Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin expressed a cautious stance on the prospect of Fed starting to cut interest rates in the near future, citing ongoing inflation pressures as a primary concern.

In an interview with CNBC, Barkin emphasized the need for inflation to normalize before considering adjustments to the interest rate policy. “I’m still hopeful inflation is going to come down and if inflation normalizes then it makes the case for why you want to normalize rates, but to me it starts with inflation,” Barkin stated

Barkin highlighted continued wage and inflation pressures, referencing a recent report indicating high inflation levels. While he noted some stabilization in goods inflation, Barkin pointed out that inflation in the services sector remains a challenge.

“I still see wage pressures, I still see inflation pressures…we just had a high inflation report yesterday… On the goods side inflation is settling. On the services side, not so much,” he elaborated.

New York Fed President John William reiterated that he expected rate cuts to start this year, but emphasized there is “no sense of urgency to do that”.

“I think that makes sense with inflation coming down, the economy being in better balance, that we’re going to move interest rates back to more normal levels,” he said at an event overnight.

Williams noted that monetary policy is “in good place”, and the focus now is to gain confidence that inflation is on track to 2% target.

Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester remains steadfast in her view that inflation is on track to Fed’s target, despite a month-over-month jump in the preferred inflation gauge.

Nevertheless, “it does show you there is a little more work for the Fed to do,” Mester said in a Yahoo Finance interview overnight.

Mester reiterated her December forecast of three rate cuts in 2024, suggesting that this remains a plausible scenario if the economy progresses as she expects. “Right now that feels about right to me if the economy evolves as I anticipate it will,” she stated.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly highlighted the shift towards a more data-dependent approach, a move away from extensive forward guidance. She underscored the importance of being “methodical” in decision-making, emphasizing Fed’s intention to “hold on just right” without being locked into predefined commitments.

In a Bloomberg TV interview overnight, Daly articulated the need for “a collage of evidence” to confirm a sustainable downward trend in inflation, relying not just on published economic statistics but also on insights from business contacts. Although she acknowledged the emergence of positive signs, or “green shoots,” in the economy, she cautioned, “we’re not there yet,” indicating that more evidence is needed to confirm that inflation is on a consistent decline.

Furthermore, Daly discussed the implications of adjusting the nominal interest rate as inflation begins to ease. She argued for the necessity of reducing interest rates in a timely manner to prevent overly tightening monetary policy that could inadvertently trigger an economic downturn.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, at an even overnight, highlighted the scope for the US economy to maintain what he terms the “golden path,” a scenario where inflation falls in conjunction with sustained labor market strength and economic growth. This balance, he notes, is historically rare but remains a viable outcome for the current year.

Goolsbee’s confidence stems from anticipated improvements in supply chain efficiency and labor supply impacts, which he believes will bolster this optimistic economic scenario.

“I still feel like there is supply benefit coming through the system on both the supply chain, and the impact of labor supply,” Goolsbee remarked.