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Dollar’s Rally Unfazed by Weak Manufacturing Data, Bolstered by Risk Aversion

Dollar continues its strong rally in early U.S. session, making an attempt to surpass January high against Euro. The market appears to be ignoring surprisingly poor results of Empire State Manufacturing survey. Instead, mild risk-off sentiment is prevailing, offering some support to the greenback. New Zealand and Australian Dollars are...

Dollar Defies Increasing Rate Cut Expectations, Gains Ground on Risk-Off Sentiment

Dollar rises broadly on risk-off sentiment today, as as Hong Kong stocks led the region lower. The greenback's strength comes despite growing calls for Fed to initiate policy loosening earlier. Notably, Goldman Sachs has joined this chorus, predicting an initial rate cut as early as March and a total...

Euro Edges Up on ECB Hawks’ Comments, But Momentum Limited

Euro trades mildly higher today after two known ECB hawks raised skepticism about a near term rate cut. Yet, upside momentum is somewhat tempered by weak trade and production data. Also, Euro is outshone slightly by Dollar, but the latter is also struggling to break out from familiar range...

Tranquil Opening to a Data-Heavy Week: Major Data from US, UK, Japan Featured

The forex markets commenced the week on a relatively quiet note, despite generally positive risk sentiment. This was highlighted by Japan's Nikkei, which continued its impressive performance, breaking above 35k mark to reach new three-decade highs. The robust momentum could continue until the eagerly awaited BoJ meeting later in...

Dollar’s Indecisive Week, Rate Cut Bets Hold Despite Inflation Surprises

Dollar demonstrated a distinct lack of decisiveness in its trading last week, encapsulating a theme of uncertainty that has become characteristic since the start of the year. The greenback has indeed close the week within prior week's range against most major counterparts, with Canadian Dollar being the only exception. This...

Forex Markets Show Hesitation, Gold on the Rise

Today's trading in the forex markets reflects a sense of indecision among investors. Dollar, which initially showed signs of recovery, faced an abrupt halt following unexpected decline in US PPI for December. British Pound, despite the release of stronger-than-expected UK GDP data, failed to garner significant support. Japanese Yen...

Sterling Leads the Week Ahead of UK GDP, Dollar Sluggish

Dollar's fleeting post-CPI rally was very short-lived. The greenback quickly reversed its initial gains and has since been trading within a narrow range against other major currencies. Traders appear relatively unfazed by the stronger than expected inflation readings, with markets still pricing in more than 70% chance on Fed...

Dollar Gains Post-US CPI, But Momentum Subdued

The financial markets' initial reactions to stronger than expected US CPI readings are relatively subdued. While there was an immediate response with Dollar and yields rising, and stock futures dipping, these movements lacked significant follow-through. The exception in the currency markets was USD/JPY, which broke through last week's high....

Dollar Softens as Market Anticipates US Inflation Data, Assessing Rate Cut Prospects

Dollar saw notable decline against most major currencies, maintaining its softer tone in the Asian trading session today, with the exception of its performance against Yen. This selloff amidst a backdrop of improving risk sentiment, reflected by the uptick in major US stock indexes. Investors' attention is now squarely...

Yen’s Selloff Persists in Sluggish Market, Dollar Mixed

Japanese Yen continues its decline in today's subdued trading environment. This selloff gained momentum following the release of disappointing wages growth data, which has tempered expectations for an imminent monetary policy adjustment by BoJ in January. Despite this, April is still considered a more probable time for interest rate...

Yen Weakens on Disappointing Wage Growth Data, Nikkei Soars to 33-Year High

Release of Japan's disappointing wage growth data led markets to scale back expectations of an imminent rate hike by BoJ. The continued lag in wages growth behind inflation undermines the prospects of establishing a virtuous cycle of wages and prices, which is a prerequisite to a BoJ policy shift....

Lackluster Trading in Forex as Economic Data Fails to Stir Major Movements

Currency trading today remained lackluster, characterized by limited movements across major pairs and crosses. Key economic data releases, ranging from Japan's Tokyo CPI, and retail sales figures from Australia and the Eurozone, to trade balance data from Canada and US, failed to significantly influence the markets. Japanese Yen is currently...

Markets Unmoved by Japan and Australia Data, Bitcoin Surges

Today's Asian trading session has been relatively subdued. Japan reported deeper-than-expected contraction in household spending, while Tokyo CPI core showed slowdown in line with market expectations. However, Yen's near-term rebound seems to be losing steam as these data releases have not provided significant market impetus. Meanwhile, Nikkei index returned...

Commodity Currencies Weaken; Focus on AUD/JPY Ahead of Australia and Japan Data

In today's relatively subdued markets, the notable development is weakness in commodity currencies, led by Australian Dollar. This decline comes amid a drop in oil prices following Saudi Arabia's decision to cut official selling prices across all regions. Additionally, precious metals have softened in response to rebound in global...

Aussie Weakens, Gold’s Recovery, Global Inflation Data in Spotlights

Australian Dollar trades broadly lower in today's Asian session, influenced by notable decline in Hong Kong and Chinese stock markets as driven by selloff in technology stocks in these regions. Additionally, there is growing investor caution ahead of impending economic data from China, which is anticipated to highlight deepened...

Year’s Start Sees Shift in Risk Sentiment, Dollar Ended Higher Despite Jitters

The onset of 2024 marked a notable shift in global market sentiment. Major U.S. stock indexes ended their nine-week winning streak, closing lower, while major benchmark treasury yields experienced a notable recovery. Concurrently, this shift in market dynamics was accompanied by a scaling back of bets on an immediate...

Dollar Rises on Robust NFP, But Gains Tempered by Hesitation

Dollar rises broadly in early U.S. session, spurred by a robust set of job data that surpassed expectations in all key areas including headline employment growth, unemployment rate, and wage growth. This robust data also propelled 10-year treasury yield further above 4% mark, while concurrently driving stock futures lower....

Dollar Rallies Ahead of NFP, Eurozone CPI Looms

Dollar is having a broad upswing today as investors and traders brace for the latest US non-farm payroll data. With the recent pullback in stock markets and noticeable recovery in treasury yields, the prevailing sentiment indicates that traders are increasingly skeptical about the likelihood of an early Fed rate...

Yen Under Pressure Amid Global Yield Rebounds and BoJ Policy Uncertainty

Japanese Yen is facing increased selling pressure today, influenced by rebound in US and European benchmark treasury yields. Additionally, traders are scaling back their expectations of imminent monetary policy changes by BoJ, in the wake of the recent devastating earthquake in Japan. This context sets the stage for potential...

Investors Tread Carefully Following FOMC Minutes, Awaiting Key US Job Reports

Major US stock indexes closed lower overnight, after FOMC minutes revealed Fed might be hesitance to lower interest rates soon. Notably, the likelihood of a March interest rate cut, as inferred from Fed funds futures, dipped below the 70% market following the release of the minutes. Dollar, however, is...