European Commissioner for Economic and Financial Affairs Pierre Moscovici said on Sunday that he’d still prefer dialogue with to sanctions on Italy regarding it’s budget. And, “for the past five years I have not punished anyone.” However, he emphasized “If they do not respect the rules at all, it will be necessary for the European Commission and the European states to take their responsibilities”. The Commission will make proposals this week on resolving the dispute with Italy over its budget deficit.

Italy’s Economy Minister Giovanni Tria blamed the economic downturn for rising debt. However, he also emphasized “Italy does not want to clash with the European Commission, and I hope the opposite is also true, that is to say that no one in Brussels intends to engage in a fight with us.” He reiterated the pledge to keep budget deficit below government forecast of 2.4% of GDP. And he added “our position is reasonable and I think we will eventually reach a compromise with the Commission.”

European Commission is set to discuss the actions regarding Italy’s draft budget today. Italy sent a three-page letter to the Commission yesterday, explaining its position on the budget, but without directly addressing the questions as presented by the Commission’s letter to them. Instead, Economy Minister Giovanni Tria tried to pain the budget plan, raising deficit target to 2.4% of GDP, as a “hard but necessary” decision after considering “macroeconomic and social conditions”. Prime Minister Giuseppe  Conte, also expressed the willingness for a “constructive dialogue” but reject any prejudice.

European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Pierre Moscovici emphasized the “the European commission does not want a crisis between Brussels and Rome.” But he added that “the maximum that we can do … is to ask Italy to resubmit another budget, which takes account of the observations, of the questions, and also of European rules.”

While attentions are mainly on the top line 2.4% of GDP deficit target, there are other issues that are yet to be addressed by Italy. In particular, the Italian government forecasts the economy to growth 1.5% in 2019, based on the budget. However, as the Commission pointed out in its letter, the plan has not been endorsed by any “independent fiscal monitoring institution”, like the Parliamentary Budget Office. And that’s a breach of EU rules. The growth projection is the basis for deficit target calculation and Italy has to either ask the PBO to reveal and endorse it, or explain why they just come up with the numbers on their own.