EUR/USD to Look into Confidence Indicators for Guidance, as Risk Aversion Eased
The financial markets responded positively to news that US and China are back on the table for trade negotiation. At least for now, the fear of further escalation in tension is eased. DOW ended yesterday up 669.40 pts or 2.84% at 2420.60. S&P 500 gained 70.29 pts or 2.72%...
Yen Lower as Trade War Fears Recede, Euro and Sterling Surge
Risk sentiments stabilized as markets reacted positively to the possibility of a trade deal between US and China. Major European indices are trading higher even though gains are only at 0.35-0.55% in FTSE, CAC and DAX only, at the time of writing. US futures also point to triple digit...
US Treasury Mnuchin in Trade Talk with China, But No One is Cheering Yet
The financial markets opened the week rather quietly. Nikkei and KOSPI opened lower and turned black as the session went on. But other major Asian indices stayed slightly in red. US is apparent in talk with China on trade agreement. But no one in the markets is cheering for...
Global Stock Market Crashed, Dollar Tumbled after Episode 1 of US-China Trade War
Global stock markets suffered steep selloff last week as US President Donald Trump has finally declare the start of trade war with China. Dollar was under broad based pressure with the development, but it was only the second weakest one. Australian Dollar suffered most for it's close trade link...
Canadian Dollar Lifted by CPI, Markets Stabilizing after Panic Selloff
After steep selloff in the Asian markets, sentiments stabilized mildly in European markets. At the time of writing, DAX is trading down -1.45%, CAC down -1.2 and FTSE down only -0.25%. US futures also point to a flat open, and stocks may recover from yesterday's panic selloff. In the...
Global Markets Crash, Yen Surge as US-China Trade War Starts
US stocks tumbled sharply in the final hour of trading overnight, taking out key support levels in the wake of the start of US-China trade war. DOW closed sharply lower by -724.42 pts or -2.93% at 23957.89 overnight as fear of trade war intensified. S&P 500 was down -68.24...
Yen Steals the Show on Trade War Worries, Sterling Reversed after Brief BoE Spike
Sterling attempts to rally after BoE rate decisions but failed to sustain gain. On the other hand, Yen is quietly stealing the show on risk aversion. Investors are worried that the world is finally entering into the phase of trade war with US President Donald Trump's scheduled announce of...
BOE Voted 7-2 to Leave Bank Rate Unchanged at 0.50%
BOE voted 7-2 to leave the Bank rate at 0.50%. The members voted unanimously to leave to asset purchase program unchanged at 435B pound. The members were generally positive over the economic outlook, noting that "recent data releases are broadly consistent with the MPC's view of the medium-term outlook...
Dollar Broadly Pressured after FOMC, Sterling Strong ahead of BoE
Dollar stays broadly pressured today as post FOMC selloff extends. While Fed delivered the widely anticipated rate hike, it maintained the forecast of a total of three hikes in 2018 only, not four. Aussie is the only failing to join the party against Dollar today after weaker than expected...
FOMC Projects Two More Rate Hikes This Year, Followed By Three In 2019
FOMC's rate hike of +25 bps is not news. What caught market attention the most was the median dot plot (which continued to project 3 rate hikes in 2018) and the upgrades in the economic projections. US dollar plunged from almost a three-week highe after the announcement. The message...
USD and NZD Weak ahead of FOMC and RBNZ, Sterling lifted by Job Data
Sterling is staying in the spotlight today as the set of job and wage data boosts the chance of a May BoE hike. The central bank's announce tomorrow is now rather important as some hawks could come back flexing their muscles. Similar strong for today is Canadian Dollar, riding...
UK And EU Reached Transition Deal, Erasing Key Uncertainty Of BOE’s Rate Hike Path
Despite initial rally following the announcement of a Brexit transition deal, British pound has retraced much of its gains. Both UK and EU officials have hailed the agreement. While UK's Brexit negotiator Davis David noted that the deal contains 'a large part of what will make up an international...
Dollar Turns Soft as Markets Await FOMC Hike, Sterling Looks into Job Data
Dollar trades broadly softer in Asian session today as yesterday's rebound attempt lost steam. Traders are also turning more cautious ahead of FOMC rate decision. While Fed is widely expected to hike, the main question remains on whether there will be three or four hikes this year. Also, Jerome...
Euro Reverses as Germany Outlook Worsened Considerably, Sterling Pare Gains after CPI Miss
Euro and Sterling trade notably lower today as economic data missed expectation. Sterling remains relatively firm and stays as the strongest major currency for the week. The CPI miss was just 0.1% yoy, and Brexit transition deal should still give BoE policy makers a confidence boost. Euro, on the...
RBA Minutes Reiterated The Impacts Of Low Wage Growth On Inflation
Aussie remains under pressure although the RBA minutes contained little surprise. The minutes signaled that policymakers were encouraged by recent economic growth. However, subdued wage growth and elevated household debt have suggested that policymakers would keep the powder dry. Meanwhile, the slowdown in the housing market has diminished the...
UK CPI Could Trigger Sterling Bulls and BoE Hawks
Sterling remains the strongest one as markets is now preparing for inflation data from UK today. The progress in Brexit negotiation removed one key obstacle for BoE to hike again in May. And CPI data will be a key factor for MPC's consideration. Hence, any upside surprise would likely...
Sterling Shines as UK and EU Agreed on Brexit Transition Deal
Sterling soars today on news that EU and UK has finally agreed on the Brexit transition deal. The pound is now set to take on 1.4144 resistance against dollar and 0.8686 against Euro. While notable weakness is seen in Euro against Sterling, it's actually performing quite well elsewhere. The...
Trade War a Major Theme in Busy Week of Central Banks, Data and Politics
The week open relatively quietly again with Swiss Franc leading the way down, followed by Aussie and Kiwi. Dollar strengthens broadly but it's again out shone by Japanese Yen. Asian markets are mixed with Nikkei trading down -0.8% at the time of writing. But HK HSI, China SSE are...
CAD, AUD, NZD All Suffered as Trump Stepping on Protectionist Acceleration Pedal
Yen maintained solid strength throughout last week as it ended as the strongest one. Meanwhile, the fortunes of commodity currencies suddenly reversed towards the end. Canadian, Australian and New Zealand Dollar ended as the three weakest ones. Some blamed the selloff in commodity currencies to Dollar's strength. But the...
Safe Haven Theme Dominates, Yen Strong, Commodity Currencies Weak
Safe haven flows remain the main theme in the forex markets today even though global equities are rather resilient. Yen and to a lesser extend Swiss Franc are trading generally higher. Meanwhile, commodity currencies, Canadian, Australian and New Zealand Dollars suffer most. Fresh selling is indeed seen in early...