Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6408; (P) 0.6461; (R1) 0.6560; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 0.6510 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 0.6894 to 0.6269 at 0.6508) will argue that whole corrective fall from 0.7156 has completed with three waves down to 0.6269. Stronger rally should seen to falling channel resistance (now at 0.6684) next. On the downside, below 0.6455 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. While current rebound from 0.6269 might extend higher, it could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. For now, medium term bearishness will remain as long as 0.6894 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7135; (P) 0.7165; (R1) 0.7199; More…

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.6722 is still in progress despite diminishing upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. Further rise would be seen. But upside should be limited below 0.7393 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.7116 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.6722 low. Overall, larger down trend from 0.8135 is expected to resume later after consolidation completes.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain below 0.6826 (2016 low) suggests that the long term down trend is now ready to resume yet. But prior rejection by 55 week EMA indicates underlying medium term bearishness in the pair. Outlook will also stay bearish as long as 0.7393 resistance holds. On the downside, sustained break of 0.6826 will target 0.6008 (2008 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6333; (P) 0.6356; (R1) 0.6379; More…

AUD/USD recovers further today but stays below 0.6444 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and downside breakout is expected. On the downside, firm break of 0.6284 will resume whole fall from 0.7156. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195, which is close to 0.6169 medium term support. However, firm break of 0.6444 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is possibly still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6961; (P) 0.7003; (R1) 0.7039; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral first, as it recovered after breaching 0.6991 key support. On the downside, sustained break of 0.6991 will confirm resumptions of whole down trend from 0.8006. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7555 to 0.6992 from 0.7313 at 0.6750. However, break of 0.7089 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 0.6991 key structural support. Sustained break there will argue that the whole up trend from 0.5506 might be finished at 0.8006, after rejection by 0.8135 long term resistance. Deeper decline would then be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461. Meanwhile, strong rebound from 0.6991 will retain medium term bullishness. That is, whole up trend from 0.5506 is still in progress.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6978; (P) 0.6992; (R1) 0.7008; More…

AUD/USD rises to as high as 0.7012 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.6670 to 0.6929 from 0.6754 at 0.7013 will put 0.7082 key resistance in focus. On the downside, break of 0.6965 minor support should indicate short term topping. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.6838 support instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7506).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7360; (P) 0.7386; (R1) 0.7424; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral as sideway consolidation from 0.7309 is extending. On the downside, break of 0.7309 and sustained trading below 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7158 support next. On the upside, above 0.7483 resistance will bring stronger rebound. But upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring larger fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.6666 extended last week and confirm short term topping. Initial bias remains on the downside for 0.6476 support first. Break there will argue that decline from 0.6870 is ready to resume through 0.6442 low. On the upside, break of 0.6629 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to extend the rebound from 0.6442 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. Overall, sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

In the long term picture, the down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. It’s unsure yet whether price actions from 0.5506 are developing into a corrective pattern, or trend reversal. But in either case, fall from 0.8006 is seen the second leg of the pattern. Hence, in case of deeper decline, strong support should emerge above 0.5506 to bring reversal.

AUD/USD edged lower to 0.6356 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week and some consolidations could still be seen. But recovery should be limited by 0.6520 resistance. Break of 0.6356 will resume larger decline to 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, while fall from 0.8006 might extend lower, the structure argues that it’s merely a correction to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). In case of downside extension, strong support should emerge above 0.5506 to bring reversal. But still, momentum of the next move will be monitored to adjust the assessment.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6679; (P) 0.6699; (R1) 0.6727; More…

With 0.6739 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside. Decisive break of 0.6677 low will resume larger down trend. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 0.7082 to 0.667 from 0.6894 at 0.6644 and then 100% projection at 0.6489. On the upside, 0.6776 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Next target is 0.6008 (2008 low). On the upside, break of 0.7082 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7659; (P) 0.7699; (R1) 0.7762; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains mildly on the upside for 0.7848 resistance. Firm break there should confirm completion of the corrective fall from 0.8006 at 0.7530. Retest of 0.8006 high should be seen next. On the downside, below 0.7676 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.7583 minor support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, whole down trend from 1.1079 (2001 high) should have completed at 0.5506 (2020 low) already. Rise from 0.5506 could either be the start of a long term up trend, or a corrective rise. Reactions to 0.8135 key resistance will reveal which case it is. But in any case, medium term rally is expected to continue as long as 0.7413 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6431; (P) 0.6476; (R1) 0.6501; More…

AUD/USD’s break of 0.6457 support confirms resumption of whole decline from 0.7156. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195. On the upside, above 0.6521 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) could still be in progress. Break of 0.6457 will affirm this bearish case. Further break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6960; (P) 0.7007; (R1) 0.7033; More…

