlook bearish. Current development suggests that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is possibly still in progress. Retest of 0.6169 (2022 low) should be seen next. Firm break there will confirm down trend resumption. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.6817 resistance holds.

AUD/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6771; (P) 0.6783; (R1) 0.6795; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and consolidation from 0.6677 might extend. On the upside, break of 0.6822 will extend the rebound from 0.6677. But upside should be limited below 0.6910 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.6677 will target 100% projections of 0.7295 to 0.6831 from 0.7082 at 0.6618.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Firm break of 0.6826 (2016 low) should confirm this bearish view. Further fall should be seen to 0.6008 (2008 low) next. On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.