As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended March 31, NET LENGTH in USD Index gained +1 545 contracts to 14 065. Speculative long positions added +496 contracts and short positions dropped -1 049 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures jumped...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended March 31, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures dropped -905 contracts to 435 108 for the week. Speculative long positions rose +46 031 contracts while shorts jumped +46 936 contracts. Bets for higher crude oil prices could...
While the US continues to post scary job numbers, the markets couldn't care less. Investors know the numbers would be bad and it doesn't matter how bad they are. The point is, there has to be an end to the coronavirus pandemic, which originated from China. Otherwise, the economy...
Crude oil prices rebounded yesterday, on speculations that Saudi Arabia and Russia might agree to cut output. Donald Trump noted on Twitter that he expects that Saudi Arabia and Russia will reduce oil production by “approximately 10M bpd, and maybe substantially more which, if it happens, will be GREAT...
Dollar is currently trading as the strongest one for the week, followed by Yen. On the other hand, Euro and Swiss Franc are both the weakest ones for now. Overall sentiments in the market are mildly risk averse but there is no committed move. Oil price was given a...
It seems that the markets are not having a clue on what to do next. While US initial jobless claims doubled to 6.6m, reactions are rather muted. DOW futures are staying positive for now, while European indices are mixed. Dollar seems to be picking up some buying after the...
Latest indicators for virus-haunted Eurozone’s economic developments suggest that the region is very close to recession. While accelerating QE, ECB refrained from lowering the policy rate March. We expect it would be obliged to do so in April. Meanwhile, coordinated fiscal action by the European Commission might be needed...
US stocks suffered the worst start to a quarter in history overnight. But Asian markets are generally steady after initial weakness. Other markets are generally stuck in familiar range. Dollar and Yen remain the strongest one for the week but there is still no clear follow through buying. Oil...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks surged +21.04 mmb to 1286.82 mmb in the week ended March 27. Crude oil inventory soared +13.83 mmb (consensus: +4 mmb) to 469.19 mmb. Stockpile rose in ALL PADDs....
Dollar and Yen are trading as the stronger ones today as risk aversion seems to be coming back as another quarter starts. Commodity currencies are thew weakest ones as led by Canadian Dollar for now. Private job data from the US were not as bad as expected. But just...
Markets are starting another with rather quiet mood. Some economic data might be not as bad as expected, but they're giving no lift to sentiments. Dollar attempted for a rebound overnight but there was apparently no follow through buying. Gold's dip was a positive sign for the greenback but...
Markets continue to staying in tight range today as consolidations continue. There is still no end in sight regarding the coronavirus pandemic, with confirmed cases breaking 800k handle, and deaths above 39k. Movements in the major stock indexes are mild based on recent standard. WTI crude oil is back...
China’s official PMIs sharply rebounded in March. Manufacturing PMI jumped to 52, from a record low of 35.7 in February. The non-manufacturing index rose to 52.3, from a record low of 29.6 in February. We suggest to interpret the data with caution as the qualitative nature of the survey...
Markets are generally directionless in Asian session today. Strong rebound in China PMIs somewhat fails to lift sentiments. As the origin of the coronavirus pandemic, China could be the first country to come out of it. Yet, one month of data is insufficient to confirm recovery, as the world...
Global financial markets are generally quiet today. Stocks quickly pared back some of initial losses even though major indices are staying in red. US futures suggest that there is no clear direction for now. Dollar recovers generally and appears to be gathering momentum entering into US session. Yen, Swiss...
Asian markets open the week generally lower as there is no sign of even a slowdown in coronavirus pandemic. The US has also given up hope for returning to normal by Easter. Yen strengthens generally, followed by Dollar. Meanwhile, Sterling and Euro are giving up some gains. Movements in...
The reporting period was ahead of Fed's announcement of QE infinity. During the week, US dollar rallied against major currencies. Although the Fed announced to resumed QE, the purchase of US$700B of assets was small as a percentage of US GDP. Meanwhile, as other central banks have announced to...
Bets on higher gold price increased as worsening coronavirus pandemic intensified concerns over global recession. On the other hand, traders increased bets on both higher and lower crude oil prices, but the latter prevailed. The front-month WTI crude contract slumped to lowest level since 2011 during the week. According...
While the coronavirus pandemic continued to worsen globally, investor sentiment somewhat stabilized after governments and central banks rushed to push out tighter lockdown measures, fiscal stimulus and monetary easing. Dollar suffered massive selling on easing risk aversion, improving funding conditions, as well as Fed's QE infinity. Canadian Dollar ended...
European stocks and US futures turn softer today, apparently on pre-weekend profit taking again. FTSE is additionally pressured, possibly as Prime Minister Boris Johnson was tested positive for coronavirus. In the currency markets, Yen regains some ground together with Swiss Franc and Dollar. Commodity currencies are mildly lower. However,...