Dollar Surges on Unexpected Strong Rise in Retail Sales
Dollar jumps sharply in after data shows strong rise in retail sales, versus expectation of a decline. The data also raises optimism that it's just the start of resurgence in consumer demand, as the world is exiting the pandemic with fast vaccinations. Canadian Dollar is following closely as the...
Yen Stays Firm on Risk Aversion in Asia, But Dollar Holding on to Support
Yen is trading generally firm today as risk sentiment in Asia is decoupling from that of the US. Nikkei is so far rather resiliently holding above 30k handle, despite slight retreat. But Hong Kong HSI is having another day of heavy selling, breaking to a new low for the...
US Crude Oil Inventory Plunged 6.42 mbb, almost Doubling Expectations
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks fell -8.78 mmb to 1234.64 mmb in the week ended September 10. Crude oil inventory sank -6.42 mmb (consensus: -3.54 mmb) to 417.45 mmb. Stockpile fell in 4 out...
USD/JPY Presses 109.1 Support as Yen Rally Continues, Strong UK and Canada CPI
Rally in Yen and Swiss Franc dominated trading for most of the day, and it stays firm in early US session. Nevertheless, as sentiment of US traders are not too pessimistic, buying in both slows a little bit. On the other hand, Australia, New Zealand and US Dollars are...
China’s Retail Sales Growth Declined Sharply, Slowdown in 2H21 Likely Worse than Previously Anticipated
The latest set of economic data reveals that China’s slowdown worsened. The most disappointing reading comes from retail sales growth which moderated to +2.5% y/y in August, compared with consensus of +7.1% and July’s +8.5%. The slowest growth in 12 months can be attributed to delta variant outbreak and...
Yen Rising as Sentiment Weighed Down by Poor China Retail Sales
The impact of slowing in US inflation was rather short-lived as major indexes turned red after initial rise. Sentiment is further weighed down by poor retail sales data from China. Yen notably overnight on mild risk-off sentiment while Dollar also regained some ground. On the other hand, Australian and...
Dollar Declines on Slowing Inflation, Sterling Upside Breakout
Dollar drops broadly after data shows declining headline consumer inflation in the US, and even quicker fall in core CPI. It's adding to the Fed's case that prior surge in inflation was just transitory. DOW futures responde rather positively to the news. Strengthening risk appetite could put Yen under...
Euro Strengthening Mildly While Dollar Awaits CPI
Overall market sentiment is mildly positive with the strong rebound in DOW overnight, followed by slight gain in Nikkei. European majors are having a small edge over the others but Swiss Franc is still clearly lagging behind. Australia Dollar is leading commodity currencies lower for now, after some cautious...
Aussie’s Weakness Exacerbated by Dovish RBA and Slump in Iron Ore Price
Concerns over inflation, slower economic growth and normalization of monetary stimulus have hurt market sentiment, pressuring commodity currencies over the past week. Among G10 commodity currencies, Australian dollar performed the worst as it was additionally hammered by a dovish RBA and the selloff of iron ore price.
Dovish RBA under...
Selling Turns to Euro and Swiss Franc as Risk-on Rally Returns
Commodity currencies came back to live entering into US session, with help from broad based rally in European indexes and US futures. Canadian Dollar is also lifted as WTI oil price recaptures 70 handle. Dollar turned mixed for now as selling turns to Swiss Franc, Euro and Yen. With...
EUR/USD Breaks 1.179 Support as Dollar Rebound Continues
Dollar rebound continues in Asian session today and trades generally high. Weakness in more notable in Aussie and Euro, as both turn soft in crosses. Overall risk sentiment is slightly negative, with particular deep selloff in Hong Kong stocks, but Nikkei remains resilient. The economic calendar is very light...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Bets on DXY Index Futures and EUR Futures Declined in Both Sides
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended September 7, NET SHORT of USD index futures added +775 contracts to 21 465. Trades continued to drop on both sides with speculative long positions down -2 803 contracts while speculative shorts down -3 578. Concerning...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Gold Price Pressured on Hopes of Rising Yields
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended September 7, Trades on crude oil futures fell on both sides. Speculative long position declined -9 065 contracts, while shorts dropped -1 695 contracts, sending NET LENGTH lower (down -7 370 contracts) to 349 158 contracts for...
Dollar Rebounded as DOW’s Selloff Posts a Warning to Risk Sentiment
Dollar ended as the strongest one last week, with some held from the late selloff in US stocks. Yen was the second strongest on risk aversion while Swiss Franc was not too far away. Commodity currencies, on the other hand, ended generally lower. Traders ignored the dovish tapering of...
CAD Rebounds on Strong Job Data, USD Turning Weaker
Canadian Dollar rebound strongly in early US session after stronger than expected job data. Commodity currencies are also generally firm with European stocks and US futures, followed by Sterling. On the other hand, Yen, Swiss Franc and Dollar are turning softer, but Euro is not too far away. The...
Focuses Turn to UK GDP and Canada Jobs for Guidance
Overall, the forex markets are rather mixed as we're heading towards the weekend. Euro is staying weak in European crosses, but selling slowed against Dollar and Yen. Meanwhile, commodity currencies are trading mildly higher, but remain the worst performers for the week. Dollar turned weaker against Swiss Franc and...
Crude Oil Price Declined as US Inventory Fell Less than Expected
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks sank -10.39 mmb to 1233.43 mmb in the week ended September 3. Crude oil inventory declined for a 8 consecutive week, down -1.53 mmb (consensus: -4.61 mmb) to 423.87...
ECB to Slow Asset Purchases via PEPP. Growth and Inflation Outlook Upgraded
Two important messages delivered at the ECB meetings are: 1) the end of the front-loading of PEPP asset purchases and 2) acknowledgement of a more persistent inflation pressure. The policy rates were all kept unchanged with the main refi rate, the marginal lending rate and the deposit rate staying...
Euro Tumbles in Crosses, No Help from ECB Re-calibration
Euro tumbles notably against European majors and Yen today, and ECB's re-calibration of PEPP purchases provide no support. But Dollar is seen as equally weak. Sterling is currently the star performer for today, followed by Swiss Franc and Yen. Commodity currencies are mixed. Focuses will now turn back to...
Euro Losing Momentum ahead of BoC, Dollar Recovering Further
Commodity currencies are trading generally lower in Asia today, with pull back in Japanese stocks in the background. Canadian Dollar is also soft after BoC's rate decision overnight. Dollar, Yen and Swiss Franc are trading mildly firmer, extending this week's rebound. Euro is following closely, but momentum is starting...