ECB rate decision is the mega events today. It’s widely expected to announce a package of stimulus measures. But up till now, it’s unsure what the exact package would be. Opinions are rather divided, leaving much room for disappointments for both sides. Additionally, ECB will release new economic projections which would be closely watched too.
Here is our take on the package:. 1. Deposit rate cut by -20bps to -0.60%. 2. Two-tiered system to exempt some backs on paying deposit interests. 3. Restart QE at EUR 30B per month. 4. Adjustments to TLTRO. 5. Change of forward guiance to keep interest rates low well past horizon of QE.
More in ECB Preview – Awaiting New Easing Package
Suggested readings:
China inquiring US farm products, including pork and soybeans
Chinese Commerce Ministry spokesman Gao Feng said in a regularly weekly press briefing that working-level teams from US and China will meet soon in preparation for high-level trade talks next month. Additionally, Chinese companies has started inquiry on US agricultural products, including pork and soybeans. Gao added that China hope both countries could create favorable conditions for negotiations.
The comments came after US President Donald Trump announced yesterday to postpone the additional 5% tariffs on China from October 1 to October 15. That’s in responses to China’s tariff exemptions on some American imports.