Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7580; (P) 0.7597; (R1) 0.7615; More…

AUD/USD recovers today as consolidation from 0.7531 extends. Overall outlook remains unchanged though. As long as 0.7729 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. Break of 0.7550 will resume whole decline from 0.8124 and target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. Nonetheless, break of 0.7729 will indicate near term reversal, with bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. And stronger rebound would be seen back to 0.7896 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8033). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7729 near term resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7311; (P) 0.7337; (R1) 0.7384; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. Some consolidations could be seen but outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7443 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.7288 will resume larger fall from 0.8006, and target 161.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7530 from 0.7890 at 0.7120. However, break of 0.7443 will bring stronger rebound to 0.7530 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5506 medium term bottom could have completed at 0.8006, after failing 0.8135 key resistance. Correction from there could target 0.6991 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.7051). We’d look for strong support from there to bring rebound. However, sustained break of this level would argue that the whole medium term has indeed reversed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7939; (P) 0.7957; (R1) 0.7977; More…

At this point, further is expected in AUD/USD as long as 0.7874 support holds. Current rise from 0.7500 would target 0.8124 high. Break there will resume whole medium term rebound from 0.6826 and target key fibonacci level at 0.8451. On the downside, break of 0.7874 will indicate short term topping and turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7756).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that medium term rebound from 0.6826 is still in progress and could be resuming. Such rise could target 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 (2011 high) to 0.6826 (2016 low) at 0.8451. As such rise is seen as a corrective move, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.8451 to limit upside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7499; (P) 0.7553; (R1) 0.7582; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays on the downside for the moment as fall from 0.7740 extends. Whole rebound from 0.7158 should be completed. AUD/USD is now targeting lower side of the range at 0.7144/7158 support zone. On the upside, break of 0.7631 resistance is needed to indicate completion of such decline. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seek to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8164) and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7604; (P) 0.7621; (R1) 0.7639; More…

AUD/USD’s recovery from 0.7531 is still in progress and further rise could be seen. But upside should be limited below 0.7729 resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.7531 will resume the whole decline from 0.8124 and turn bias to the downside for next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. However, considering bullish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.7729 will indicate near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 0.7896 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8049). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7729 near term resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7558; (P) 0.7577; (R1) 0.7603; More…

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.7158 resumed by taking out 0.7608 and reaches as high as 0.7651 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.7777 resistance next. At this point, we’d still expect strong resistance from 0.7777/7833 resistance zone to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7448 support will indicate that rebound from 0.7510 has completed. That will turn bias to the downside for 0.7144 key support level.

In the bigger picture, AUD/USD is staying inside long term falling channel and it’s likely that the down trend from 1.1079 is still in progress. Break of 0.6826 low will confirm this bearish case. We’ll be looking for bottoming sign again as it approaches 0.6008 key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.7833 resistance will be a strong sign of medium term reversal.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7382; (P) 0.7414; (R1) 0.7445; More…

AUD/USD’s corrective recovery from 0.7328 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral. As noted before, we’d expect upside to be limited below 0.7555 resistance to bring fall resumption. Below 0.7382 will target 0.7144/7158 support zone. However, there is no clear sign of larger down trend resumption yet. Hence we’ll be cautious on strong support from 0.7144/58 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.7555 will argue that fall from 0.7748 is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a correction pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8115) and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7610; (P) 0.7630; (R1) 0.7651; More…

AUD/USD’s fall from 0.8124 is still in progress and reaches as low as 0.7575 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, above 0.7649 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.7729 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6553; (P) 0.6584; (R1) 0.6600; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral as consolidation from 0.6524 is extending. But further decline is expected as long as 0.6639 support turned resistance holds. Firm break of 0.6524 support will argue that whole rebound from 0.6269 has completed, and bring deeper fall to this support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7739; (P) 0.7760; (R1) 0.7774; More…

A temporary low is in place at 0.7732 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Another fall is expected as long as 0.7874 resistance holds. As noted before, rise from 0.7382 is possibly completed at 0.8124 already. Below 0.7732 will target medium term fibonacci level at 0.7628 first. Decisive break there will target 0.7328 key cluster support. On the upside, break of 0.7874 will argue that the decline is completed and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is seen as corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it might be completed with three waves up to 0.8124 already. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7628 will firm this bearish case. And, decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement at 0.7322) will confirm and bring retest of 0.6826 low. In case rise from 0.6826 resumes and extends, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7811; (P) 0.7829; (R1) 0.7853; More…

AUD/USD recovers today but it’s staying in range of 0.7758/7988. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.7988 will extend the rebound to retest 0.8135. On the downside, below 0.7758 will resume the fall from 0.8135 and target 0.7500 key near term support. At this point, there is no strong case for a range breakout yet and 0.7500/8135 could hold for a while.