AUD/USD dived to as low as 0.6722 as down trend resumed. 0.6826 (2016 low) was also breached. The long term down trend is tentatively seen as resuming. Further decline is in favor to 100% projection of 0.8135 to 0.7020 from 0.7393 at 0.6278 next. On the upside, break of 0.7071 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 0.8135 is still in progress. Such decline is seen as part of the long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Sustained break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will pave the way to next key level tat 0.6008 (2008 low). In any case, break of 0.7393 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7137; (P) 0.7153; (R1) 0.7184; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first as range trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.7209 will extend the rebound from 0.7005, and turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.7413 high. On he downside, break of 0.7095 will likely resume the corrective fall from 0.7413 through 0.7005, to 38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.7413 at 0.6685.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a corrective inside the long term up trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6908) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7205; (P) 0.7250; (R1) 0.7275; More….

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral and further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.7221 support holds. Break of 0.7339 will target 0.7413 high first. Firm break there will resume larger rally from 0.5506. On the downside, however, break of 0.7221 will turn bias back to the downside to extend the consolidation pattern from 0.7413.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.5506 was strong, there is not enough evidence to confirm bullish trend reversal yet. That is, it could be just a correction inside the long term down trend. Sustained trading back below 55 week EMA (now at 0.6969) will favor the bearish case and argue that the rebound has completed. Focus will be turned back to 0.5506 low. On the upside, break of 0.7413 will extend the rise from 0.5506 to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.5506 (2020 low) at 0.7635.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6430; (P) 0.6488; (R1) 0.6520; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside for 0.6442 support. Decisive break there confirm resumption of the fall from 0.6870 and target 61.8% projection of 0.6870 to 0.6442 from 0.6643 at 0.6378. On the upside, above 0.6498 resistance will turn intraday bias and bring consolidations. But risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 0.6643 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which is still be in progress. Overall, sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

AUD/USD rebounded strongly last week and the development argues that pull back from 0.6929 has completed at 0.6754. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.6813 minor support holds. On the upside, above 0.6862 will target 0.6929 resistance first. Break there will resume the rebound from 0.6670 and target 100% projection of 0.6670 to 0.6929 from 0.6754 at 0.7013. On the downside, however, break of 0.6813 will dampen this bullish case and turn focus back to 0.6754 support instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7082 resistance intact, there is no clear confirmation of trend reversal yet. That is, down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally back to 55 month EMA (now at 0.7525).

In the longer term picture, prior rejection by 55 month EMA maintained long term bearishness in AUD/USD. That is, down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) is still in progress. Next downside target is 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8135 at 0.5507.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7363; (P) 0.7401; (R1) 0.7426; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation pattern from 0.7390 could extend. But even in case of another rise through 0.7483, upside should be limited below 0.7676 resistance to bring larger fall resumption. On the downside, below 0.7359 will target 0.7309 support first. Sustained trading below 0.7328 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8135 at 0.7326) will extend the fall from 0.8135 to 0.7158 support next.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move that should be completed at 0.8135. Deeper decline would be seen back to retest 0.6826 low. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.7676 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6589; (P) 0.6613; (R1) 0.6642; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. We’d continue to expect strong resistance from 0.6662 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement from 0.7031 to 0.6433 at 0.6661) to limit upside. Break of 0.6509 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.6433 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.6662 will bring stronger corrective rise to 61.8% retracement at 0.6803.

In the bigger picture, AUD/USD’s decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still in progress. It’s part of the larger down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Rejection by 55 week EMA affirms medium term bearishness. Next target is 0.6008 (2008 low). Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7031 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6527; (P) 0.6553; (R1) 0.6598; More…

AUD/USD recovered quickly after breaching 0.6524 support and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, decisive break of 0.6524 argue that whole rebound from 0.6269 has completed, and bring deeper fall to this support. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 0.6623 minor resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6866; (P) 0.6884; (R1) 0.6918; More…

AUD/USD rises to sa high as 0.6929 so far as rebound from 0.6670 extends. The break of 0.6894 resistance complete a double bottom pattern (0.6677, 0.6670), which is also an early sign of medium term bullish reversal. Intraday bias is now on the upside for retesting 0.7082 key resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.6809 support is needed to signal completion of the rise. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bearish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the case of medium term bullish reversal is building up with bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. But there is no clear confirmation yet. As long as 0.7082 resistance holds, larger down trend from 0.8135 (2018 high) is still expect to continue to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, decisive break of 0.7082 will confirm medium term bottoming and bring stronger rally.