New Zealand’s BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index climbed from 50.1 in April to 53.3 in May, revealing a slight uptick in the services sector. However, it’s worth noting that this figure remains marginally under long-term average of 53.6. A closer look at the numbers shows activity/sales leaping from 45.4 to 52.0, employment increasing from 50.5 to 52.6, and new orders/business ascending from 50.1 to 55.4. Stocks inventories slightly declined from 57.1 to 56.8, while supplier deliveries edged up from 50.6 to 51.1.
BusinessNZ’s Chief Executive Kirk Hope shared his insights, stating, “The lift in expansion for May also saw a pickup in the proportion of positive comments, which rose from 39.8% in April to 50.6% for the current month.” He further added that while there weren’t any defining themes, the overall positive comments were “either industry-specific or very general around increased activity.”
Nonetheless, the economy appears to be on a deceleration trajectory, which, according to BNZ Senior Economist Craig Ebert, is necessary to deflate the inflationary pressures.
“The bounce back in the PSI in May arguably helped calm a lot of nerves – after it sagged to 50.1 in April, and after the services component of Q1 GDP declined 0.6%. Still, this doesn’t deny the economy is on a broadly slowing trajectory, which is what’s required to take the inflationary heat out of it,” Ebert explained.
CHF/JPY extending up trend, ready for 160, and then 165
While Swiss Franc hasn’t been a strong currency recently, it did manage to extend up trend against Yen. It now ready to take out prior high of 158.45 set in 1979, (barring the spike after SNB suddenly removed the cap of Franc in 2015).
Monetary policy divergence between SNB and BoJ continues to be the driving factor for the move. SNB is set to raise interest rate again this week and any hawkish comments or economic projections could propel CHF/JPY further higher.
From a near term point of view, CHF/JPY passed through 161.8% projection of 137.40 to 147.58 from 140.21 at 156.58 last week. There is no sign of topping yet. Near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 155.53 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 200% projection at 160.57.
From a medium term point of view, the up trend from 106.71 is in progress, and will remain on healthy track as long as 151.43 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% projection of 106.71 to 151.43 from 137.40 at 165.03.