In the bigger picture, medium term rebound from 0.6826 is seen as a corrective move. It might still extend higher but we’d expect strong resistance from 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside to bring long term down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.7500 support will now be an important signal that such corrective rebound is completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6602; (P) 0.6624; (R1) 0.6649; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.6480 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 0.6442. Further rally would be seen to 0.6666 resistance, and then 100% projection of 0.6442 to 0.6666 from 0.6480 at 0.6704. Nevertheless, break of 0.6548 support will turn bias back to the downside instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which might still be in progress. Overall, sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7614; (P) 0.7657; (R1) 0.7687; More…

AUD/USD is still holding in range above 0.7624 support and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. More consolidation could still be seen. But after al, near term outlook stays bearish with 0.7896 resistance intact and deeper fall is expected. Decisive break of 0.7624 will resume whole decline from 0.8124. And, AUD/USD should target next key cluster level at 0.7322/8 next.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8067). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7896 near term resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7594; (P) 0.7619; (R1) 0.7662; More…

AUD/USD retreats after hitting as high as 0.7711. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.7748 resistance and above. At this point, there is no clear sign of medium term range breakout yet. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping again as it approaches medium term fibonacci level at 0.7849. On the downside, below 0.7653 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.7534 support holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a corrective pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8116) and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6951; (P) 0.6980; (R1) 0.6997; More…

AUD/USD retreated after hitting 0.7007 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.6938 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.7007 will extend the rebound from 0.6864 short term bottom to 0.7205 key resistance next. However, break of 0.6938 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.6864 low instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.7393 key resistance intact, medium term outlook remains bearish. The decline from 0.8135 (2018 high) is seen as resuming long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high). Decisive break of 0.6826 (2016 low) will confirm this bearish view and resume the down trend to 0.6008 (2008 low). However, firm break of 0.7393 will argue that fall from 0.8135 has completed. And corrective pattern from 0.6826 has started the third leg, targeting 0.8135 again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7645; (P) 0.7664; (R1) 0.7696; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside for 0.7711. Break there will extend the rise from 0.7328 through 0.7748, possibly to 0.7833. Still, there is no clear sign of range breakout yet. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping again as it approaches medium term fibonacci level at 0.7849. On the downside, below 0.7641 minor support will extend the consolidation pattern from 0.7711 with another fall. But outlook will remains mildly bullish as long as 0.7534 support holds.

In the bigger picture, we’re still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a corrective pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8082) and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7531; (P) 0.7549; (R1) 0.7570; More…

AUD/USD’s consolidation from 0.7608 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise could be seen with 0.7448 support intact. On the upside, above 0.7608 will extend the rebound form 0.7158. But we’d expect strong resistance from 0.7777/7833 resistance zone to bring near term reversal. On the downside, break of 0.7448 support will indicate that rebound from 0.7158 has completed. That will turn bias to the downside for 0.7144 key support level.

In the bigger picture, AUD/USD is staying inside long term falling channel and it’s likely that the down trend from 1.1079 is still in progress. Break of 0.6826 low will confirm this bearish case. We’ll be looking for bottoming sign again as it approaches 0.6008 key support level. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.7833 resistance will be a strong sign of medium term reversal.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7755; (P) 0.7794; (R1) 0.7864; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Firm break of 0.7833 resistance will confirm resumption of whole rebound from 0.6826 bottom. In such case, AUD/USD would target 61.8% projection of 0.6826 to 0.7833 from 0.7328 at 0.7950 next. On the downside, below 0.7739 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.7570 support holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rise. There is no confirmation of trend reversal yet and we’ll continue to treat such rebound as a corrective pattern. But in any case, further rise is now expected to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8100) or even further to 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451. Break of 0.7328 support is needed to confirm completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise is now in favor.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7537; (P) 0.7584; (R1) 0.7609; More…

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the downside at this point. Whole decline from 0.8124 should now extend to next key cluster level at 0.7322/8. On the upside, break of 0.7652 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, corrective rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is likely completed at 0.8124, after hitting 55 month EMA (now at 0.8033). Decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7322) will confirm. And in that case, long term down trend from 1.1079 (2011 high) will likely be resuming. Break of 0.6826 will target 61.8% projection of 1.1079 to 0.6826 from 0.8124 at 0.5496. This will now be the favored case as long as 0.7732 near term resistance holds.

AUD/USD’s rebound from 0.7732 was limited at 0.7896 and turned sideway. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.7732 will resume the decline from 0.8124 and target medium term fibonacci level at 0.7628 first. This will also affirm the case of medium term reversal. On the upside, however, break of 0.7896 will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.8124 to 0.7732 at 0.7974 and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6826 medium term bottom is seen as corrective pattern. Current development suggests that it might be completed with three waves up to 0.8124 already. Break of 38.2% retracement of 0.6826 to 0.8124 at 0.7628 will firm this bearish case. And, decisive break of 0.7328 key cluster support (61.8% retracement at 0.7322) will confirm and bring retest of 0.6826 low. In case rise from 0.6826 resumes and extends, strong resistance should be seen at 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 to limit upside.

In the longer term picture, 0.6826 is seen as a long term bottom. Rise from there could either reverse the down trend from 1.1079, or just develop into a corrective pattern. At this point, we’re favoring the latter. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1079 to 0.6826 at 0.8451 holds, we’d anticipate another decline through 0.6826 at a later stage.